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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat27%9189
9Jazz73%99118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
28.6
36.2
13
52%
3
6
0
2
3
4
0
3
1-1
100%
6-12
8-17
50%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.7
26.9
26.7
8
67%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
2-3
67%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
26.3
23.8
11
49%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-5
40%
3-6
2-5
50%
38%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
23.9
24.3
6
44%
7
2
0
0
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
23.0
34.4
20
67%
5
1
0
1
1
5
0
5
2-2
100%
3-7
7-14
43%
47%
4-7
57%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
29.1
24.5
6
33%
12
2
0
0
0
1
5
7
0-0
-
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
20.1
23.9
4
69%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
17.6
12.2
4
69%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
16.4
4.2
8
40%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
35%
2-8
25%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
15.3
19.0
5
36%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
6.5
12.3
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
6.5
10.1
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
37.4
38.0
23
81%
3
10
2
1
0
3
1
2
5-5
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.8
36.0
25.6
6
44%
6
8
3
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
55%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.1
35.4
31.5
25
73%
11
0
3
1
0
4
0
11
3-5
60%
11-15
7-13
73%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
26.6
25.9
15
63%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
24.5
26.7
13
70%
4
4
0
1
5
0
0
4
3-3
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
2-3
67%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.9
28.1
27.0
6
38%
5
1
2
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
55%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
18.1
15.7
18
85%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
3-5
60%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.8
15.3
11.1
3
50%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.7
10.6
6.5
7
79%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.9
4.1
1.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.1
3.9
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
19.1
1
2-4
45%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.