FinalWin Prob.pScore
540%99
97
660%103
115
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
103.29493.2
DEN logo DEN
123.79393.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMISS Petro 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)97
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0DENAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)94
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLPietrus 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)94
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)91
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 1:10DENNUGGETS Rebound91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Graham Layup91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20ORLBarnes Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44DENAllen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01ORLGraham STEAL (1 STL)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ORLBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Pietrus 3 AST)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53ORLMISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24ORLBarnes Layup (22 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)85
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40DENMISS Petro 9' Jump Hook Shot83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLMISS Gortat 8' Jump Hook Shot83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08ORLMagic Rebound83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09DENMISS Nene Driving Layup83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ORLBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DENNene 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DENNUGGETS Rebound80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Redick 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21DENMISS Smith Driving Finger Roll Layup80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51DENMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43DENAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26ORLAndersen STEAL (3 STL)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44DENSmith Dunk (14 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49ORLCarter STEAL (2 STL)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)76
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 8:34ORLPietrus 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)76
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 8:43DENAndersen Dunk (3 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)74
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 8:54DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 8:55ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 9:11DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)74
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 9:27ORLBass Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)74
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 9:45DENMartin Dunk (11 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)74
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 9:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 9:52ORLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 10:12DENSmith Driving Layup (10 PTS)74
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 10:29ORLPietrus 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)74
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 10:40ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 10:42DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup72
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 11:01ORLWilliams Palming Turnover (P3.T15)72
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 11:05DENAnthony 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (21 PTS)72
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 11:17DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 11:18ORLMISS Redick 22' Jump Shot72
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 11:35ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 11:37DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 272
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 11:37DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 11:40ORLCarter STEAL (1 STL)72
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 11:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMISS Redick Driving Layup72
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL72
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound72
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Williams 34' 3PT Running Jump Shot72
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMartin Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)72
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)72
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMartin 19' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)69
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 1:09DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)66
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 1:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 1:28ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 265
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 1:29ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 1:32ORLMISS Lewis Driving Finger Roll Layup65
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 1:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)65
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 1:43ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 1:57DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)65
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 2:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 2:04DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 165
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q3 - 2:21ORLAndersen STEAL (2 STL)65
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q3 - 2:39DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q3 - 2:39DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
9.5%
75
90.5%
Q3 - 2:43DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
11.1%
74
88.9%
Q3 - 2:44ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 2:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)65
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q3 - 2:54DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot65
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q3 - 3:12ORLBarnes Layup (17 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)65
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 3:29DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)63
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 3:34ORLAnthony STEAL (2 STL)63
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 3:56DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)63
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 3:56DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q3 - 3:57ORLBillups STEAL (2 STL)63
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q3 - 3:59DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)63
13.8%
72
86.2%
Q3 - 4:06DENNUGGETS Rebound63
12.1%
72
87.9%
Q3 - 4:07DENMISS Billups Layup63
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 4:22ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)63
12.1%
72
87.9%
Q3 - 4:39DENBillups 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (17 PTS)60
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 5:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
10.3%
70
89.7%
Q3 - 5:01ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.4%
70
88.6%
Q3 - 5:24DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)60
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 5:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 5:36ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot60
15.2%
68
84.8%
Q3 - 5:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q3 - 5:53DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot60
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q3 - 6:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 6:04ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
15.8%
68
84.2%
Q3 - 6:12ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q3 - 6:13DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot60
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 6:27DENNUGGETS Rebound60
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Nene Layup60
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 6:46ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 6:46ORLBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q3 - 7:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 7:01DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot58
13.3%
68
86.7%
Q3 - 7:13ORLBarnes 5' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)58
12.0%
68
88.0%
Q3 - 7:31DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
10.6%
68
89.4%
Q3 - 7:31DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 256
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 7:38DENNUGGETS Rebound56
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 7:39DENMISS Afflalo 8' Running Jump Shot56
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 7:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 7:44ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 7:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 7:51ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot56
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 8:07DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)56
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 8:07DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
12.7%
66
87.3%
Q3 - 8:20DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
14.0%
65
86.0%
Q3 - 8:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 256
14.3%
65
85.7%
Q3 - 8:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q3 - 8:37DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)55
14.1%
65
85.9%
Q3 - 8:57DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
18.0%
62
82.0%
Q3 - 8:58ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 155
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 9:19DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)53
16.3%
62
83.7%
Q3 - 9:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
20.7%
59
79.3%
Q3 - 9:31ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
21.5%
59
78.5%
Q3 - 9:46DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)53
23.3%
59
76.7%
Q3 - 10:05ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)53
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 10:23DENNene Layup (12 PTS)53
32.2%
56
67.8%
Q3 - 10:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
35.4%
54
64.6%
Q3 - 10:25DENMISS Nene Layup53
37.8%
54
62.2%
Q3 - 10:37ORLHoward Backcourt Turnover (P2.T9)53
35.4%
54
64.6%
Q3 - 10:57DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
38.8%
54
61.2%
Q3 - 10:57DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
39.3%
53
60.7%
Q3 - 11:02DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
41.9%
52
58.1%
Q3 - 11:03ORLMISS Lewis 17' Jump Shot53
43.0%
52
57.0%
Q3 - 11:42DENBillups 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)53
45.6%
52
54.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound53
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
51.4%
50
48.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
49.1%
50
50.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Barnes Free Throw 2 of 253
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 253
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)53
51.6%
50
48.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)52
48.3%
50
51.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLBillups STEAL (1 STL)52
45.7%
50
54.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)52
48.3%
50
51.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLAnderson Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)52
55.8%
47
44.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)50
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q2 - 1:00DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
49.0%
47
51.0%
Q2 - 1:01ORLMISS Barnes 18' Jump Shot50
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q2 - 1:09DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)50
51.3%
47
48.7%
Q2 - 1:20ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)50
48.9%
47
51.1%
Q2 - 1:36DENPetro Foul Turnover (P1.T6)48
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q2 - 1:42DENBillups Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)48
42.4%
47
57.6%
Q2 - 1:56ORLBarnes Layup (11 PTS)48
45.6%
46
54.4%
Q2 - 1:57ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
41.5%
46
58.5%
Q2 - 1:58ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot46
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q2 - 2:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
41.7%
46
58.3%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
40.7%
46
59.3%
Q2 - 2:43ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
38.5%
46
61.5%
Q2 - 2:43ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
37.5%
46
62.5%
Q2 - 2:59DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
35.6%
46
64.4%
Q2 - 2:59DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 3:01DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
38.2%
44
61.8%
Q2 - 3:02ORLMISS Anderson Reverse Layup44
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q2 - 3:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot44
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q2 - 3:19DENBillups 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)44
41.8%
44
58.2%
Q2 - 3:41ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
44.3%
42
55.7%
Q2 - 3:48ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)44
48.0%
42
52.0%
Q2 - 4:08DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)43
44.3%
42
55.7%
Q2 - 4:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
47.1%
40
52.9%
Q2 - 4:22ORLMISS Lewis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot43
48.1%
40
51.9%
Q2 - 4:45DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)43
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 5:01ORLPietrus 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)43
56.0%
37
44.0%
Q2 - 5:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 5:14DENMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 5:30ORLPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
50.1%
37
49.9%
Q2 - 5:45DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)41
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 6:07ORLBarnes 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 6:11DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 6:24ORLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 6:39DENNene Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)37
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 6:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 6:53ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 237
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 6:53ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
46.1%
35
53.9%
Q2 - 7:05DENNene Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)36
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q2 - 7:17ORLAnderson Layup (5 PTS)36
46.3%
33
53.7%
Q2 - 7:18ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 7:20ORLNene BLOCK (1 BLK)34
41.6%
33
58.4%
Q2 - 7:41DENCarter Layup (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)34
43.7%
33
56.3%
Q2 - 7:44ORLAndersen STEAL (1 STL)34
46.3%
31
53.7%
Q2 - 7:49ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
49.3%
31
50.7%
Q2 - 7:50DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
48.4%
31
51.6%
Q2 - 8:09ORLAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)34
45.8%
31
54.2%
Q2 - 8:16DENNene 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)34
48.7%
31
51.3%
Q2 - 8:34ORLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 8:53ORLMagic Rebound32
48.7%
29
51.3%
Q2 - 8:54ORLAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)32
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 9:01ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48.1%
29
51.9%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 9:15DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 9:18ORLAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)32
46.2%
29
53.8%
Q2 - 9:36DENAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q2 - 9:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
50.7%
27
49.3%
Q2 - 9:50ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
51.5%
27
48.5%
Q2 - 10:08ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
53.2%
27
46.8%
Q2 - 10:09DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 232
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 10:09DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
51.2%
27
48.8%
Q2 - 10:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q2 - 10:10DENMISS Smith Driving Finger Roll Layup32
54.9%
26
45.1%
Q2 - 10:27ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
53.0%
26
47.0%
Q2 - 10:33ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
48.0%
26
52.0%
Q2 - 10:34ORLMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot29
46.0%
26
54.0%
Q2 - 10:57ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
48.0%
26
52.0%
Q2 - 10:58DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
47.1%
26
52.9%
Q2 - 11:15ORLBarnes Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)29
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 11:20ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 11:21DENMISS Martin 9' Running Jump Shot27
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 11:35ORLGortat 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)27
40.0%
26
60.0%
Q2 - 11:55DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 11:55DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 225
38.3%
25
61.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
37.6%
25
62.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound25
40.1%
25
59.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Anderson 20' Turnaround Jump Shot25
38.3%
25
61.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)25
39.5%
25
60.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
46.8%
22
53.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENMISS Martin Reverse Layup25
46.2%
22
53.8%
Q1 - 1:01ORLBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)25
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q1 - 1:26DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
39.3%
22
60.7%
Q1 - 1:33ORLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)22
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 1:49DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 1:49DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
44.3%
19
55.7%
Q1 - 2:12ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)22
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 2:31DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)19
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 2:54ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 2:54ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)18
44.1%
16
55.9%
Q1 - 3:10DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 3:10DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 217
42.6%
15
57.4%
Q1 - 3:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
41.8%
15
58.2%
Q1 - 3:15ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot17
42.5%
15
57.5%
Q1 - 3:34DENAnthony Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)17
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 3:39DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
46.4%
13
53.6%
Q1 - 3:40ORLMISS Barnes 18' Jump Shot17
47.1%
13
52.9%
Q1 - 3:58DENNene 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)17
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 4:19ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)17
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 4:26DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 4:44ORLLewis 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)17
50.2%
11
49.8%
Q1 - 4:58ORLMagic Rebound15
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 4:59ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot15
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 5:10DENBillups 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 5:32ORLBarnes Layup (2 PTS)15
49.6%
9
50.4%
Q1 - 5:33ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 5:34ORLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)13
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 5:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot13
47.0%
9
53.0%
Q1 - 5:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMISS Howard 18' Jump Bank Shot13
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 6:04ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
47.2%
9
52.8%
Q1 - 6:06DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup13
46.5%
9
53.5%
Q1 - 6:12DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 6:13ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 6:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
47.2%
9
52.8%
Q1 - 6:25DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
46.5%
9
53.5%
Q1 - 6:38DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot13
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 7:01ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 7:03DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 113
46.6%
9
53.4%
Q1 - 7:19ORLNelson Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)13
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 7:31DENNene 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)11
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 7:49ORLLewis Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)11
48.9%
5
51.1%
Q1 - 7:56DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 7:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 7:59ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot9
45.4%
5
54.6%
Q1 - 8:12ORLMagic Rebound9
46.6%
5
53.4%
Q1 - 8:13ORLAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)9
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 8:15ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
46.6%
5
53.4%
Q1 - 8:16DENMISS Martin 7' Jump Shot9
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 8:20DENNUGGETS Rebound9
44.6%
5
55.4%
Q1 - 8:20DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot9
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 8:24DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
44.6%
5
55.4%
Q1 - 8:25ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 8:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
46.6%
5
53.4%
Q1 - 8:34DENMISS Billups 7' Running Jump Shot9
46.0%
5
54.0%
Q1 - 8:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
44.6%
5
55.4%
Q1 - 8:44ORLMISS Howard 7' Running Hook Shot9
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 8:59DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)9
46.6%
5
53.4%
Q1 - 9:17ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
48.6%
3
51.4%
Q1 - 9:26DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
44.5%
3
55.5%
Q1 - 9:49ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)6
42.6%
3
57.4%
Q1 - 10:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 10:09DENMISS Nene Layup3
38.0%
3
62.0%
Q1 - 10:18DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
36.6%
3
63.4%
Q1 - 10:19ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot3
37.2%
3
62.8%
Q1 - 10:40ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 10:57ORLMagic Rebound2
36.8%
3
63.2%
Q1 - 10:58DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot2
36.3%
3
63.7%
Q1 - 11:08ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
35.0%
3
65.0%
Q1 - 11:08ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 11:19DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)0
33.4%
3
66.6%
Q1 - 11:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:39ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Howard: Tip to Lewis0
38.1%
0
61.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 53.9%
DEN
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
11
18
61%
DEN
14
25
56%
Midrange
ORL
11
29
38%
DEN
19
31
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
DEN
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
ORL
17
23
74%
DEN
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Barnes2870%14.0 / 20
J. Redick1359%6.5 / 11
M. Pietrus1260%6.0 / 10
D. Howard836%4.0 / 11
J. Nelson857%4.0 / 7
R. Anderson867%4.0 / 6
J. Williams750%3.5 / 7
R. Lewis633%3.0 / 9
A. Johnson375%1.5 / 2
M. Gortat250%1.0 / 2
B. Bass250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2771%13.5 / 19
C. Billups2471%12.0 / 17
J. Smith1777%8.5 / 11
Nene1464%7.0 / 11
A. Afflalo1381%6.5 / 8
K. Martin1150%5.5 / 11
C. Andersen583%2.5 / 3
A. Carter233%1.0 / 3
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
J. Petro0-0.0 / 2
J. Graham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+15
-19
90
DEN
79
+10
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 53.9%
DEN
1.29 64.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
111.9
ORL 103.2
DEN 123.7 +20.5
Pace
92.0
94.7
ORL 93.2
DEN 93.9 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.7
ORL 15.5
DEN 15.3 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
50.9%
ORL 51.3%
DEN 62.3% +11.0%
TO %
14.8%
14.2%
ORL 17.7%
DEN 13.7% +4.0%
ORB %
24.6%
26.1%
ORL 23.8% +10.5%
DEN 13.3%
FTrt
34.0
37.6
ORL 29.5
DEN 33.8 +4.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.7%
55.0%
ORL 58.8%
DEN 65.1% +6.3%
STL %
6.8%
8.7%
ORL 12.8% +2.0%
DEN 10.8%
BLK %
8.6%
7.9%
ORL 8.9%
DEN 10.6% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
54.9%
ORL 53.9%
DEN 64.6% +10.7%
Rim FG%
61.6%
61.0%
ORL 61.1% +5.1%
DEN 56.0%
Mid FG%
42.3%
39.6%
ORL 37.9%
DEN 61.3% +23.4%
3P %
37.5%
35.9%
ORL 38.7%
DEN 47.6% +8.9%
FT %
72.4%
77.2%
ORL 73.9% +0.8%
DEN 73.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.0%
37.5%
ORL 23.1%
DEN 32.5% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
39.8%
ORL 37.2% +3.1%
DEN 40.3%
3P Att. %
35.0%
22.7%
ORL 39.7% +12.5%
DEN 27.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsORLDEN
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points97115
Rebounds3636
Assists2028
Steals1210
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)4 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals34-7843-77
At-the-Rim FG11-1814-25
Midrange FG11-2919-31
2-Point FG22-4733-56
3-Point FG12-3110-21
Free Throws17-2319-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 226 · 30
37.3
28
70%
9
1
3
1
1
5
2
7
3-5
60%
8-13
62%
3-5
60%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
33.9
13
59%
1
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
7-7
100%
0-3
0%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
30.8
8
36%
13
1
1
3
5
1
4
9
6-8
75%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
22.9
6
33%
2
3
0
1
1
4
1
1
0-1
0%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 28
22.9
8
57%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'6" 215 · 28
22.2
12
60%
0
3
2
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
18.8
7
50%
2
4
2
0
5
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
18.0
8
67%
3
0
2
0
1
3
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
15.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
11.0
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 35
6.4
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 270 · 35
#15 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
54%
36
20
12
5
19
0
10
26
17-23
74%
22-47
47%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.