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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Wizards42%95119
22Bulls58%98121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
55.9
40.5
27
47%
8
2
1
2
1
1
1
7
6-6
100%
9-21
6-13
43%
47%
1-5
20%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.6
55.0
41.7
34
55%
18
5
1
1
0
0
4
14
9-14
64%
8-16
7-14
50%
50%
3-9
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
48.1
33.7
16
59%
20
0
0
1
2
2
9
11
2-6
33%
7-11
3-6
64%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
47.9
35.7
22
46%
3
7
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
10-20
4-9
50%
44%
0-3
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.8
45.8
12.4
6
75%
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
11.6
24.9
5
63%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
10.7
13.3
8
80%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
10.4
18.5
1
13%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
2.5
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
2.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
13.2
1
2-5
46%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.0
5.8
0
1-2
49%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.6
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
50.3
30.3
37
51%
9
6
0
1
0
3
1
8
5-7
71%
16-33
7-15
48%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
46.3
36.4
17
42%
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-5
60%
7-18
7-13
39%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.0
44.3
30.1
19
68%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
3-6
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
43.2
29.3
17
56%
15
3
1
1
2
1
6
9
7-7
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
53%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
13.6
25.3
4
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
41.6
30.1
12
51%
8
3
1
1
0
0
0
8
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
27.6
21.3
4
106%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
14.8
16.5
9
69%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
7-8
88%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.2
5.2
5.8
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
3.3
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.1
3.1
0
0-0
37%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.