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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers77%100102
28Clippers23%90101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.0
39
40
32
4
4
2
2
1
5
2
2
5-7
71%
9-14
8-15
64%
55%
3-6
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 27.1
36
34
18
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
6-10
4-7
60%
49%
1-7
14%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 34.6
34
26
8
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
2-5
40%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.9
21
19
11
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
5-6
83%
3-7
4-6
43%
57%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 21.4
15
16
2
4
1
2
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
33
32
7
9
1
1
1
1
0
4
5
1-2
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.5
28
25
14
5
1
2
1
0
3
2
3
5-6
83%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.9
16
18
4
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 34.6
16
19
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.9
4
0
0-1
45%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
47%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.6
1
0
0-0
52%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
45
29
33
2
3
0
0
1
3
1
1
5-5
100%
8-9
2-5
89%
45%
4-9
44%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.1
40
33
28
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
7-11
4-7
64%
50%
4-5
80%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.8
36
33
9
2
8
1
2
1
3
1
1
3-6
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
45%
0-3
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
32
26
6
9
1
4
1
1
4
0
9
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.5
20
24
1
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-4
25%
0-0
3-5
-
57%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.2
23
18
16
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
55%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.3
22
12
8
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
2-2
100%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.6
12
13
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.7
12
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.1
24
0
3-8
46%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
7
0
0-1
50%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
4
0
0-1
41%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.