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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic65%103109
26Kings35%9888
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
41.5
30.1
30
67%
16
5
3
1
3
3
3
13
12-17
71%
9-15
5-8
60%
60%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
37.9
30.5
8
37%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-6
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
28.8
29.9
7
39%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.9
25.4
26.6
10
50%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.8
23.4
26.3
10
71%
7
1
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
2-4
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
34.6
23.7
18
73%
10
2
1
1
1
0
2
8
3-3
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
22.6
20.4
12
55%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
1-3
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
19.2
12.2
12
102%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
6.5
16.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
7.3
0
1-3
52%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
5.4
0
0-1
44%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.8
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
39.8
34.1
11
42%
11
5
1
1
0
2
1
10
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-6
17%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
37.7
36.4
18
45%
4
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
7-9
78%
4-13
7-15
31%
49%
1-3
33%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
23.3
23.3
4
38%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
21.4
10.2
7
29%
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
1-2
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
19.2
28.3
6
34%
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
33.0
31.3
15
61%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
2-6
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
27.9
22.0
9
41%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
19.5
16.7
8
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
12.5
23.7
9
97%
6
0
0
1
0
0
5
1
5-6
83%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
5.8
7.9
1
27%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
4.7
0
0-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
2.1
0
0-1
45%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.