| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 DAL | 97.8 | 90 | 93.5 |
 TOR | 123.6 | 89 | 85.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
DAL
80
+12
-10
92
TOR
84
+14
-5
98
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DAL
0.96 47.8%
TOR
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DAL | TOR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 88 0% | 110 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | DAL | MISS Beaubois 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 88 0% | 110 100% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | TOR | Weems 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST) | 88 0% | 110 100% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | DAL | Ross 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Beaubois 2 AST) | 88 0% | 108 100% |
| Q4 - 0:46.0 | TOR | Weems Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 86 0% | 108 100% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | DAL | Ross 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beaubois 1 AST) | 86 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | DAL | Beaubois REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 84 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | DAL | MISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | TOR | Banks Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 108 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | TOR | Banks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | DAL | MISS Singleton 14' Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:54 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:15 | TOR | O'Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | DAL | MISS Beaubois 17' Step Back Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | DAL | Weems BLOCK (1 BLK) | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | DAL | Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | TOR | MISS O'Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | TOR | O'Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 106 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | DAL | Carroll 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | DAL | Ross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 82 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | DAL | MISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot | 82 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | DAL | Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 82 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | DAL | Carroll 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barea 2 AST) | 82 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | TOR | Turkoglu Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS) | 79 0.1% | 105 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 3 | 79 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 3 | 79 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:15 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 79 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:15 | DAL | MISS Ross 19' Jump Shot | 79 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | TOR | Bargnani 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 79 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 79 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | TOR | MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 | 79 0.1% | 102 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | DAL | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 79 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | TOR | Johnson 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST) | 79 0.1% | 100 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | DAL | Kidd 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marion 2 AST) | 79 0.2% | 98 99.8% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | TOR | Bargnani 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 77 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 77 0.3% | 95 99.7% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | TOR | MISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot | 77 0.3% | 95 99.7% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | DAL | Kidd 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 77 0.5% | 95 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | TOR | Calderon 21' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 75 0.4% | 95 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:44 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 75 0.5% | 93 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 0.6% | 93 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:06 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 75 0.8% | 93 99.2% |
| Q4 - 7:06 | DAL | MISS Kidd 3' Driving Layup | 75 0.9% | 93 99.1% |
| Q4 - 7:13 | TOR | Wright 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST) | 75 1.0% | 93 99.0% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw Technical (13 PTS) | 75 1.8% | 90 98.2% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 75 2.3% | 89 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | DAL | MISS Terry Driving Layup | 75 2.5% | 89 97.5% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | TOR | Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 75 3.1% | 89 96.9% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 75 2.3% | 89 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | DAL | MISS Terry 9' Jump Shot | 75 2.5% | 89 97.5% |
| Q4 - 8:22 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 75 4.1% | 89 95.9% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 3.8% | 89 96.2% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | DAL | Marion Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 75 3.2% | 89 96.8% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | DAL | Marion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 75 4.0% | 89 96.0% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | TOR | MISS Bosh 6' Fadeaway Jumper | 75 3.7% | 89 96.3% |
| Q4 - 8:43 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 75 3.2% | 89 96.8% |
| Q4 - 8:44 | TOR | MISS Johnson 6' Jump Hook Shot | 75 3.7% | 89 96.3% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 75 3.1% | 89 96.9% |
| Q4 - 8:57 | TOR | MISS Calderon 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 75 3.7% | 89 96.3% |
| Q4 - 9:09 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 75 4.2% | 89 95.8% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | DAL | MISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 4.5% | 89 95.5% |
| Q4 - 9:22 | TOR | Calderon 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 75 5.2% | 89 94.8% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | DAL | Beaubois 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 75 6.5% | 87 93.5% |
| Q4 - 9:55 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 73 5.1% | 87 94.9% |
| Q4 - 9:55 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 73 5.3% | 86 94.7% |
| Q4 - 10:07 | DAL | Terry Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 73 6.1% | 86 93.9% |
| Q4 - 10:07 | DAL | Terry Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 72 6.0% | 86 94.0% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | TOR | Johnson Layup (6 PTS) (Wright 3 AST) | 71 5.0% | 86 95.0% |
| Q4 - 10:21 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 71 6.1% | 84 93.9% |
| Q4 - 10:23 | TOR | MISS Calderon 5' Running Jump Shot | 71 7.1% | 84 92.9% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | DAL | Terry Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 71 6.1% | 84 93.9% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 71 7.5% | 84 92.5% |
| Q4 - 10:46 | TOR | MISS Johnson Layup | 71 7.0% | 84 93.0% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 71 6.1% | 84 93.9% |
| Q4 - 10:49 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 14' Pullup Jump Shot | 71 7.0% | 84 93.0% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | DAL | Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 71 7.2% | 84 92.8% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | DAL | Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 68 4.8% | 84 95.2% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 4.5% | 84 95.5% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 68 3.9% | 84 96.1% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | DAL | Johnson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 68 4.1% | 84 95.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 68 4.7% | 84 95.3% | |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 68 5.5% | 84 94.5% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | TOR | MISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 5.2% | 84 94.8% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | DAL | Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST) | 68 4.6% | 84 95.4% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | TOR | Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wright 2 AST) | 65 3.0% | 84 97.0% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 65 4.6% | 81 95.4% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | DAL | MISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2 | 65 4.7% | 81 95.3% |
| Q3 - 0:59.0 | DAL | Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 65 5.3% | 81 94.7% |
| Q3 - 1:16 | TOR | Johnson Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Jack 7 AST) | 64 5.0% | 81 95.0% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | TOR | Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 64 6.1% | 79 93.9% |
| Q3 - 1:21 | DAL | MISS Marion 9' Running Jump Shot | 64 6.4% | 79 93.6% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | DAL | Marion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 64 7.2% | 79 92.8% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | TOR | MISS Calderon 15' Pullup Jump Shot | 64 6.9% | 79 93.1% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw Technical (10 PTS) | 64 6.1% | 79 93.9% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | DAL | Nowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T8) | 64 7.3% | 78 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:53 | TOR | Jack Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 64 8.6% | 78 91.4% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 64 13.6% | 75 86.4% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | DAL | MISS Terry 20' Jump Shot | 64 14.3% | 75 85.7% |
| Q3 - 2:16 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 64 15.9% | 75 84.1% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | TOR | MISS Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 | 64 15.6% | 75 84.4% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 64 13.9% | 75 86.1% |
| Q3 - 2:34 | DAL | Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 64 15.9% | 74 84.1% |
| Q3 - 2:34 | DAL | Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 63 15.4% | 74 84.6% |
| Q3 - 2:53 | TOR | Bargnani 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jack 6 AST) | 62 13.5% | 74 86.5% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 62 17.3% | 72 82.7% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper | 62 18.2% | 72 81.8% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | TOR | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 62 20.1% | 72 79.9% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | TOR | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 62 20.6% | 71 79.4% |
| Q3 - 3:57 | DAL | Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 62 22.9% | 70 77.1% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 60 21.1% | 70 78.9% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | TOR | MISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 60 20.0% | 70 80.0% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | DAL | Gooden 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 60 17.9% | 70 82.1% |
| Q3 - 4:27 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 58 15.8% | 70 84.2% |
| Q3 - 4:29 | DAL | Bargnani BLOCK (2 BLK) | 58 14.0% | 70 86.0% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | DAL | Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 15.8% | 70 84.2% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 15.0% | 70 85.0% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | DAL | Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST) | 58 13.3% | 70 86.7% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | TOR | Jack 5' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 56 12.5% | 70 87.5% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | TOR | Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 14.2% | 68 85.8% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | DAL | MISS Howard 11' Turnaround Hook Shot | 56 14.9% | 68 85.1% |
| Q3 - 5:34 | TOR | DeRozan 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 5 AST) | 56 16.6% | 68 83.4% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | DAL | Marion 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Howard 2 AST) | 56 18.7% | 66 81.3% |
| Q3 - 6:13 | TOR | DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 4 AST) | 54 17.7% | 66 82.3% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | DAL | Marion 9' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS) | 54 19.9% | 64 80.1% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS) | 52 17.7% | 64 82.3% |
| Q3 - 6:59 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 52 22.5% | 61 77.5% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup | 52 24.8% | 61 75.2% |
| Q3 - 7:12 | DAL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 52 23.7% | 61 76.3% |
| Q3 - 7:12 | DAL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 51 23.2% | 61 76.8% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | TOR | Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 50 21.2% | 61 78.8% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | DAL | Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 50 26.5% | 58 73.5% |
| Q3 - 7:45 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 | 49 26.3% | 58 73.7% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | TOR | Bosh 20' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST) | 49 26.8% | 58 73.2% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | DAL | Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 49 30.2% | 56 69.8% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | TOR | Bargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 46 24.4% | 56 75.6% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | DAL | Marion Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 46 27.9% | 54 72.1% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | DAL | MISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 2 | 45 27.4% | 54 72.6% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | DAL | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 45 27.9% | 54 72.1% |
| Q3 - 9:28 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 27.0% | 54 73.0% |
| Q3 - 10:00 | DAL | Marion 4' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS) | 45 25.0% | 54 75.0% |
| Q3 - 10:11 | DAL | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 43 23.4% | 54 76.6% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 5' Jump Hook Shot | 43 22.6% | 54 77.4% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 43 20.8% | 54 79.2% |
| Q3 - 10:20 | DAL | Bargnani BLOCK (1 BLK) | 43 21.6% | 54 78.4% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | DAL | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 43 23.3% | 54 76.7% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot | 43 22.5% | 54 77.5% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 43 20.8% | 54 79.2% |
| Q3 - 10:42 | DAL | MISS Marion 9' Running Jump Shot | 43 21.6% | 54 78.5% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 43 24.4% | 54 75.6% |
| Q3 - 11:05 | TOR | MISS Jack 21' Pullup Jump Shot | 43 23.6% | 54 76.4% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | DAL | Howard 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST) | 43 21.8% | 54 78.2% |
| Q3 - 11:38 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 41 19.6% | 54 80.4% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | TOR | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 41 18.9% | 54 81.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 41 17.4% | 54 82.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 41 19.6% | 54 80.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 41 18.0% | 54 82.0% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | TOR | Calderon 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 41 20.5% | 54 79.5% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | DAL | Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Marion 1 AST) | 41 23.2% | 52 76.8% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 39 20.4% | 52 79.6% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 3' Layup | 39 19.2% | 52 80.8% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | TOR | Bosh 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (17 PTS) | 39 20.4% | 52 79.6% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 39 24.0% | 50 76.0% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | DAL | MISS Kidd 3PT Jump Shot | 39 24.5% | 50 75.5% |
| Q2 - 1:29 | TOR | Calderon 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 39 25.8% | 50 74.2% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 39 29.1% | 48 70.9% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | DAL | MISS Terry 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 39 29.7% | 48 70.3% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | TOR | Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST) | 39 31.1% | 48 68.9% |
| Q2 - 2:21 | DAL | Marion 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 39 37.9% | 45 62.1% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | TOR | Bargnani 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST) | 37 35.0% | 45 65.0% |
| Q2 - 3:05 | DAL | Terry 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST) | 37 38.4% | 43 61.6% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | TOR | Bargnani Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 35 36.0% | 43 64.0% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 32.6% | 43 67.4% |
| Q2 - 3:21 | TOR | MISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Hook Shot | 35 35.0% | 43 65.0% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | DAL | Nowitzki 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST) | 35 32.6% | 43 67.4% |
| Q2 - 3:45 | TOR | Bosh 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST) | 33 30.4% | 43 69.6% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 32.6% | 41 67.4% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 | 33 33.0% | 41 67.0% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 | 33 35.1% | 41 64.9% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 33 36.4% | 41 63.6% |
| Q2 - 4:28 | DAL | Calderon STEAL (2 STL) | 33 41.9% | 38 58.1% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | TOR | Wright 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST) | 33 45.2% | 38 54.8% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | DAL | Terry 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 33 51.0% | 35 49.0% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | DAL | Terry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 48.3% | 35 51.7% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | TOR | MISS Calderon 22' Jump Shot | 31 47.2% | 35 52.8% |
| Q2 - 5:12 | DAL | Terry 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST) | 31 45.7% | 35 54.3% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | TOR | Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST) | 29 42.6% | 35 57.4% |
| Q2 - 5:39 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 45.6% | 33 54.4% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | DAL | MISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 46.5% | 33 53.5% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 29 48.5% | 33 51.5% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | TOR | MISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot | 29 47.6% | 33 52.4% |
| Q2 - 6:14 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 29 45.6% | 33 54.4% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | DAL | MISS Gooden 7' Turnaround Hook Shot | 29 46.6% | 33 53.4% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 29 49.0% | 33 51.0% |
| Q2 - 6:22 | DAL | MISS Howard 22' Pullup Jump Shot | 29 46.6% | 33 53.4% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | TOR | Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST) | 29 49.0% | 33 51.0% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | DAL | Turkoglu STEAL (2 STL) | 29 54.3% | 30 45.7% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 29 57.7% | 30 42.3% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | TOR | MISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 56.8% | 30 43.2% |
| Q2 - 7:24 | DAL | Terry 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 29 54.8% | 30 45.2% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | DAL | Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 52.1% | 30 47.9% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 51.2% | 30 48.8% |
| Q2 - 7:53 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 27 49.1% | 30 50.9% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | DAL | MISS Terry 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 27 50.0% | 30 50.0% |
| Q2 - 8:16 | TOR | Bosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST) | 27 52.2% | 30 47.8% |
| Q2 - 8:34 | DAL | Howard 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Singleton 1 AST) | 27 54.9% | 28 45.1% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | TOR | Johnson 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 25 52.2% | 28 47.8% |
| Q2 - 9:07 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 54.8% | 26 45.2% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | DAL | MISS Singleton 17' Jump Shot | 25 55.6% | 26 44.4% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 25 57.6% | 26 42.4% |
| Q2 - 9:28 | TOR | MISS Weems 9' Jump Shot | 25 56.7% | 26 43.3% |
| Q2 - 9:37 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 25 54.8% | 26 45.2% |
| Q2 - 9:37 | DAL | MISS Barea 22' Pullup Jump Shot | 25 55.6% | 26 44.4% |
| Q2 - 9:59 | TOR | Calderon 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 25 57.6% | 26 42.4% |
| Q2 - 10:01 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 25 59.8% | 24 40.2% |
| Q2 - 10:02 | TOR | MISS Calderon 1' Reverse Layup | 25 61.7% | 24 38.3% |
| Q2 - 10:07 | DAL | Calderon STEAL (1 STL) | 25 59.8% | 24 40.2% |
| Q2 - 10:20 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 25 62.5% | 24 37.5% |
| Q2 - 10:22 | TOR | MISS Johnson 3' Alley Oop Layup | 25 61.7% | 24 38.3% |
| Q2 - 10:32 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 25 59.8% | 24 40.2% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | DAL | MISS Barea 5' Running Jump Shot | 25 60.7% | 24 39.3% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | DAL | Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 62.6% | 24 37.4% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | DAL | MISS Howard 22' Jump Shot | 25 60.7% | 24 39.3% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | TOR | Wright 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 25 62.3% | 24 37.7% |
| Q2 - 11:25 | DAL | Terry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST) | 25 64.5% | 22 35.5% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | TOR | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 23 62.3% | 22 37.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | 23 64.6% | 20 35.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 23 67.0% | 20 33.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DAL | MISS Terry 41' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 23 65.3% | 20 34.7% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 23 66.2% | 20 33.8% |
| Q1 - 0:11.0 | DAL | Mavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 23 64.5% | 20 35.5% |
| Q1 - 0:11.0 | DAL | Mavericks Rebound | 23 66.2% | 20 33.8% |
| Q1 - 0:11.0 | DAL | MISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot | 23 65.0% | 20 35.0% |
| Q1 - 0:42.0 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 23 66.3% | 20 33.7% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | TOR | MISS Weems 14' Fadeaway Jumper | 23 65.7% | 20 34.3% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | TOR | Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 64.5% | 20 35.5% |
| Q1 - 0:51.0 | DAL | MISS Gooden 5' Turnaround Hook Shot | 23 65.0% | 20 35.0% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 23 66.3% | 20 33.7% |
| Q1 - 0:54.0 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot | 23 65.0% | 20 35.0% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | TOR | DeRozan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 3 AST) | 23 66.0% | 20 34.0% |
| Q1 - 1:18 | DAL | Jack STEAL (1 STL) | 23 68.7% | 18 31.3% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | DAL | Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 70.1% | 18 29.9% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | TOR | MISS Weems 21' Jump Shot | 23 69.7% | 18 30.3% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | DAL | Nowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST) | 23 68.7% | 18 31.3% |
| Q1 - 1:47 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 21 66.0% | 18 34.0% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | TOR | MISS Jack 10' Floating Jump Shot | 21 65.5% | 18 34.5% |
| Q1 - 2:11 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 64.3% | 18 35.7% |
| Q1 - 2:12 | DAL | MISS Nowitzki 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 21 64.8% | 18 35.2% |
| Q1 - 2:23 | TOR | Jack 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 21 66.1% | 18 33.9% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | DAL | Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST) | 21 68.5% | 16 31.5% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | TOR | DeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 18 64.3% | 16 35.7% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | DAL | Marion 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST) | 18 66.3% | 14 33.7% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | DAL | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 64.3% | 14 35.7% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | TOR | MISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot | 16 63.6% | 14 36.4% |
| Q1 - 4:01 | DAL | Marion 10' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 16 61.8% | 14 38.2% |
| Q1 - 4:15 | TOR | Jack 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 14 59.8% | 14 40.2% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | DAL | Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST) | 14 61.8% | 12 38.2% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | TOR | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 2 AST) | 12 59.8% | 12 40.2% |
| Q1 - 4:49 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 12 61.9% | 10 38.1% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | DAL | Bosh BLOCK (2 BLK) | 12 62.5% | 10 37.5% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 12 63.6% | 10 36.4% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 12 64.0% | 9 36.0% |
| Q1 - 5:23 | DAL | Dampier Traveling Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 65.4% | 8 34.6% |
| Q1 - 5:56 | TOR | Bosh 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 12 67.6% | 8 32.4% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | DAL | Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST) | 12 69.2% | 6 30.8% |
| Q1 - 6:19 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 10 67.4% | 6 32.6% |
| Q1 - 6:19 | TOR | MISS Jack 21' Pullup Jump Shot | 10 66.8% | 6 33.2% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | DAL | Marion 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST) | 10 65.4% | 6 34.6% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 8 63.6% | 6 36.4% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | TOR | MISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot | 8 63.0% | 6 37.0% |
| Q1 - 6:57 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 8 61.5% | 6 38.5% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | DAL | MISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 62.1% | 6 37.9% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | DAL | Marion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 63.6% | 6 36.4% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | TOR | MISS Bargnani Layup | 8 63.0% | 6 37.0% |
| Q1 - 7:08 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 8 61.5% | 6 38.5% |
| Q1 - 7:09 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 23' Jump Shot | 8 63.0% | 6 37.0% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | DAL | Nowitzki 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 8 61.6% | 6 38.4% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | DAL | Nowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 59.7% | 6 40.3% |
| Q1 - 7:39 | TOR | MISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 | 6 59.4% | 6 40.6% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 6 61.6% | 4 38.4% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | DAL | MISS Marion 10' Jump Shot | 6 62.2% | 4 37.8% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | TOR | Turkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 63.7% | 4 36.3% |
| Q1 - 8:12 | DAL | Turkoglu STEAL (1 STL) | 6 61.8% | 4 38.2% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 6 63.7% | 4 36.3% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Jump Shot | 6 63.1% | 4 36.9% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 6 61.8% | 4 38.2% |
| Q1 - 8:19 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Layup | 6 63.1% | 4 36.9% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 61.8% | 4 38.2% |
| Q1 - 8:24 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 2' Layup | 6 63.1% | 4 36.9% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | DAL | Kidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 6 61.8% | 4 38.2% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | DAL | Kidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 5 61.4% | 4 38.6% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | DAL | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 59.8% | 4 40.2% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot | 4 59.2% | 4 40.8% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 4 57.8% | 4 42.2% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | DAL | MISS Howard 10' Jump Shot | 4 58.9% | 4 41.1% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 4 60.2% | 4 39.8% |
| Q1 - 9:06 | DAL | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 4 58.9% | 4 41.1% |
| Q1 - 9:23 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 60.2% | 4 39.8% |
| Q1 - 9:23 | TOR | MISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot | 4 59.6% | 4 40.4% |
| Q1 - 9:32 | DAL | Howard 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST) | 4 58.3% | 4 41.7% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | DAL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 56.2% | 4 43.8% |
| Q1 - 9:37 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 4' Jump Shot | 2 55.7% | 4 44.3% |
| Q1 - 9:51 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 54.3% | 4 45.7% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | DAL | MISS Howard 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 2 54.9% | 4 45.1% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | TOR | Bargnani 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST) | 2 56.5% | 4 43.5% |
| Q1 - 10:33 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 58.2% | 2 41.8% |
| Q1 - 10:34 | DAL | MISS Howard 19' Jump Shot | 2 58.8% | 2 41.2% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | DAL | Kidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 60.2% | 2 39.8% |
| Q1 - 10:42 | TOR | MISS Bosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup | 2 59.6% | 2 40.4% |
| Q1 - 10:48 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 58.2% | 2 41.8% |
| Q1 - 10:48 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 15' Pullup Jump Shot | 2 59.6% | 2 40.4% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 58.4% | 2 41.6% |
| Q1 - 11:02 | DAL | MISS Kidd 20' Jump Shot | 2 58.9% | 2 41.1% |
| Q1 - 11:19 | TOR | Jack 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 59.9% | 2 40.1% |
| Q1 - 11:45 | DAL | Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST) | 2 61.6% | 0 38.4% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | TOR | Jump Ball Bosh vs. Dampier: Tip to Kidd | 0 60.0% | 0 40.0% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
DAL
0.96 47.8%
TOR
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
14
24
58%
TOR
12
24
50%
Midrange
DAL
17
41
41%
TOR
25
50
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
TOR
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
DAL
11
16
69%
TOR
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Mavericks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nowitzki | 19 | 56% | 9.5 / 17 | |
| J. Terry | 18 | 56% | 9.0 / 16 | |
| S. Marion | 15 | 58% | 7.5 / 13 | |
| J. Kidd | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| J. Howard | 8 | 31% | 4.0 / 13 | |
| D. Gooden | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| M. Carroll | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| Q. Ross | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| R. Beaubois | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| E. Dampier | 0 | - | 0.0 / 0 | |
| J. Barea | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| J. Singleton | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 23 | 57% | 11.5 / 20 | |
| A. Bargnani | 22 | 61% | 11.0 / 18 | |
| J. Calderon | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| J. Jack | 11 | 69% | 5.5 / 8 | |
| A. Johnson | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 8 | 36% | 4.0 / 11 | |
| D. DeRozan | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| A. Wright | 8 | 100% | 4.0 / 4 | |
| S. Weems | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| M. Banks | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| P. O'Bryant | 1 | 50% | 0.5 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DAL
80
+12
-10
92
TOR
84
+14
-5
98
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DAL
0.96 47.8%
TOR
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 109.2 111.0 | DAL 97.8 +25.8 TOR 123.6 |
| Pace | 92.6 93.3 | DAL 93.5 +7.7 TOR 85.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.7 15.3 | DAL 15.4 +1.4 TOR 16.8 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.6% 52.1% | DAL 48.1% TOR 52.8% +4.7% |
| TO % | 13.2% 13.8% | DAL 11.2% TOR 4.8% +6.4% |
| ORB % | 24.3% 24.8% | DAL 19.5% TOR 26.7% +7.2% |
| FTrt | 27.7 31.9 | DAL 20.0 TOR 24.4 +4.4 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 61.1% 56.4% | DAL 63.9% +0.3% TOR 63.6% |
| STL % | 8.1% 6.1% | DAL 5.6% TOR 6.7% +1.1% |
| BLK % | 8.5% 7.4% | DAL 5.4% TOR 9.2% +3.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.6% 54.9% | DAL 47.8% TOR 56.1% +8.3% |
| Rim FG% | 58.4% 61.6% | DAL 58.3% +8.3% TOR 50.0% |
| Mid FG% | 42.9% 42.9% | DAL 41.5% TOR 50.0% +8.5% |
| 3P % | 37.2% 37.1% | DAL 33.3% TOR 43.8% +10.5% |
| FT % | 81.7% 76.4% | DAL 68.8% +0.6% TOR 68.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.8% 35.0% | DAL 30.0% +3.3% TOR 26.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 47.1% 43.9% | DAL 51.2% +4.3% TOR 55.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.2% 21.1% | DAL 18.8% +1.0% TOR 17.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.
| Game Totals | DAL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 90 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.1 | 24.9 |
| Points | 88 | 110 |
| Rebounds | 41 | 45 |
| Assists | 23 | 28 |
| Steals | 5 | 6 |
| Blocks | 4 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (1) | 5 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (4) | 12 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 33 (3) | 33 (1) |
| Field Goals | 36-80 | 44-90 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 14-24 | 12-24 |
| Midrange FG | 17-41 | 25-50 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-65 | 37-74 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-15 | 7-16 |
| Free Throws | 11-16 | 15-22 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.