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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat40%9180
17Thunder60%9498
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
39.3
28.9
28
54%
6
2
1
1
0
1
3
3
2-4
50%
13-22
5-11
59%
48%
0-2
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
37.9
36.6
24
48%
4
6
4
2
3
3
1
3
4-9
44%
10-21
9-17
48%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
28.8
27.9
10
51%
9
1
0
0
2
2
5
4
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
28.5
28.2
5
43%
0
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-6
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
15.5
23.9
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
28.1
24.1
4
29%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-4
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
21.8
17.0
2
33%
2
4
3
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
18.2
27.4
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
10.0
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
8.0
5.7
1
27%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
4.0
5.4
2
29%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
36%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
6.3
0
1-1
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
43.1
36.2
14
59%
7
4
2
1
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-7
4-9
71%
49%
1-4
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
37.2
37.4
36
87%
10
3
0
1
0
3
1
9
5-6
83%
11-15
7-15
73%
51%
3-3
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
26.7
35.7
6
39%
1
11
1
1
0
7
0
1
4-4
100%
1-6
6-14
17%
44%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
24.3
15.6
8
36%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-11
2-5
36%
50%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
21.3
27.7
4
40%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
24.3
16.1
8
59%
10
1
0
0
0
3
4
6
2-4
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
21.4
26.0
14
65%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
21.3
14.9
8
67%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
18.5
23.0
0
0%
5
0
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
1.9
2.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.5
0
0-1
53%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
3.2
0
0-1
42%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.