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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers41%9485
4Spurs59%98105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.2
42.5
35.0
23
49%
8
2
0
0
2
1
3
5
1-1
100%
11-23
6-12
48%
55%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
39.9
36.8
10
52%
12
6
2
1
2
2
2
10
6-6
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.2
33.0
25.6
13
44%
8
1
1
1
0
3
3
5
6-6
100%
2-10
2-4
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
32.3
35.0
16
77%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
6-9
9-17
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.4
32.1
26.4
3
31%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
23.7
18.8
6
33%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
20.2
21.3
8
67%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
6.0
3.9
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
4.3
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.8
3.1
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
2.8
6.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
9.0
0
1-2
39%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
39.8
30.7
25
60%
13
4
2
1
4
2
2
11
1-4
25%
12-19
7-14
63%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
34.4
32.2
22
57%
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
10-18
6-13
56%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
34.1
28.4
12
75%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
24.6
23.3
2
17%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-4
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
7.1
15.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
27.9
21.6
13
93%
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
25.4
28.5
9
61%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
2-5
40%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.3
23.6
18.2
8
62%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-1
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
17.5
22.4
9
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
3.9
3.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
1.6
2.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
11.1
0
2-4
51%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.