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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Knicks41%9893
1676ers59%10192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
44.9
34.8
24
53%
9
2
0
1
0
2
2
7
4-6
67%
10-20
8-14
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
43.4
32.3
15
70%
9
3
2
1
1
2
4
5
2-4
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
36.9
36.3
18
55%
6
3
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-3
67%
8-15
6-12
53%
50%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
32.8
31.9
12
47%
2
4
2
1
2
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.4
32.4
29.7
3
50%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
26.3
20.6
17
48%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
2-7
29%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.6
15.7
26.7
4
29%
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.0
7.7
17.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
7.4
0
1-2
51%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
6.0
0
1-1
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.4
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.1
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
40.3
39.9
4
22%
5
8
1
2
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
51%
0-6
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.6
34.0
31.8
16
57%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
8-14
5-10
57%
47%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
32.4
28.8
11
36%
8
2
2
1
0
2
3
5
5-5
100%
3-13
5-10
23%
52%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
30.6
32.8
12
75%
21
1
1
1
1
2
7
14
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
24.5
29.4
5
29%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
1-7
4-7
14%
50%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
22.0
26.1
5
25%
5
0
1
1
2
2
3
2
1-2
50%
2-9
5-10
22%
51%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.6
16.5
20.0
8
80%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.5
15.7
19.9
8
62%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
15.3
7.1
13
59%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
8.7
8.2
10
87%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.9
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.3
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.