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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs52%95109
17Thunder48%94108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
41.3
33.1
28
56%
1
8
0
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
9-19
7-13
47%
50%
3-5
60%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
40.4
30.4
13
47%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-4
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
31.3
12.3
28
68%
21
0
2
0
2
2
10
11
6-8
75%
11-17
2-4
65%
50%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
28.1
23.6
4
23%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-5
1-2
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
27.6
20.4
5
31%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
40.2
24.2
16
81%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
6-7
2-5
86%
45%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
30.3
27.3
2
9%
4
7
3
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
25.7
20.2
13
74%
9
1
0
1
0
2
2
7
3-4
75%
5-6
2-5
83%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
34.2
1
8-16
51%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
6.9
0
1-2
50%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.7
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
2.0
0
0-1
46%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
49.5
30.5
25
45%
6
13
0
1
0
3
2
4
7-9
78%
9-24
5-11
38%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
47.3
34.9
35
52%
5
3
0
1
1
7
0
5
6-6
100%
13-29
7-13
45%
51%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
46.2
32.6
16
81%
10
0
1
1
0
1
2
8
2-2
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
49%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
37.8
29.1
6
43%
5
3
1
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
8.9
18.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
32.8
25.3
12
79%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
5-6
83%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
22.8
23.4
8
68%
8
1
0
1
1
1
6
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
12.5
17.5
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
7.3
16.9
4
41%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
4.9
0
1-1
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.0
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.