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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics78%100111
29Nets22%9087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.9
29.4
41.5
11
70%
1
14
1
3
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
5-6
7-12
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.3
28.2
37.7
24
93%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
9-9
100%
3-4
4-9
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
28.1
11.2
11
46%
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
2-7
29%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.2
25.9
36.6
12
61%
8
2
1
1
5
1
2
6
0-2
0%
6-9
6-9
67%
61%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.5
25.2
39.0
15
86%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.0
25.0
11.4
11
49%
5
2
2
1
0
3
2
3
1-3
33%
5-10
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
20.6
13.1
2
11%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
1-2
14%
46%
0-2
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.0
18.0
20.4
13
61%
4
0
0
1
0
2
4
0
3-6
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
17.6
7.2
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
16.0
1.9
6
51%
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
5
0-2
0%
3-5
0-0
60%
49%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.3
6.0
1.0
6
75%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
52%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.3
22.7
1
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.8
37.5
35.0
18
58%
10
2
0
1
4
3
2
8
8-8
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.9
34.2
32.8
15
48%
3
6
2
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.2
33.5
34.2
19
63%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
5-10
5-11
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.0
25.7
32.7
3
39%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
5-11
33%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
22.3
34.4
9
92%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
20.4
5.5
1
10%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.4
18.3
15.5
6
43%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
0-4
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.9
16.9
12.1
7
61%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
16.6
5.2
9
36%
8
0
0
0
1
1
5
3
7-10
70%
1-7
1-2
14%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
10.5
7.9
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.1
4.1
10.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.6
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.9
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.7
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.