FinalWin Prob.pScore
1847%101
115
2253%102
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
129.28984.3
GSW logo GSW
114.68994.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA115
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)115
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0GSWMISS Morrow 4' Turnaround Hook Shot115
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)115
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWright 2' Dunk (11 PTS)115
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13GSWMaggette 3' Putback Layup (25 PTS)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14GSWMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)113
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)110
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 1:42GSWMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot110
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 2:05MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T16)110
99.1%
100
0.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)110
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 2:21GSWMISS Morrow 3PT Pullup Jump Shot110
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 2:34MIAO'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)110
99.2%
100
0.8%
Q4 - 2:59GSWMaggette 11' Running Bank Shot (23 PTS)108
98.1%
100
1.9%
Q4 - 3:06GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)108
98.7%
98
1.3%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Wright 3PT Pullup Jump Shot108
98.9%
98
1.1%
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
99.2%
98
0.8%
Q4 - 3:16GSWMISS Ellis 19' Pullup Jump Shot108
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T15)108
97.3%
98
2.7%
Q4 - 3:45GSWC. Hunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)108
98.3%
98
1.7%
Q4 - 3:45GSWC. Hunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)108
98.4%
97
1.6%
Q4 - 3:52GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot108
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 4:10GSWC. Hunter Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)108
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 4:24MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)108
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 4:30GSWMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIAO'Neal 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (19 PTS)108
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 5:01GSWMorrow 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)106
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 5:20MIAO'Neal 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)106
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 5:40GSWMorrow 18' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)104
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 5:50GSWMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Beasley 18' Pullup Jump Shot104
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 6:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)104
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 6:07GSWMISS C. Hunter 19' Pullup Jump Shot104
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)104
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)103
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 6:41GSWMartin 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (George 1 AST)102
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 6:49MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)102
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHeat Rebound102
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 7:17GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)102
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 7:17GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)102
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 7:30MIABeasley 23' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)102
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 7:53GSWC. Hunter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Morrow 1 AST)100
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 8:13MIABeasley 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)100
99.2%
81
0.8%
Q4 - 8:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 298
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 8:19MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)98
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 8:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 8:36GSWMISS George 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot97
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 8:40GSWC. Hunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
98.3%
81
1.7%
Q4 - 8:42GSWMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot97
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 8:55MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)97
98.3%
81
1.7%
Q4 - 9:09GSWGeorge 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)97
98.2%
81
1.8%
Q4 - 9:22MIAWright 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)97
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 9:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)94
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot94
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 9:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)94
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup94
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup94
97.9%
78
2.1%
Q4 - 10:03GSWMorrow Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)94
97.7%
78
2.3%
Q4 - 10:03GSWMorrow Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)94
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)94
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 10:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
97.2%
76
2.8%
Q4 - 10:36GSWMISS Curry 5' Running Jump Shot91
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q4 - 10:58GSWWARRIORS Rebound91
96.5%
76
3.5%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot91
96.7%
76
3.3%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWright Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)91
96.5%
76
3.5%
Q4 - 11:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot90
95.1%
76
4.9%
Q4 - 11:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q4 - 11:46GSWMISS Morrow 14' Jump Shot90
95.5%
76
4.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA90
94.9%
76
5.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWMorrow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)90
95.0%
76
5.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)90
96.0%
74
4.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0GSWEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)87
94.0%
74
6.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)87
92.9%
74
7.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0GSWCurry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0GSWMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
95.1%
71
4.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0GSWMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
95.3%
70
4.7%
Q3 - 1:09MIAHaslem 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)85
95.5%
69
4.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAHeat Rebound83
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot83
93.8%
69
6.2%
Q3 - 1:50GSWMorrow 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)83
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q3 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)83
95.6%
66
4.4%
Q3 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)82
95.4%
66
4.6%
Q3 - 2:20GSWCurry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)81
94.8%
66
5.2%
Q3 - 2:33MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Bank Shot (31 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)81
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHeat Rebound79
95.7%
63
4.3%
Q3 - 2:53GSWMISS Biedrins 5' Jump Shot79
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)79
94.2%
63
5.8%
Q3 - 3:25GSWMaggette Palming Turnover (P3.T9)77
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 3:29GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
91.9%
63
8.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot77
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 3:52GSWMISS Curry 2' Layup77
92.8%
63
7.2%
Q3 - 4:03MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)77
91.2%
63
8.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
89.9%
63
10.1%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 8' Fadeaway Jumper75
88.6%
63
11.4%
Q3 - 4:27GSWMorrow 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)75
90.0%
63
10.0%
Q3 - 4:35MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)75
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 4:58GSWMorrow Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
90.0%
61
10.0%
Q3 - 4:58GSWMorrow Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
90.1%
60
9.9%
Q3 - 5:04GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
90.2%
59
9.8%
Q3 - 5:05GSWMISS Maggette 22' Jump Shot73
91.3%
59
8.7%
Q3 - 5:20MIAO'Neal 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)73
90.3%
59
9.7%
Q3 - 5:37GSWEllis 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
88.9%
59
11.1%
Q3 - 5:53MIARichardson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)71
90.3%
57
9.7%
Q3 - 6:10GSWMorrow 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Maggette 4 AST)68
86.3%
57
13.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMaggette STEAL (2 STL)68
89.5%
54
10.5%
Q3 - 6:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
91.1%
54
8.9%
Q3 - 6:42GSWMISS Curry 19' Jump Shot68
90.7%
54
9.3%
Q3 - 6:52MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)68
89.6%
54
10.4%
Q3 - 7:05GSWMaggette 3' Jump Hook Shot (19 PTS)65
85.0%
54
15.0%
Q3 - 7:07GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
86.7%
52
13.3%
Q3 - 7:08GSWMISS Curry 20' Jump Shot65
88.0%
52
12.0%
Q3 - 7:20MIARichardson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)65
86.8%
52
13.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
83.0%
52
17.0%
Q3 - 7:44GSWMISS Ellis 29' 3PT Jump Shot62
82.3%
52
17.7%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
79.9%
52
20.1%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (27 PTS)62
79.9%
52
20.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
75.5%
52
24.5%
Q3 - 8:36GSWEllis 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)60
77.5%
52
22.5%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)60
82.2%
49
17.8%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)59
81.8%
49
18.2%
Q3 - 8:51GSWMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)58
80.1%
49
19.9%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMartin STEAL (2 STL)58
76.9%
49
23.1%
Q3 - 9:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
79.5%
49
20.5%
Q3 - 9:15GSWMISS Martin 6' Jump Shot58
78.7%
49
21.3%
Q3 - 9:24GSWMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
76.9%
49
23.1%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Beasley 17' Pullup Jump Shot58
77.7%
49
22.3%
Q3 - 9:39GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
79.5%
49
20.5%
Q3 - 9:39GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)58
79.9%
48
20.1%
Q3 - 9:48MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)58
81.8%
47
18.2%
Q3 - 9:55GSWMaggette Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
79.5%
47
20.5%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)56
76.9%
47
23.1%
Q3 - 10:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
78.7%
47
21.3%
Q3 - 10:11GSWMISS Ellis 15' Fadeaway Jumper56
77.9%
47
22.1%
Q3 - 10:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
76.2%
47
23.8%
Q3 - 10:36MIAO'Neal 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)56
76.2%
47
23.8%
Q3 - 10:38MIABiedrins BLOCK (3 BLK)54
71.5%
47
28.5%
Q3 - 10:56GSWCurry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 3 AST)54
73.6%
47
26.4%
Q3 - 11:09MIAO'Neal 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)54
78.0%
44
22.0%
Q3 - 11:26GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T6)52
75.6%
44
24.4%
Q3 - 11:42GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
72.9%
44
27.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot52
73.7%
44
26.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW52
75.7%
44
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound52
72.9%
44
27.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Ellis 40' 3PT Jump Shot52
74.8%
44
25.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
72.6%
44
27.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Turnaround Jump Shot52
73.2%
44
26.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
74.7%
44
25.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 2 of 252
74.4%
44
25.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 1 of 252
73.1%
44
26.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)52
72.6%
44
27.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)51
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHeat Rebound50
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIABiedrins BLOCK (2 BLK)50
67.7%
44
32.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0GSWMorrow 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)50
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWright 19' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)50
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q2 - 1:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
68.8%
42
31.2%
Q2 - 1:27GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 3 of 348
68.6%
42
31.4%
Q2 - 1:27GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)48
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q2 - 1:27GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 348
67.1%
41
32.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)48
69.6%
41
30.4%
Q2 - 1:54GSWMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
62.9%
41
37.1%
Q2 - 1:54GSWMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 245
63.6%
40
36.4%
Q2 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
62.7%
40
37.3%
Q2 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
62.2%
40
37.8%
Q2 - 2:16GSWBiedrins Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)43
59.9%
40
40.1%
Q2 - 2:26GSWMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
62.8%
38
37.2%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup43
63.8%
38
36.2%
Q2 - 2:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
65.9%
38
34.1%
Q2 - 2:45GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot43
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
62.9%
38
37.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q2 - 3:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 3:19GSWMISS Morrow 5' Jump Shot41
58.9%
38
41.1%
Q2 - 3:33GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot41
57.4%
38
42.6%
Q2 - 3:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
60.0%
38
40.0%
Q2 - 3:50GSWMISS Martin 7' Turnaround Hook Shot41
58.9%
38
41.1%
Q2 - 4:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)41
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q2 - 4:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
59.3%
38
40.7%
Q2 - 4:13GSWMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot41
58.3%
38
41.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIAWright 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q2 - 4:57GSWBiedrins 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)38
50.3%
38
49.7%
Q2 - 5:10MIAWade 4' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)38
53.3%
36
46.7%
Q2 - 5:35GSWMartin 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)36
50.2%
36
49.8%
Q2 - 5:36GSWMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q2 - 5:38GSWMISS Ellis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup36
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)36
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
50.3%
34
49.7%
Q2 - 6:06GSWMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
49.2%
34
50.8%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)34
46.9%
34
53.1%
Q2 - 6:33GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
44.5%
34
55.5%
Q2 - 6:33GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
45.0%
33
55.0%
Q2 - 6:40GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
46.9%
32
53.1%
Q2 - 6:42GSWMISS Martin 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)32
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 7:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
44.4%
32
55.6%
Q2 - 7:10GSWMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot30
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)30
41.5%
32
58.5%
Q2 - 7:48GSWBiedrins 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)28
38.9%
32
61.1%
Q2 - 8:16MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 8:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 8:24GSWMISS Radmanovic 7' Floating Jump Shot26
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q2 - 8:34GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q2 - 8:36GSWMISS Morrow 18' Jump Shot26
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMorrow STEAL (1 STL)26
36.5%
30
63.5%
Q2 - 9:03GSWMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)26
39.1%
30
60.9%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMaggette STEAL (1 STL)26
44.1%
27
55.9%
Q2 - 9:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q2 - 9:22GSWMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
44.1%
27
55.9%
Q2 - 9:22GSWMISS Martin 3' Tip Shot26
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q2 - 9:26GSWMISS Morrow 12' Jump Shot26
46.1%
27
53.9%
Q2 - 9:45GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
44.1%
27
55.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Haslem 16' Pullup Jump Shot26
45.0%
27
55.0%
Q2 - 10:04GSWCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)26
47.0%
27
53.0%
Q2 - 10:12MIABeasley 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)26
44.1%
27
55.9%
Q2 - 10:34GSWMaggette 2' Running Layup (15 PTS)24
41.8%
27
58.2%
Q2 - 10:49GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
44.1%
25
55.9%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot24
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q2 - 11:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q2 - 11:06GSWMISS Radmanovic 3' Layup24
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q2 - 11:18MIAHaslem Backcourt Turnover (P1.T4)24
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 11:29GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)24
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q2 - 11:29GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)24
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q2 - 11:44MIAHaslem 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)24
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW22
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound22
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot22
46.0%
23
54.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
44.4%
23
55.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0GSWMISS Ellis 9' Jump Shot22
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAAlston Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)22
44.4%
23
55.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0GSWEllis 9' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS)22
46.3%
23
53.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
49.3%
21
50.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0GSWMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q1 - 1:12GSWWARRIORS Rebound22
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 1:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
51.0%
21
49.0%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Anthony Putback Layup22
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Wright 2' Driving Layup22
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 1:46GSWMaggette 21' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Radmanovic 2 AST)22
51.0%
21
49.0%
Q1 - 1:57MIABeasley 12' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 2:12GSWMaggette 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)20
51.2%
19
48.8%
Q1 - 2:32MIAHaslem 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)20
53.9%
17
46.1%
Q1 - 2:50GSWMartin 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)18
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 3:01GSWWARRIORS Rebound18
56.0%
14
44.0%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
56.7%
14
43.3%
Q1 - 3:16GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
58.3%
14
41.7%
Q1 - 3:16GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
58.6%
13
41.4%
Q1 - 3:23GSWMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
60.5%
12
39.5%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 218
60.8%
12
39.2%
Q1 - 3:24MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
62.2%
12
37.8%
Q1 - 3:41GSWEllis 21' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
60.5%
12
39.5%
Q1 - 3:48GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
62.7%
10
37.3%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot17
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 4:18GSWEllis 18' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
64.1%
10
35.9%
Q1 - 4:34GSWWARRIORS Rebound17
66.1%
8
33.9%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
66.7%
8
33.3%
Q1 - 4:41GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
68.2%
8
31.8%
Q1 - 4:55MIARichardson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
66.1%
8
33.9%
Q1 - 5:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
61.5%
8
38.5%
Q1 - 5:07GSWMISS Maggette 17' Pullup Jump Shot14
60.8%
8
39.2%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
59.2%
8
40.8%
Q1 - 5:32GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
61.5%
8
38.5%
Q1 - 5:32GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 214
61.9%
7
38.1%
Q1 - 5:38MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)14
61.3%
7
38.7%
Q1 - 6:02GSWEllis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)12
59.0%
7
41.0%
Q1 - 6:08GSWMaggette Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)12
61.0%
5
39.0%
Q1 - 6:18GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 6:20GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 6:20GSWMISS Biedrins 2' Tip Shot12
64.4%
4
35.6%
Q1 - 6:22GSWMISS Maggette 2' Layup12
64.4%
4
35.6%
Q1 - 6:37MIABeasley 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)12
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 6:53GSWMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
61.1%
4
38.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIABeasley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)10
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 7:24GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 7:27GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 7:29MIABiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)8
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 7:51GSWMaggette 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)8
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
58.3%
2
41.7%
Q1 - 8:05MIAHeat Rebound6
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade Putback Dunk6
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 8:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 8:31GSWMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 8:36GSWRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 8:37GSWMISS Curry 14' Jump Shot6
56.1%
2
43.9%
Q1 - 8:50GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot6
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 9:09GSWMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 9:09GSWMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
57.0%
1
43.0%
Q1 - 9:27MIABeasley 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 9:49GSWMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
54.1%
0
45.9%
Q1 - 9:55GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot3
53.4%
0
46.6%
Q1 - 10:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 10:17GSWMISS Radmanovic 5' Running Jump Shot3
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 10:30GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw Technical3
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 10:46GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 23
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 10:49MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:06GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.6%
0
48.4%
Q1 - 11:16MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)2
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:36GSWMISS Biedrins 5' Jump Hook Shot0
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Ellis0
46.6%
0
53.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.3%
GSW
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
20
65%
GSW
12
24
50%
Midrange
MIA
21
39
54%
GSW
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
GSW
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
23
26
88%
GSW
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3580%17.5 / 22
J. O'Neal2480%12.0 / 15
M. Beasley1963%9.5 / 15
Q. Richardson1179%5.5 / 7
D. Wright1179%5.5 / 7
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
M. Chalmers675%3.0 / 4
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
R. Alston110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Maggette2578%12.5 / 16
A. Morrow2475%12.0 / 16
M. Ellis1747%8.5 / 18
C. Martin1146%5.5 / 12
S. Curry945%4.5 / 10
C. Hunter788%3.5 / 4
A. Biedrins643%3.0 / 7
D. George350%1.5 / 3
V. Radmanovic0-0.0 / 4
C. Watson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
72
+15
-17
87
GSW
78
+14
-11
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.3%
GSW
1.10 54.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
107.9
MIA 129.2 +14.6
GSW 114.6
Pace
89.6
100.7
MIA 84.3
GSW 94.3 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
13.5
MIA 17.1
GSW 15.3 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
51.4%
MIA 61.3% +11.3%
GSW 50.0%
TO %
13.6%
14.2%
MIA 16.4%
GSW 10.8% +5.6%
ORB %
26.0%
21.1%
MIA 39.3% +11.4%
GSW 27.9%
FTrt
29.6
29.4
MIA 34.7
GSW 41.6 +6.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
55.2%
MIA 61.9% +1.3%
GSW 60.6%
STL %
8.1%
9.2%
MIA 7.9%
GSW 7.9%
BLK %
9.4%
6.2%
MIA 1.9%
GSW 5.1% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.12 and 3.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
54.5%
MIA 65.3% +10.5%
GSW 54.8%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.5%
MIA 65.0% +15.0%
GSW 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.2%
MIA 53.8% +19.3%
GSW 34.5%
3P %
34.6%
37.5%
MIA 50.0% +4.2%
GSW 45.8%
FT %
75.2%
78.2%
MIA 88.5% +10.4%
GSW 78.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
34.3%
MIA 26.7%
GSW 31.2% +4.5%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
41.9%
MIA 52.0%
GSW 37.7% +14.3%
3P Att. %
21.9%
23.8%
MIA 21.3%
GSW 31.2% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points115102
Rebounds4229
Assists2620
Steals77
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)17 (4)
Field Goals42-7533-77
At-the-Rim FG13-2012-24
Midrange FG21-3910-29
2-Point FG34-5922-53
3-Point FG8-1611-24
Free Throws23-2625-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
35.0
35
80%
7
9
3
0
7
2
2
5
15-15
100%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
32.0
19
63%
6
3
0
0
1
5
1
5
2-4
50%
7-12
58%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
31.0
24
80%
7
1
1
0
3
2
2
5
2-2
100%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
27.2
1
10%
1
4
1
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
20.3
11
79%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
28.7
6
33%
9
0
0
0
1
4
1
8
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
28.0
11
79%
5
2
0
0
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
20.8
6
75%
0
7
1
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
17.0
2
50%
5
0
0
1
0
2
4
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
65%
42
26
7
1
17
0
11
31
23-26
88%
34-59
58%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.