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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bucks21%99101
6Suns79%109105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
36.4
20.7
9
38%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
3-10
30%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
32.4
28.7
14
39%
3
8
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
42%
4-11
36%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
23.7
30.3
13
37%
13
1
3
1
0
3
5
8
3-4
75%
5-16
7-13
31%
53%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
17.4
20.2
6
68%
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
17.2
19.4
4
41%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
31.8
24.0
17
58%
3
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
30.6
27.2
21
67%
10
0
0
1
0
1
3
7
5-6
83%
8-12
5-9
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
24.3
17.2
9
41%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
20.6
12.7
8
50%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
5.6
11.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
39.1
36.8
23
58%
10
1
0
1
0
3
1
9
1-2
50%
11-19
9-15
58%
57%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
37.1
34.2
4
30%
5
2
0
1
2
2
1
4
4-4
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.9
36.9
34.8
30
76%
7
11
0
1
0
7
0
7
4-4
100%
10-14
5-10
71%
55%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
31.9
30.0
23
72%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
4-7
57%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.3
28.3
28.4
6
34%
9
4
1
1
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
20.2
20.8
5
73%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.1
16.1
15.5
6
43%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
11.2
12.9
4
40%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
10.7
12.5
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
8.6
3.1
2
20%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
49%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.8
7.2
0
1-2
53%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.1
1.4
0
0-0
44%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.