FinalWin Prob.pScore
1640%91
80
1760%95
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.99195.4
OKC logo OKC
106.59288.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0OKCMISS Mullens 20' Jump Shot80
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Beasley 5' Running Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01OKCMaynor 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13OKCMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45OKCMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00OKCMISS Krstic Layup80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19MIABeasley Dunk (28 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30OKCMISS Krstic 20' Jump Shot78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58OKCIbaka Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T23)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30OKCGreen Traveling Turnover (P2.T22)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 176
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01OKCGreen Tip Shot (14 PTS)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04OKCMISS Maynor 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS O'Neal Putback Dunk74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40OKCIbaka Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43OKCMISS Durant 23' Jump Shot74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWade Dunk (24 PTS)74
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:13OKCIbaka Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31MIAHeat Rebound72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35OKCKrstic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T19)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:22OKCMISS Krstic 20' Jump Shot70
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:44OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup70
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:54OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 170
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 7:14MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T15)70
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 7:22OKCMISS Durant 14' Jump Shot70
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:33OKCTHUNDER Rebound70
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:35OKCMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:56OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:56MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot70
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 8:15OKCMaynor Layup (6 PTS) (Green 4 AST)70
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAGreen STEAL (2 STL)70
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 8:26OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)70
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 8:45OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot70
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 9:07OKCMaynor 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 9:22MIAWade Dunk (22 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)70
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 9:25OKCHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)68
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 9:30OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot68
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 9:42OKCMISS Harden Driving Layup68
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 9:57OKCTHUNDER Rebound68
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 9:58OKCMISS Harden Layup68
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 10:03MIAGreen STEAL (1 STL)68
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 10:10OKCMaynor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)68
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 10:22OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 10:23MIACollison BLOCK (1 BLK)68
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 10:37OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)68
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 10:37OKCTHUNDER Rebound68
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 10:40OKCMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot68
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)68
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 267
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 11:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 11:13OKCMISS Collison 7' Running Jump Shot67
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 11:24OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 11:25OKCMISS Green 18' Jump Shot67
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 11:37OKCTHUNDER Rebound67
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 11:39OKCMISS Harden Layup67
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 11:51MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T12)67
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0OKCMISS Durant 22' Jump Shot67
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIACollison STEAL (2 STL)67
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0OKCDurant 6' Jump Shot (32 PTS)67
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot67
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q3 - 1:01OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot67
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q3 - 1:19OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q3 - 1:19OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 267
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIAHaslem Putback Layup (4 PTS)67
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 1:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 2:07OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 2:07OKCHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q3 - 2:26OKCTHUNDER Rebound65
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 2:27OKCMISS Westbrook Reverse Layup65
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 2:35OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 2:37OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Jump Shot65
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)65
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 3:27OKCIbaka 5' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)63
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 3:43OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 24' Jump Shot63
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 3:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)63
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot63
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 3:59OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T14)63
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWade Reverse Dunk (20 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)63
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 4:38OKCDurant 16' Jump Shot (30 PTS)61
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 4:56OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot61
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 5:13OKCWestbrook 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 5:45OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Westbrook 11 AST)59
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 5:55MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)59
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 6:12OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 6:12OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 6:25MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)56
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 6:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 154
6.6%
68
93.4%
Q3 - 6:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
5.6%
68
94.4%
Q3 - 6:49OKCMISS Sefolosha Layup52
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 7:07OKCTHUNDER Rebound52
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Alston 7' Jump Shot52
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 7:30OKCDurant Alley Oop Layup (25 PTS) (Westbrook 10 AST)52
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 7:34MIASefolosha STEAL (2 STL)52
7.0%
66
93.0%
Q3 - 7:49OKCGreen 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 8:09MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)52
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 8:14OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)50
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 8:18OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
7.3%
64
92.7%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Beasley 8' Running Jump Shot50
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 8:35OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)50
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWade Putback Layup (18 PTS)50
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 8:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot48
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)48
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q3 - 9:15OKCMISS Westbrook 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot48
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)48
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
8.5%
61
91.5%
Q3 - 9:38OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)47
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 9:46OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
7.6%
61
92.4%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot47
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 10:02OKCDurant 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Westbrook 9 AST)47
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 10:15MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)47
10.4%
59
89.6%
Q3 - 10:35OKCSefolosha 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Westbrook 8 AST)45
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 10:45OKCTHUNDER Rebound45
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot45
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q3 - 11:10OKCGreen Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)45
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q3 - 11:19OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper45
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q3 - 11:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
15.7%
55
84.3%
Q3 - 11:39OKCMISS Krstic 17' Jump Shot45
15.1%
55
84.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC45
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound45
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
15.1%
55
84.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAAnthony Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T9)45
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0OKCKrstic 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Maynor 2 AST)45
16.1%
55
83.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)45
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0OKCDurant 5' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST)43
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
18.0%
51
82.0%
Q2 - 1:03OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)41
16.4%
51
83.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWade Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)41
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q2 - 1:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 1:30OKCMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 1:51MIARichardson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)39
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 2:09OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 2:09OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
13.9%
50
86.1%
Q2 - 2:27MIABeasley Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)39
15.1%
49
84.9%
Q2 - 2:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q2 - 2:32OKCMISS Westbrook 11' Jump Shot37
13.1%
49
86.9%
Q2 - 2:48MIAO'Neal Putback Layup (6 PTS)37
12.1%
49
87.9%
Q2 - 2:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)35
10.8%
49
89.2%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Beasley Layup35
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 3:04OKCGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)35
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q2 - 3:09OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
9.9%
49
90.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Driving Reverse Layup35
10.3%
49
89.7%
Q2 - 3:28OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)35
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q2 - 3:36OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot35
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q2 - 3:45MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 3:46OKCMISS Westbrook 12' Jump Shot35
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 4:00MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)35
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 4:13MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 4:14OKCMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot33
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 4:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 4:43OKCMISS Ibaka Layup31
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 4:49OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Beasley Reverse Layup31
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 5:08OKCDurant Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)31
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 5:14MIAWestbrook STEAL (1 STL)31
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 5:24OKCGreen Driving Layup (8 PTS)31
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 5:40MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)31
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 5:42OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)28
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIAWade 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS)28
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 6:13OKCHarden Layup (10 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)26
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWright Layup (2 PTS)26
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 6:59OKCDurant Driving Layup (11 PTS)24
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIABeasley 8' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)24
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 7:41OKCIbaka Dunk (5 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)22
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 8:01OKCMaynor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)22
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIABeasley 9' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS)22
12.0%
36
88.0%
Q2 - 8:26OKCCollison Foul Turnover (P1.T7)20
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 8:35MIACollison STEAL (1 STL)20
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 8:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot20
10.2%
36
89.8%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10.9%
36
89.1%
Q2 - 9:00OKCMISS Maynor 15' Fadeaway Jumper20
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 9:24OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot20
10.5%
36
89.5%
Q2 - 9:45OKCMaynor 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 3 AST)20
11.2%
36
88.8%
Q2 - 10:10MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)20
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 10:34OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
13.9%
34
86.1%
Q2 - 10:34OKCIbaka Tip Shot (3 PTS)20
13.9%
34
86.1%
Q2 - 10:35OKCMISS Green 14' Jump Shot20
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 10:53MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 219
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 11:12OKCHarden Driving Layup (8 PTS)19
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 11:24MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 11:41OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q2 - 11:41OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 219
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 11:42OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 11:43OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC19
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound19
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot19
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
18.9%
29
81.1%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 219
19.0%
29
81.0%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0OKCHarden 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST)19
20.1%
29
79.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound19
23.8%
26
76.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot19
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade Slam Dunk19
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0OKCMISS Collison Layup19
24.8%
26
75.2%
Q1 - 1:10OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 219
24.4%
26
75.6%
Q1 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q1 - 1:22MIAHeat Rebound18
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot18
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q1 - 1:27OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)18
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 1:38OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Anthony Layup18
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 1:58OKCMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 2:19OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.8%
26
77.2%
Q1 - 2:20MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 118
23.0%
26
77.0%
Q1 - 2:21OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)16
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q1 - 2:31OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot16
20.1%
26
79.9%
Q1 - 2:56OKCHarden 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)16
20.9%
26
79.1%
Q1 - 3:12MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 3:27OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)14
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 3:38MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)14
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 3:55OKCGreen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)14
28.1%
20
71.9%
Q1 - 4:06OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Richardson Driving Layup14
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 4:23OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)14
33.9%
17
66.1%
Q1 - 4:23OKCTHUNDER Rebound14
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 4:23OKCMISS Durant 18' Jump Shot14
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIAO'Neal Putback Dunk (4 PTS)14
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)12
30.0%
17
70.0%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot12
28.6%
17
71.4%
Q1 - 5:12OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
30.2%
17
69.8%
Q1 - 5:12OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
30.4%
16
69.6%
Q1 - 5:20OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
31.9%
15
68.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper12
32.5%
15
67.5%
Q1 - 5:35OKCGreen 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)12
34.0%
15
66.0%
Q1 - 5:44OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
35.7%
13
64.3%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot12
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 6:05OKCKrstic 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)12
37.7%
13
62.3%
Q1 - 6:21MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
39.6%
11
60.4%
Q1 - 6:39OKCSefolosha 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Krstic 1 AST)10
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS)10
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 7:05OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 7:22OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot8
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 7:47OKCKrstic Layup (4 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)8
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 7:56OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 7:58MIAGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)8
40.1%
7
59.9%
Q1 - 8:20OKCDurant Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
41.3%
7
58.7%
Q1 - 8:26OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
43.4%
5
56.6%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Alston Driving Layup8
44.0%
5
56.0%
Q1 - 8:38OKCDurant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)8
45.4%
5
54.6%
Q1 - 8:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
47.5%
3
52.5%
Q1 - 8:54MIABeasley Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
47.5%
3
52.5%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot6
44.0%
3
56.0%
Q1 - 9:05OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
45.3%
3
54.7%
Q1 - 9:19MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
43.5%
3
56.5%
Q1 - 9:27OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
41.4%
3
58.6%
Q1 - 9:27OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 9:31OKCMISS Krstic 17' Jump Shot4
40.8%
3
59.2%
Q1 - 9:49MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)4
39.6%
3
60.4%
Q1 - 9:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
41.4%
3
58.6%
Q1 - 9:54MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)4
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 10:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot4
39.8%
3
60.2%
Q1 - 10:19OKCKrstic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)4
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 10:28MIABeasley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
42.9%
1
57.1%
Q1 - 10:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.2%
1
58.8%
Q1 - 10:40OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
39.2%
1
60.8%
Q1 - 10:40OKCMISS Krstic Putback Layup2
40.6%
1
59.4%
Q1 - 10:42OKCMISS Sefolosha 17' Jump Shot2
40.6%
1
59.4%
Q1 - 11:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
39.0%
1
61.0%
Q1 - 11:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
38.6%
1
61.4%
Q1 - 11:23OKCGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
37.3%
1
62.7%
Q1 - 11:23OKCMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 20
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:39OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Green vs. O'Neal: Tip to Alston0
39.0%
0
61.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.5%
OKC
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
38
66%
OKC
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIA
8
36
22%
OKC
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
OKC
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
11
20
55%
OKC
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley2856%14.0 / 25
D. Wade2448%12.0 / 25
J. O'Neal1050%5.0 / 10
R. Alston542%2.5 / 6
D. Wright429%2.0 / 7
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
M. Chalmers233%1.0 / 3
D. Cook233%1.0 / 3
J. Magloire125%0.5 / 2
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3690%18.0 / 20
J. Green1458%7.0 / 12
J. Harden1464%7.0 / 11
N. Krstic836%4.0 / 11
S. Ibaka857%4.0 / 7
E. Maynor867%4.0 / 6
R. Westbrook638%3.0 / 8
T. Sefolosha440%2.0 / 5
N. Collison0-0.0 / 3
B. Mullens0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+14
-14
91
OKC
72
+17
-20
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.5%
OKC
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
108.1
MIA 87.9 +18.6
OKC 106.5
Pace
89.6
93.3
MIA 95.4 +7.4
OKC 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
MIA 15.1 +1.3
OKC 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.4%
MIA 42.1%
OKC 54.7% +12.6%
TO %
13.6%
15.1%
MIA 14.2% +7.3%
OKC 21.5%
ORB %
26.0%
28.6%
MIA 25.0%
OKC 30.0% +5.0%
FTrt
29.6
33.3
MIA 24.4
OKC 26.7 +2.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
53.5%
MIA 50.0%
OKC 60.5% +10.5%
STL %
8.1%
8.5%
MIA 16.5% +8.9%
OKC 7.6%
BLK %
9.4%
9.1%
MIA 11.1% +7.0%
OKC 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.1%
MIA 43.5%
OKC 54.4% +10.9%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.3%
MIA 65.8% +3.3%
OKC 62.5%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.5%
MIA 22.2%
OKC 43.6% +21.4%
3P %
34.6%
34.0%
MIA 12.5%
OKC 50.0% +37.5%
FT %
75.2%
80.5%
MIA 55.0%
OKC 80.0% +25.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
36.7%
MIA 46.3% +14.3%
OKC 32.0%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
44.7%
MIA 43.9% +8.1%
OKC 52.0%
3P Att. %
21.9%
18.5%
MIA 9.8%
OKC 16.0% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points8098
Rebounds3345
Assists1723
Steals157
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)20 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (0)36 (3)
Field Goals34-8238-75
At-the-Rim FG25-3815-24
Midrange FG8-3617-39
2-Point FG33-7432-63
3-Point FG1-86-12
Free Throws11-2016-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
39.3
28
56%
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
3
2-4
50%
13-22
59%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
37.9
24
48%
4
6
4
3
3
2
1
3
4-9
44%
10-21
48%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
28.8
10
50%
9
1
0
2
2
2
5
4
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
28.5
5
42%
0
3
3
0
1
4
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
15.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
28.1
4
29%
3
1
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
21.8
2
33%
2
4
3
2
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
18.2
4
40%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
8.0
1
25%
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
4.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 30
#22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
33
17
15
7
14
0
12
21
11-20
55%
33-74
45%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.