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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks32%93108
13Trail Blazers68%99120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
31.6
18.3
24
76%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
4-6
67%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
29.5
27.5
10
51%
11
1
0
1
2
4
4
7
2-4
50%
4-7
6-11
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
29.1
29.5
12
51%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
41%
2-6
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
28.1
26.0
12
61%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
16.3
18.9
1
27%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
31.1
8.9
21
62%
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
1-2
60%
45%
3-7
43%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
30.7
26.2
12
44%
1
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
16.4
27.8
6
44%
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
2-4
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
13.6
2.9
7
56%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
3-5
60%
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
8.7
19.5
3
38%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
4.9
15.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
2.6
0
0-0
44%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
38.3
34.4
21
68%
7
6
1
1
2
3
1
6
1-1
100%
10-15
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.8
32.8
36.2
19
72%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
7-12
58%
6-8
5-11
75%
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.9
29.8
33.3
9
77%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.5
27.1
40.5
22
84%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
7-7
100%
6-7
7-14
86%
51%
1-3
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
25.3
38.7
15
75%
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.9
28.1
9.4
11
79%
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
3-5
60%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.7
18.8
12.6
9
78%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
17.9
20.3
12
65%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
5-5
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.8
15.4
6.7
2
20%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-4
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.7
4.9
11.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.1
1.7
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.4
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.0
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.3
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.