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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks56%10288
13Raptors44%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.6
35.7
39.1
19
57%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-4
25%
9-14
9-18
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.7
35.0
30.1
15
58%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
7-12
5-9
58%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.8
32.0
35.2
12
68%
5
9
0
2
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.7
31.1
30.3
8
31%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-10
5-9
30%
48%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.5
21.0
26.5
0
0%
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
62%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
29.5
32.4
18
57%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
2-4
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
15.0
18.2
5
53%
10
0
1
0
1
0
4
6
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
11.4
13.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
10.6
5.6
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
9.3
2.9
2
25%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.7
4.7
3.8
4
67%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
4.7
2.7
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
36.3
32.5
8
36%
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
34.8
33.7
23
56%
13
2
0
1
2
0
2
11
5-6
83%
9-18
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
34.7
36.6
22
60%
6
1
0
1
2
1
3
3
1-3
33%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
3-6
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.4
24.1
24.9
8
44%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
23.6
25.1
11
65%
3
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
49%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
23.9
10.6
8
100%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
23.1
24.6
15
58%
2
7
2
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
5-10
3-5
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
22.6
18.3
10
53%
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-1
0%
5-9
2-3
56%
56%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
9.2
18.1
2
25%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.2
3.9
5.1
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
3.9
1.4
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
2.5
0
0-1
52%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.