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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards22%9682
10Hawks78%10694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.6
45.7
40.9
25
52%
19
3
1
1
0
2
5
14
3-5
60%
8-18
6-13
44%
48%
2-4
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
45.6
32.1
18
57%
4
8
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
5-10
4-9
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
42.2
40.7
15
40%
11
3
0
2
0
3
2
9
2-2
100%
5-17
6-12
29%
46%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
34.4
33.9
13
64%
10
0
0
0
0
2
6
4
7-7
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
21.2
27.4
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.8
20.0
8.5
3
75%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
16.8
19.9
6
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
4-5
80%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
9.3
16.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
4.9
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
14.8
1
2-5
45%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.0
7.9
0
1-2
48%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
4.2
0
0-0
55%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.5
43.5
35.9
24
52%
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-14
6-12
43%
50%
4-9
44%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.1
38.4
36.6
10
43%
11
8
0
1
1
2
3
8
6-8
75%
2-8
7-12
25%
53%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.6
37.3
33.9
16
51%
8
2
2
1
4
0
3
5
4-6
67%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
32.9
34.7
7
44%
10
3
0
1
0
1
3
7
1-2
50%
3-7
6-10
43%
56%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.7
26.4
21.9
2
14%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
30.5
28.2
22
57%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
2-6
33%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
12.1
8.4
5
73%
5
0
0
0
0
2
4
1
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.6
7.7
8.5
4
67%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.5
7.1
5.0
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.1
4.2
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
15.5
0
1-2
53%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.0
3.9
0
1-1
52%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.