FinalWin Prob.pScore
1935%92
115
1165%98
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
122.39480.7
HOU logo HOU
115.292110.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA115
100%
106
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Ariza Layup115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUMISS Ariza Driving Reverse Layup115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)114
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)113
99.8%
106
0.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUScola Putback Layup (17 PTS)113
99.8%
106
0.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Brooks Layup113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 2113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 2113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)113
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.8%
104
0.2%
Q4 - 1:01HOUScola Driving Layup (15 PTS)113
99.7%
104
0.3%
Q4 - 1:09HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)113
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot113
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 1:27HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)113
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade Layup (37 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)113
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)111
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 2:02HOUMISS Scola 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot111
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 2:19MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)111
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 2:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)109
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 2:40HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2109
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 2:40HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)109
99.2%
99
0.8%
Q4 - 2:47HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)109
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot109
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 3:02HOUBrooks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)109
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 3:20HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)109
98.9%
98
1.1%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot109
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 3:41HOUBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Andersen 3 AST)109
98.4%
98
1.6%
Q4 - 3:44HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)109
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 3:45HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot109
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 4:01MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)109
99.3%
95
0.7%
Q4 - 4:23HOUAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)109
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 4:23HOUAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)109
99.6%
94
0.4%
Q4 - 4:46MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)109
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 5:07HOUAndersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)107
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot107
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 5:24HOUMISS Andersen 11' Jump Shot107
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 5:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)107
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)107
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Haslem 5 AST)106
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 5:59HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)104
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 5:59HOUMISS Brooks Free Throw 1 of 2104
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 6:17HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
98.3%
89
1.7%
Q4 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot104
98.4%
89
1.6%
Q4 - 6:37HOUBrooks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)104
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 6:45HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
98.3%
89
1.7%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
98.5%
89
1.5%
Q4 - 6:59MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 7:00HOUMISS Battier 6' Hook Shot104
98.7%
89
1.3%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)104
97.5%
89
2.5%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)103
97.4%
89
2.6%
Q4 - 7:30HOUAndersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brooks 5 AST)102
96.8%
89
3.2%
Q4 - 7:39MIAWade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (30 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)102
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
97.6%
86
2.4%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Pullup Jump Shot100
97.1%
86
2.9%
Q4 - 8:03HOUAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)100
96.6%
86
3.4%
Q4 - 8:07MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)100
95.7%
86
4.3%
Q4 - 8:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
94.5%
86
5.5%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
93.6%
86
6.4%
Q4 - 8:49HOULandry Layup (5 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)98
94.6%
86
5.4%
Q4 - 8:56MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)98
95.8%
84
4.2%
Q4 - 9:21HOUAndersen Layup (4 PTS)96
93.2%
84
6.8%
Q4 - 9:23HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
94.6%
82
5.4%
Q4 - 9:25HOUMISS Brooks 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
95.4%
82
4.6%
Q4 - 9:30HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
94.6%
82
5.4%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot96
94.9%
82
5.1%
Q4 - 9:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
95.7%
82
4.3%
Q4 - 9:48HOUMISS Budinger 8' Jump Shot96
95.4%
82
4.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)96
93.3%
82
6.7%
Q4 - 10:21HOUBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)93
90.0%
82
10.0%
Q4 - 10:31MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)93
87.8%
82
12.2%
Q4 - 10:31MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
87.1%
82
12.9%
Q4 - 10:47HOUBudinger 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)91
85.2%
82
14.8%
Q4 - 10:59HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
90.0%
79
10.0%
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot91
90.7%
79
9.3%
Q4 - 11:25HOUBudinger 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)91
90.5%
79
9.5%
Q4 - 11:35HOUROCKETS Rebound91
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
92.7%
77
7.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU91
93.6%
77
6.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound91
92.3%
77
7.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry Driving Layup91
93.2%
77
6.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)91
91.1%
77
8.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOULandry Foul Turnover (P2.T13)91
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
91.2%
77
8.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot91
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot91
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)91
92.6%
77
7.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
92.8%
76
7.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIALandry STEAL (1 STL)91
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
94.9%
75
5.1%
Q3 - 1:00HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
94.7%
75
5.3%
Q3 - 1:28MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)91
93.1%
75
6.9%
Q3 - 1:45HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q3 - 1:45HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)88
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q3 - 1:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
91.8%
73
8.2%
Q3 - 1:51MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
91.5%
73
8.5%
Q3 - 1:58HOULandry Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)86
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q3 - 2:03HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
90.3%
71
9.7%
Q3 - 2:05MIAAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)86
90.8%
71
9.2%
Q3 - 2:23HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)86
91.9%
71
8.1%
Q3 - 2:33MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)86
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q3 - 2:33MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)85
94.1%
68
5.9%
Q3 - 2:54HOUBrooks 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)84
93.3%
68
6.7%
Q3 - 3:16MIARichardson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
93.4%
66
6.6%
Q3 - 3:32HOUBrooks 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)82
92.3%
66
7.7%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)82
93.4%
64
6.6%
Q3 - 4:07HOUAriza Driving Layup (11 PTS)79
90.2%
64
9.8%
Q3 - 4:33MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)79
91.5%
62
8.5%
Q3 - 4:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
90.3%
62
9.7%
Q3 - 4:46HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot77
89.7%
62
10.3%
Q3 - 5:01HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
86.8%
62
13.2%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup77
87.5%
62
12.5%
Q3 - 5:18HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)77
88.9%
62
11.1%
Q3 - 5:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot77
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 5:51HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)77
93.1%
59
6.9%
Q3 - 5:51HOUROCKETS Rebound77
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 5:51HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot77
92.7%
59
7.3%
Q3 - 6:03HOUROCKETS Rebound77
90.7%
59
9.3%
Q3 - 6:05HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup77
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 6:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)77
90.7%
59
9.3%
Q3 - 6:15MIAHeat Rebound77
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
91.1%
59
8.9%
Q3 - 6:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 6:42HOUMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot77
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)77
90.7%
59
9.3%
Q3 - 7:10MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
86.2%
59
13.8%
Q3 - 7:12HOUMISS Ariza Driving Dunk74
85.6%
59
14.4%
Q3 - 7:19HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
84.1%
59
15.9%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot74
84.8%
59
15.2%
Q3 - 7:36HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
86.3%
59
13.7%
Q3 - 7:36HOUScola Tip Shot (13 PTS)74
86.3%
59
13.7%
Q3 - 7:37HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
89.1%
57
10.9%
Q3 - 8:01MIAAlston 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
87.1%
57
12.9%
Q3 - 8:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
85.4%
57
14.6%
Q3 - 8:16HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
84.8%
57
15.2%
Q3 - 8:20HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
83.3%
57
16.7%
Q3 - 8:22MIAHayes BLOCK (2 BLK)72
84.0%
57
16.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
85.4%
57
14.6%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup72
84.0%
57
16.0%
Q3 - 8:32MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
85.4%
57
14.6%
Q3 - 8:34HOUMISS Scola 11' Jump Shot72
84.8%
57
15.2%
Q3 - 9:00MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
83.3%
57
16.7%
Q3 - 9:16HOUAriza Dunk (9 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)70
80.3%
57
19.7%
Q3 - 9:28MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
82.5%
55
17.5%
Q3 - 9:28MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)69
82.0%
55
18.0%
Q3 - 9:32HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)68
80.4%
55
19.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)68
77.9%
55
22.1%
Q3 - 9:47HOUBrooks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)66
75.3%
55
24.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 10:17HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
68.1%
55
31.9%
Q3 - 10:17HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
68.5%
54
31.5%
Q3 - 10:21HOUROCKETS Rebound64
71.1%
53
28.9%
Q3 - 10:22HOUMISS Ariza Layup64
73.1%
53
26.9%
Q3 - 10:25MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)64
71.1%
53
28.9%
Q3 - 10:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
74.0%
53
26.0%
Q3 - 10:36HOUMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot64
73.2%
53
26.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)64
71.1%
53
28.9%
Q3 - 10:53MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
74.1%
53
25.9%
Q3 - 10:55HOUMISS Scola Layup64
73.2%
53
26.8%
Q3 - 11:13MIAO'Neal 14' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
69.9%
53
30.1%
Q3 - 11:39MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
67.1%
53
32.9%
Q3 - 11:40HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot62
66.1%
53
33.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA62
63.8%
53
36.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
65.5%
53
34.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
66.8%
52
33.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
69.2%
51
30.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wright 11' Jump Bank Shot62
69.9%
51
30.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)62
71.4%
51
28.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
77.1%
48
22.9%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot62
77.7%
48
22.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
79.0%
48
21.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
78.4%
48
21.6%
Q2 - 1:08MIAAlston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)62
76.4%
48
23.6%
Q2 - 1:22HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
70.6%
48
29.4%
Q2 - 1:22HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
71.4%
47
28.6%
Q2 - 1:34MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
73.9%
46
26.1%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 258
73.4%
46
26.7%
Q2 - 1:45HOUHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
73.3%
46
26.7%
Q2 - 1:49MIABrooks STEAL (1 STL)58
71.3%
46
28.7%
Q2 - 2:01HOUAriza 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)58
72.5%
46
27.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIAO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
69.8%
46
30.2%
Q2 - 2:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
67.2%
46
32.8%
Q2 - 2:36HOUMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
66.3%
46
33.7%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)56
64.3%
46
35.7%
Q2 - 3:10HOUBrooks 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
57.7%
46
42.3%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade Slam Dunk (20 PTS)53
60.2%
44
39.8%
Q2 - 3:45HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)51
57.7%
44
42.3%
Q2 - 3:58HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot51
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 4:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
62.4%
42
37.6%
Q2 - 4:17HOUMISS Landry Free Throw 2 of 251
62.0%
42
38.0%
Q2 - 4:17HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
60.0%
42
40.0%
Q2 - 4:43MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)51
62.2%
41
37.8%
Q2 - 4:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
59.6%
41
40.4%
Q2 - 5:00HOUMISS Landry 21' Jump Shot49
58.6%
41
41.4%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
55.9%
41
44.1%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
55.3%
41
44.7%
Q2 - 5:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
52.9%
41
47.1%
Q2 - 5:40HOUMISS Landry 7' Turnaround Jump Shot47
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)47
50.0%
41
50.0%
Q2 - 6:26HOULandry Foul Turnover (P1.T7)43
41.0%
41
59.0%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)43
37.7%
41
62.3%
Q2 - 6:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
35.5%
41
64.5%
Q2 - 6:40HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 7:01HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
32.4%
41
67.6%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Beasley 15' Pullup Jump Shot41
33.2%
41
66.8%
Q2 - 7:15HOUBudinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
35.0%
41
65.0%
Q2 - 7:15HOUBudinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 7:20MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)41
37.5%
39
62.5%
Q2 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
35.0%
39
65.0%
Q2 - 7:26HOUMISS Landry Layup39
34.2%
39
65.8%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 8:08HOULowry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)37
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 8:26MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)37
32.2%
37
67.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
27.7%
37
72.3%
Q2 - 8:41HOUMISS Andersen 8' Jump Shot34
27.0%
37
73.0%
Q2 - 8:53MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 9:15HOUAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
23.5%
37
76.5%
Q2 - 9:34MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 231
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 10:02HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)31
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 10:08HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
25.5%
34
74.5%
Q2 - 10:09MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot31
26.2%
34
73.8%
Q2 - 10:30HOUAndersen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)31
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 10:42MIABeasley Driving Dunk (2 PTS)31
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 11:02HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Landry 2 AST)29
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 11:06HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 11:08HOUMISS Landry 8' Jump Shot29
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 11:23MIAChalmers 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)29
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 11:28MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
29.8%
29
70.2%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot27
28.3%
29
71.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29.8%
29
70.2%
Q2 - 11:44HOUMISS Landry 18' Jump Shot27
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU27
27.6%
29
72.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound27
27.6%
29
72.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Landry Layup27
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)27
27.8%
29
72.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUBudinger Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)25
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)25
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 0:43.0HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWright Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)23
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 1:02MIAHeat Rebound21
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup21
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 1:13HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q1 - 1:13HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
22.4%
26
77.6%
Q1 - 1:28MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)21
24.3%
25
75.7%
Q1 - 1:45HOUBudinger Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)19
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 1:59MIAAlston Layup (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)19
24.3%
23
75.7%
Q1 - 2:05HOUBudinger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 2:11HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 2:13HOUMISS Budinger 18' Jump Shot17
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade Layup (8 PTS)17
21.1%
23
78.9%
Q1 - 2:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot15
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 2:54HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)15
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 2:54HOUROCKETS Rebound15
18.2%
23
81.8%
Q1 - 2:55HOUMISS Ariza 22' Jump Shot15
19.0%
23
81.0%
Q1 - 3:18HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 3:36HOUHayes Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 4:10HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 4:27MIAO'Neal Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)13
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 4:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot11
16.0%
21
84.0%
Q1 - 4:44HOUScola Layup (9 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)11
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 4:51HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 4:52MIAHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)11
18.6%
19
81.4%
Q1 - 5:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.0%
19
80.0%
Q1 - 5:03HOUMISS Hayes 7' Hook Shot11
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 5:15HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 5:16HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot11
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 5:28HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
18.5%
19
81.5%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot11
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 5:49HOUBrooks 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q1 - 5:55HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.2%
17
78.8%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot11
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 6:02HOUHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
22.7%
17
77.3%
Q1 - 6:14MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
21.2%
17
78.8%
Q1 - 6:34HOUScola 9' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)8
18.6%
17
81.4%
Q1 - 6:48HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot8
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 7:12HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 7:19HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Beasley 13' Turnaround Jump Shot8
24.6%
12
75.4%
Q1 - 7:40HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)8
25.8%
12
74.2%
Q1 - 7:57MIAAlston 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
27.3%
10
72.7%
Q1 - 8:16HOUAriza 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 8:34MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
27.2%
8
72.8%
Q1 - 9:01HOUScola 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS)4
25.8%
8
74.2%
Q1 - 9:12HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup4
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 9:31HOUScola Driving Layup (3 PTS)4
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 9:45MIABattier STEAL (1 STL)4
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 9:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 10:01HOUMISS Battier 11' Jump Shot4
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 10:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 10:29HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAO'Neal Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 10:43MIAScola BLOCK (1 BLK)0
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 10:51HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 20
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 10:51HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:58MIAScola STEAL (1 STL)0
26.0%
3
74.0%
Q1 - 11:19HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)0
27.6%
3
72.4%
Q1 - 11:38HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. O'Neal: Tip to Beasley0
31.8%
0
68.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
HOU
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
28
75%
HOU
15
25
60%
Midrange
MIA
18
42
43%
HOU
11
30
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
HOU
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
19
23
83%
HOU
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3769%18.5 / 27
R. Alston1771%8.5 / 12
J. O'Neal1657%8.0 / 14
Q. Richardson1575%7.5 / 10
M. Beasley1243%6.0 / 14
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
M. Chalmers675%3.0 / 4
D. Wright233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola1757%8.5 / 15
C. Budinger1785%8.5 / 10
T. Ariza1547%7.5 / 16
A. Brooks1450%7.0 / 14
D. Andersen1286%6.0 / 7
K. Lowry1192%5.5 / 6
S. Battier964%4.5 / 7
C. Hayes675%3.0 / 4
C. Landry528%2.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+12
-8
98
HOU
77
+14
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.3%
HOU
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
107.6
MIA 122.3 +7.1
HOU 115.2
Pace
89.6
94.1
MIA 80.7
HOU 110.1 +29.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.0
MIA 17.8
HOU 13.1 +4.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.4%
MIA 57.1% +1.2%
HOU 55.9%
TO %
13.6%
14.5%
MIA 8.7% +7.6%
HOU 16.3%
ORB %
26.0%
27.0%
MIA 26.3% +3.4%
HOU 22.9%
FTrt
29.6
29.2
MIA 27.4
HOU 32.9 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
57.9%
MIA 53.3%
HOU 54.1% +0.8%
STL %
8.1%
7.5%
MIA 8.5% +2.0%
HOU 6.5%
BLK %
9.4%
5.8%
MIA 18.2% +12.5%
HOU 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.5%
MIA 59.3% +1.7%
HOU 57.6%
Rim FG%
62.0%
55.7%
MIA 75.0% +15.0%
HOU 60.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.4%
MIA 42.9% +6.2%
HOU 36.7%
3P %
34.6%
35.1%
MIA 42.9%
HOU 52.4% +9.5%
FT %
75.2%
77.3%
MIA 82.6%
HOU 84.0% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
37.3%
MIA 33.3% +0.4%
HOU 32.9%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
36.2%
MIA 50.0%
HOU 39.5% +10.5%
3P Att. %
21.9%
26.5%
MIA 16.7%
HOU 27.6% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes27.920.1
Points115106
Rebounds3736
Assists2420
Steals86
Blocks104
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)28 (1)
Field Goals45-8437-76
At-the-Rim FG21-2815-25
Midrange FG18-4211-30
2-Point FG39-7026-55
3-Point FG6-1411-21
Free Throws19-2321-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
41.7
37
69%
3
8
3
1
2
2
2
1
7-7
100%
15-23
65%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
34.1
17
71%
4
2
0
1
2
4
0
4
1-4
25%
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
31.6
16
57%
13
3
1
4
2
5
3
10
0-0
-
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
26.4
12
43%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-11
36%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
24.2
15
75%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
28.0
8
50%
7
5
1
0
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
23.8
2
33%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
16.3
2
50%
1
1
0
3
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
13.9
6
75%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
59%
37
24
8
10
8
0
10
27
19-23
83%
39-70
56%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.