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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 15, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks46%102113
24Warriors54%104104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
38.3
18.0
13
74%
9
1
1
1
2
0
1
8
3-4
75%
5-6
2-3
83%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
36.5
28.3
15
47%
16
5
0
1
3
0
4
12
1-2
50%
7-15
7-12
47%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
34.7
29.0
25
63%
4
7
4
1
0
7
1
3
8-9
89%
4-11
4-9
36%
43%
3-5
60%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
28.6
26.5
12
56%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
20.0
23.4
6
31%
8
0
1
1
1
0
3
5
4-6
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
23.5
15.3
12
61%
7
2
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
45%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
22.9
27.6
15
61%
2
8
2
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
2-3
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
22.4
23.1
15
62%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-7
71%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
13.1
17.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
11.0
0
1-2
49%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
8.2
0
1-2
48%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
48.0
42.9
33
50%
3
8
0
2
0
5
0
3
2-5
40%
11-23
10-19
48%
51%
3-8
38%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
48.0
32.2
18
49%
6
4
6
2
1
4
0
6
3-3
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
48%
1-4
25%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
42.2
35.8
32
81%
9
6
0
1
0
4
1
8
12-13
92%
10-14
6-12
71%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
34.3
24.0
10
71%
10
0
1
1
3
0
3
7
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
59%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
4.0
22.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
33.6
23.8
7
33%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-4
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
18.8
5.5
4
34%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
11.0
6.7
0
0%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
18.1
1
2-3
47%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.7
12.7
1
1-2
49%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.0
11.2
0
1-2
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.5
8.3
0
2-3
48%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.7
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.