FinalWin Prob.pScore
1827%91
89
973%99
118
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.08979.1
UTA logo UTA
129.791104.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Magloire 4' Jump Hook Shot89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0UTAGaines 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fesenko 1 AST)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:03UTAKoufos 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:18MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:18MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:29UTAMatthews Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)87
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:38MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)87
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50UTAMISS Koufos 10' Running Jump Shot84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)84
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 2:22UTAMISS Gaines 5' Jump Shot81
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 2:35MIAKorver STEAL (2 STL)81
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 2:55UTAMatthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35UTAMatthews Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIACook 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P3.T9)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIABoozer STEAL (3 STL)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52MIABeasley 17' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAHeat Rebound75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12UTAMISS Millsap 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIABeasley 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49UTABoozer 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T8)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Magloire Layup73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30UTAMatthews 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brewer 8 AST)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05UTAMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAD. Williams STEAL (2 STL)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34UTABoozer Layup (25 PTS)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51UTAMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:06UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:36UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46UTAMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23UTABoozer 2' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:05UTABoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:16UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:34UTAMISS Matthews Layup71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:44UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot71
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 11:06UTABoozer 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)71
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 11:12UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot71
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 11:26UTAD. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Brewer 7 AST)71
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:49MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)71
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMatthews Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)71
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)71
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Matthews Free Throw 1 of 371
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMatthews STEAL (1 STL)71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0UTAMISS Okur Layup71
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot69
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)69
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 1:06UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q3 - 1:25MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 1:50UTAMillsap 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)64
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 2:09MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 2:30UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 2:30UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMillsap STEAL (2 STL)61
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 2:56UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)61
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 3:20MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 3:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 258
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 258
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 3:54UTAOkur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)58
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 4:11MIAAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)58
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 4:36UTAOkur 7' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)56
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 4:58UTAJAZZ Rebound56
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup56
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 5:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)56
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 5:11UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup56
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 5:25UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)56
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot56
2.3%
73
97.7%
Q3 - 5:36UTABoozer Layup (19 PTS) (Okur 4 AST)56
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 5:46UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot56
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 6:08UTABoozer Layup (17 PTS)56
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 6:22MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 6:35UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)54
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 6:35UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)54
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 6:46MIABrewer STEAL (3 STL)54
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)54
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot54
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 7:28UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 7:28UTAD. Williams Tip Shot (16 PTS)54
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 7:30UTAMISS Boozer 5' Jump Hook Shot54
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 7:37UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 7:39MIAOkur BLOCK (5 BLK)54
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 7:49UTAMISS Okur 17' Jump Shot54
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 8:03MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 8:12MIAHeat Rebound51
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 8:41UTAKirilenko Layup (12 PTS) (Brewer 6 AST)51
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 8:45MIAKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)51
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 9:04UTAOkur 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)51
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)51
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 9:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q3 - 9:38UTAMISS D. Williams 18' Jump Shot49
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 9:41UTAJAZZ Rebound49
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 9:43UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 10:11MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)49
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 10:26UTABoozer 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)47
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 10:42UTAOkur Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)47
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 10:43MIAD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)47
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 11:00UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (10 PTS)47
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 11:06UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot47
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q3 - 11:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 11:22UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup47
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q3 - 11:30MIABoozer STEAL (2 STL)47
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q3 - 11:43UTAMISS Boozer 11' Jump Shot47
7.9%
58
92.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)47
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Matthews 51' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAAlston 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)47
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q2 - 0:08.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)45
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)45
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
6.6%
55
93.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0UTAMISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot42
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q2 - 1:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q2 - 1:03UTAMISS Boozer 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q2 - 1:17MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)40
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 1:34UTAMatthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)40
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q2 - 1:42MIABoozer STEAL (1 STL)40
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)40
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q2 - 1:52UTAMISS D. Williams 5' Running Jump Shot40
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 2:11UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 140
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 2:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 2:19UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot38
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 2:27UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot38
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 2:52UTABoozer 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)38
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 3:01UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
7.0%
50
93.0%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 3:31UTAD. Williams Layup (11 PTS) (Brewer 5 AST)38
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q2 - 3:36MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)38
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q2 - 3:55UTAMillsap Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)38
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIARichardson Layup (5 PTS)38
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 4:38UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 4:41UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)36
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 4:56UTAMISS Millsap 15' Fadeaway Jumper36
12.2%
44
87.8%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)36
11.5%
44
88.5%
Q2 - 5:38UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 5:43UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot34
13.2%
41
86.8%
Q2 - 5:56UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)34
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)34
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
14.5%
38
85.5%
Q2 - 6:29UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 231
14.3%
38
85.7%
Q2 - 6:29UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)31
13.4%
38
86.6%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)31
14.3%
37
85.7%
Q2 - 6:52UTABoozer Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Brewer 4 AST)31
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)31
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)29
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 7:28UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 7:28UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 7:28UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 7:29UTAMISS Brewer Layup29
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 7:37UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot29
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 7:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
19.2%
33
80.8%
Q2 - 7:51UTAMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot29
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 8:13MIAChalmers Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)29
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 8:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 8:34UTAMISS Boozer Layup27
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 8:40UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Chalmers Layup27
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 8:44UTABrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 9:07MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)27
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 9:40UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 9:46MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q2 - 10:05MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
13.6%
30
86.4%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
12.6%
30
87.4%
Q2 - 10:27UTAGaines Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 10:33UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Chalmers Layup22
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot22
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q2 - 11:00UTAKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)22
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 11:15UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
21.4%
24
78.6%
Q2 - 11:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q2 - 11:44UTAMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot22
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA22
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot22
21.3%
24
78.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0UTAKirilenko Putback Dunk (8 PTS)22
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0UTAMISS Millsap Layup22
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0UTAGaines 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)20
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 1:07UTAGaines REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot20
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 1:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)20
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 1:29UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot20
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup18
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 2:01UTAKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:04MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)18
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 2:05MIAHeat Rebound18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:06MIAOkur BLOCK (4 BLK)18
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Haslem Layup18
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 2:25UTAMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot18
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 2:34UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 2:35MIAMISS Richardson 10' Jump Shot18
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 2:56UTAD. Williams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Okur 3 AST)18
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAWade 17' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 3:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Richardson Layup16
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 3:51UTAMillsap Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)16
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 4:31UTAKirilenko Dunk (6 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)14
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 4:35UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAOkur BLOCK (3 BLK)14
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 4:49UTAMISS D. Williams 18' Jump Shot14
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 5:11MIAAlston Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 5:32UTABrewer Layup (2 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)12
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 5:53MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)12
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 6:07UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 6:15UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot9
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 6:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 6:27UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 6:40UTAJAZZ Rebound9
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 6:40UTAMISS Brewer Layup9
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 6:50MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 7:08UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)9
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 7:13UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 7:14MIAOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)9
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 7:27UTAD. Williams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 7:42MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 7:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot7
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 8:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
20.0%
10
80.0%
Q1 - 8:11UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 17
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 8:20MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)7
21.4%
8
78.6%
Q1 - 8:38UTAKirilenko 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)7
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 8:59MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 9:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 9:06MIAOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)4
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 9:30UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
21.4%
6
78.6%
Q1 - 9:30UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 9:48MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 10:03UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 10:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 10:13MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS)2
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Alston 5' Hook Shot0
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 10:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 10:26UTAMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:46MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 11:14UTABoozer Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)0
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:23UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:36UTABoozer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:44UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot0
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Okur vs. O'Neal: Tip to Alston0
23.6%
0
76.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
UTA
1.36 67.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
27
37%
UTA
25
36
69%
Midrange
MIA
13
29
45%
UTA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
UTA
9
13.5
15
60%
90%
Free Throws
MIA
13
16
81%
UTA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2067%10.0 / 15
D. Wade1354%6.5 / 12
R. Alston1150%5.5 / 11
Q. Richardson867%4.0 / 6
D. Cook840%4.0 / 10
J. O'Neal643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
M. Chalmers536%2.5 / 7
D. Wright467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
C. Arroyo467%2.0 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Boozer2578%12.5 / 16
D. Williams2382%11.5 / 14
W. Matthews1890%9.0 / 10
A. Kirilenko1563%7.5 / 12
M. Okur1372%6.5 / 9
S. Gaines788%3.5 / 4
R. Brewer643%3.0 / 7
P. Millsap638%3.0 / 8
K. Korver350%1.5 / 3
K. Koufos250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+17
-17
89
UTA
82
+5
-9
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
UTA
1.36 67.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
110.8
MIA 100.0
UTA 129.7 +29.7
Pace
89.6
93.8
MIA 79.1
UTA 104.0 +24.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
MIA 18.2
UTA 13.8 +4.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
52.4%
MIA 46.9%
UTA 63.0% +16.1%
TO %
13.6%
15.5%
MIA 17.0%
UTA 9.3% +7.7%
ORB %
26.0%
26.8%
MIA 30.4% +21.3%
UTA 9.1%
FTrt
29.6
34.0
MIA 19.8
UTA 31.2 +11.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
67.8%
MIA 57.6%
UTA 63.6% +6.0%
STL %
8.1%
8.8%
MIA 4.5%
UTA 15.4% +10.9%
BLK %
9.4%
8.1%
MIA 8.1%
UTA 10.7% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.06 and 3.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.2%
MIA 48.9%
UTA 67.8% +18.9%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.0%
MIA 37.0%
UTA 69.4% +32.4%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.6%
MIA 44.8% +6.3%
UTA 38.5%
3P %
34.6%
36.4%
MIA 40.0%
UTA 60.0% +20.0%
FT %
75.2%
74.1%
MIA 81.3%
UTA 87.5% +6.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
41.4%
MIA 33.3%
UTA 46.8% +13.4%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
40.2%
MIA 35.8%
UTA 33.8% +2.0%
3P Att. %
21.9%
18.4%
MIA 30.9% +11.4%
UTA 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points89118
Rebounds4435
Assists1928
Steals414
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)32 (1)
Field Goals33-8144-77
At-the-Rim FG10-2725-36
Midrange FG13-2910-26
2-Point FG23-5635-62
3-Point FG10-259-15
Free Throws13-1621-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
28.6
13
54%
3
6
0
3
4
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
26.9
8
67%
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
26.3
11
50%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
23.9
6
43%
7
2
0
0
3
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
23.0
20
67%
5
1
0
1
5
5
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
4-7
57%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
29.1
6
33%
12
2
0
0
1
4
5
7
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
20.1
4
67%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
17.6
4
67%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
16.4
8
40%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
15.3
5
36%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
6.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
6.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
44
19
4
5
17
0
14
30
13-16
81%
23-56
41%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.