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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings43%10486
25Wizards57%10696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
40.8
35.7
21
52%
6
7
0
1
0
2
3
3
2-3
67%
8-15
7-14
53%
49%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
38.4
29.8
11
42%
7
1
0
1
4
5
3
4
0-0
-
4-10
5-9
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
37.4
36.7
23
56%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
8-8
100%
3-11
5-11
27%
46%
3-6
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
24.3
33.8
6
33%
6
1
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
23.4
31.5
7
46%
6
1
0
1
2
3
0
6
5-6
83%
1-5
5-11
20%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
22.9
28.3
5
50%
1
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
20.8
9.8
7
58%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
13.0
17.6
2
35%
5
0
2
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
12.0
17.2
4
40%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
4.2
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
2.9
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
4.8
0
1-1
45%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.1
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.6
41.1
42.5
14
37%
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
2-4
50%
6-13
7-14
46%
51%
0-4
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
33.5
42.1
19
63%
6
1
1
2
0
1
1
5
6-7
86%
5-9
7-14
56%
49%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
29.7
36.5
8
39%
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
2-5
5-11
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.1
29.5
35.7
10
46%
10
0
1
1
3
0
7
3
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
55%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.8
19.8
21.8
9
113%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
22.8
19.4
12
55%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
1-1
100%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
20.1
11.7
13
62%
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
6-10
2-3
60%
45%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
17.9
14.9
7
51%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.0
12.9
4.7
2
100%
3
0
0
0
4
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
12.6
3.8
2
50%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
12.3
0
2-5
48%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.6
9.3
0
1-2
43%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
3.3
0
0-0
59%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.0
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.