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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves23%96114
11Rockets77%105120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.0
49.5
34.5
26
48%
26
1
1
1
1
3
3
23
2-3
67%
12-26
8-16
46%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.9
44.8
30.9
14
39%
5
4
0
1
2
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-13
4-10
31%
44%
2-5
40%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 20.9
42.5
29.6
9
32%
1
6
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
44%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 21.3
30.6
31.1
8
32%
13
2
0
1
0
1
6
7
4-6
67%
2-9
5-10
22%
47%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 30.0
24.1
20.0
9
65%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 27.4
46.2
23.5
18
48%
8
2
1
1
2
2
2
6
6-6
100%
6-14
3-7
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.1
34.6
18.3
17
71%
6
1
0
0
0
5
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
20.5
16.9
7
49%
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
5-7
71%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
13.3
10.1
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 23.3
8.9
8.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
4.5
0
0-0
43%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 24.1
4.3
0
1-1
47%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.9
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.3
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.0
59.4
36.1
43
61%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
9-12
75%
8-21
4-9
38%
48%
6-9
67%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
56.9
33.5
19
43%
7
7
2
2
0
4
0
7
5-7
71%
7-14
4-7
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.6
50.0
18.3
10
83%
17
6
4
1
2
4
4
13
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.3
49.6
33.8
14
41%
12
3
2
1
5
1
7
5
2-5
40%
3-10
1-2
30%
51%
2-5
40%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.7
31.9
30.8
12
67%
5
3
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
7-13
67%
54%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.3
37.4
26.3
16
48%
7
0
0
1
0
2
4
3
4-8
50%
6-13
6-11
46%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.8
18.4
26.5
2
11%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-5
0%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
5.9
14.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.6
5.5
16.1
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
0.9
0
0-0
52%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.6
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.