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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 13, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat47%101115
22Warriors53%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
35.0
33.4
35
81%
7
9
3
2
0
7
2
5
15-15
100%
10-15
9-17
67%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
32.0
30.2
19
64%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-4
50%
7-12
6-13
58%
49%
1-1
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
31.0
23.9
24
76%
7
1
1
0
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
11-15
4-8
73%
49%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
27.2
24.3
1
10%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-6
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
20.3
26.4
11
79%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
28.7
26.1
6
33%
9
0
0
0
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
28.0
22.5
11
74%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
20.8
17.8
6
75%
0
7
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
17.0
14.1
2
53%
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
10.2
0
1-2
48%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
9.2
0
1-2
46%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
8.8
0
1-1
38%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
44.9
42.8
17
46%
4
6
1
2
0
3
0
4
4-8
50%
5-9
10-20
56%
51%
1-6
17%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
34.2
38.5
25
79%
6
4
2
1
0
3
4
2
11-11
100%
7-11
7-13
64%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
32.7
17.1
6
44%
8
0
0
1
3
0
3
5
0-2
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
32.6
33.1
9
45%
4
4
0
2
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
49%
3-5
60%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
12.4
23.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.1
33.8
14.6
11
47%
4
2
2
0
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
2-4
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
30.3
16.3
24
76%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
51%
4-5
80%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
7.6
3.6
3
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
1-3
33%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
6.8
6.3
7
81%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
4.6
18.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.0
17.5
0
1-3
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.5
11.1
0
2-4
48%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.