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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs59%10186
23Grizzlies41%9892
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
32.9
28.1
23
64%
8
2
0
0
5
3
2
6
1-2
50%
11-17
7-13
65%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
32.4
23.0
13
66%
3
1
1
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
29.7
32.6
4
25%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
7-13
29%
52%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
23.6
22.8
8
57%
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
20.8
28.8
3
19%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
3-7
0%
49%
0-4
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
28.1
27.4
4
25%
4
0
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
26.8
27.6
9
41%
4
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
0-2
0%
0-5
3-6
0%
50%
3-5
60%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.3
19.4
21.4
17
61%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
14.4
5.7
1
13%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.8
7.6
4.0
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
4.4
4.5
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
14.4
0
2-4
51%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
40.0
32.8
19
50%
8
1
2
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
37.1
33.2
8
25%
4
2
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-13
6-12
31%
49%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
35.2
33.8
23
57%
15
1
3
1
0
3
4
11
7-12
58%
8-15
7-14
53%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
33.7
27.7
10
56%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
2-2
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.0
32.6
33.0
14
56%
9
2
0
1
2
1
6
3
6-10
60%
4-8
5-9
50%
57%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
18.7
13.7
8
54%
5
2
3
0
2
0
1
4
0-1
0%
4-7
2-3
57%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
16.3
15.8
4
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.9
14.3
11.7
4
50%
1
1
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.9
9.5
12.8
2
114%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
2.6
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
8.9
0
1-2
42%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
4.5
0
1-1
54%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.7
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.