FinalWin Prob.pScore
933%99
112
467%104
119
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
107.7104102.0
DEN logo DEN
115.5103105.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN112
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0UTAKorver 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)112
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0UTAJazz Rebound110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0UTAMISS Miles 28' 3PT Jump Shot110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)110
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)110
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0UTAMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENAnthony Finger Roll Layup (37 PTS)108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)108
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0UTAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)108
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)108
0.7%
115
99.3%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)108
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)108
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0UTAMatthews Layup (7 PTS)108
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0UTAMISS Matthews Layup106
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)106
0.8%
113
99.2%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.5%
113
99.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)106
1.2%
113
98.8%
Q4 - 1:13UTAMillsap Layup (17 PTS)106
5.3%
110
94.7%
Q4 - 1:14UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
3.3%
110
96.7%
Q4 - 1:15UTAMISS D. Williams 14' Jump Shot104
2.1%
110
97.9%
Q4 - 1:28DENAnthony Driving Layup (35 PTS)104
4.0%
110
96.0%
Q4 - 1:42UTABoozer Layup (18 PTS) (D. Williams 13 AST)104
7.2%
108
92.8%
Q4 - 1:45UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)102
4.8%
108
95.2%
Q4 - 1:46DENMISS Anthony 18' Fadeaway Jumper102
4.2%
108
95.8%
Q4 - 1:53DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)102
2.9%
108
97.1%
Q4 - 1:55DENMISS Billups Driving Layup102
4.2%
108
95.8%
Q4 - 2:10UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)102
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 2:10UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)101
2.6%
108
97.4%
Q4 - 2:16DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)100
2.0%
108
98.0%
Q4 - 2:16DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)100
2.2%
107
97.8%
Q4 - 2:38UTAMillsap 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 12 AST)100
2.7%
106
97.3%
Q4 - 2:54DENAnthony Driving Layup (33 PTS)98
2.7%
106
97.3%
Q4 - 3:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 3:11UTAMISS Boozer Driving Layup98
4.3%
104
95.7%
Q4 - 3:29UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)98
6.3%
104
93.7%
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 298
5.8%
104
94.2%
Q4 - 3:30DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)98
4.2%
104
95.8%
Q4 - 3:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
8.3%
103
91.7%
Q4 - 3:41DENMISS Anthony 17' Fadeaway Jumper98
10.8%
103
89.2%
Q4 - 3:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)98
8.2%
103
91.8%
Q4 - 3:52DENMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot98
10.6%
103
89.4%
Q4 - 4:09UTAMillsap 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (D. Williams 11 AST)98
8.0%
103
92.0%
Q4 - 4:19UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
5.7%
103
94.3%
Q4 - 4:20DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
5.0%
103
95.0%
Q4 - 4:37DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
3.8%
103
96.2%
Q4 - 4:38UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
4.3%
103
95.7%
Q4 - 4:58DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
5.6%
103
94.4%
Q4 - 4:58DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)96
5.8%
102
94.2%
Q4 - 5:16UTAKorver 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (D. Williams 10 AST)96
10.0%
101
90.0%
Q4 - 5:31UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)93
5.4%
101
94.6%
Q4 - 5:32DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
4.9%
101
95.1%
Q4 - 5:58UTAD. Williams Driving Reverse Layup (21 PTS)93
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 6:08DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (31 PTS)91
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 6:28UTAKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)91
4.9%
99
95.1%
Q4 - 6:34UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 6:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 6:37DENMISS Martin Tip Shot88
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 6:37DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot88
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 6:50UTANene STEAL (3 STL)88
2.0%
99
98.0%
Q4 - 7:05DENNUGGETS Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#17)88
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 7:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 7:13UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 288
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 7:13UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 288
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 7:29DENAnthony Layup (29 PTS)88
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 7:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 7:32DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup88
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 7:51UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)88
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 7:51UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 287
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 8:07UTAKorver Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)87
5.4%
97
94.6%
Q4 - 8:10DENAnthony Layup (27 PTS)86
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 8:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
5.4%
95
94.6%
Q4 - 8:30UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 286
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 8:30UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
6.6%
95
93.4%
Q4 - 8:30UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 8:32UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot85
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q4 - 8:46UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)85
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 8:48DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 285
5.1%
95
94.9%
Q4 - 8:48DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 285
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 8:48UTAMillsap Foul Turnover (P3.T19)85
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 9:02DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)85
6.3%
95
93.7%
Q4 - 9:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
9.8%
92
90.2%
Q4 - 9:09UTAMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot85
10.4%
92
89.6%
Q4 - 9:23DENAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P7.T16)85
12.0%
92
88.0%
Q4 - 9:44UTAGaines Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)85
9.7%
92
90.3%
Q4 - 10:06DENNene Dunk (18 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)85
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q4 - 10:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
15.4%
90
84.6%
Q4 - 10:14UTAMISS Korver 20' Jump Shot85
16.3%
90
83.7%
Q4 - 10:29DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P6.T15)85
18.6%
90
81.4%
Q4 - 10:46UTAMillsap Dunk (10 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)85
15.4%
90
84.6%
Q4 - 10:58DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)83
12.7%
90
87.3%
Q4 - 11:14UTAAnthony STEAL (3 STL)83
19.2%
87
80.8%
Q4 - 11:24DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
22.6%
87
77.4%
Q4 - 11:24DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
23.2%
86
76.8%
Q4 - 11:37UTAOkur 6' Jump Bank Hook Shot (8 PTS)83
26.7%
85
73.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN81
22.6%
85
77.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAD. Williams 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
19.2%
85
80.8%
Q3 - 0:12.0UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot79
15.7%
85
84.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0UTABoozer 9' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)79
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
11.6%
85
88.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot77
11.0%
85
89.0%
Q3 - 1:13UTAKorver Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)77
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q3 - 1:22DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)75
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q3 - 1:46UTAKorver Layup (8 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)75
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q3 - 1:50DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)73
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q3 - 2:04DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q3 - 2:06UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q3 - 2:06UTAMISS Millsap Tip Shot73
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q3 - 2:08UTAMISS Millsap Driving Layup73
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q3 - 2:22DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q3 - 2:22DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q3 - 2:37UTAKorver 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)73
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q3 - 2:46UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q3 - 2:46DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot70
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 3:09UTAMillsap 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 3:27DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P2.T12)68
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 3:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
3.3%
83
96.7%
Q3 - 3:37UTAMISS D. Williams 11' Jump Shot68
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q3 - 3:54DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)68
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 3:59UTANene STEAL (2 STL)68
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q3 - 4:22DENAfflalo Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)68
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q3 - 4:32UTAMillsap 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)68
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q3 - 4:41DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)66
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 5:08UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (16 PTS)66
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 5:13UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
7.4%
76
92.6%
Q3 - 5:14DENMISS Anthony Layup64
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 5:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 5:17DENMISS Anthony Layup64
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 5:33DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 5:35UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 264
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 5:35UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 5:37UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 5:38DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot63
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q3 - 5:48UTABoozer 8' Jump Bank Hook Shot (14 PTS)63
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q3 - 6:14DENNene 6' Jump Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)61
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q3 - 6:28DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 6:29DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 6:41UTABillups STEAL (2 STL)61
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 6:55DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 6:55DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
6.8%
73
93.2%
Q3 - 7:04DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 7:05UTAMISS Okur 8' Jump Hook Shot61
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 7:25DENBillups Driving Layup (16 PTS)61
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 7:45UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (13 PTS)61
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 7:51UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 7:52DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 7:58DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
8.0%
70
92.0%
Q3 - 7:59UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
8.4%
70
91.6%
Q3 - 8:12UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 8:13DENMISS Nene 4' Running Hook Shot59
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 8:29UTABrewer Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Boozer 5 AST)59
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 8:46UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 8:55DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 8:57UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Layup57
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 9:05UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 9:05DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 9:17UTABoozer 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 9:31DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 9:31DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q3 - 9:45UTABoozer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)55
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 9:59UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 10:00UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot55
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 10:13DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 10:13DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 255
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 10:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 10:24UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Finger Roll Layup55
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 10:34DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)55
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 10:39DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 10:40UTAMISS Boozer Layup55
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 10:54DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)55
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 11:02UTABillups STEAL (1 STL)55
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 11:17DENAnthony Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)55
16.8%
62
83.2%
Q3 - 11:36UTAKirilenko Dunk (7 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)55
18.8%
60
81.2%
Q3 - 11:50DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)53
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA53
14.9%
60
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound53
16.8%
60
83.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMISS D. Williams 31' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)53
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0UTAMillsap 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)53
15.6%
60
84.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
13.5%
60
86.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot51
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)51
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
9.4%
60
90.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 248
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)48
9.7%
59
90.3%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q2 - 1:09DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q2 - 1:09DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 246
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 1:12UTALawson STEAL (2 STL)46
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 1:12DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)46
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q2 - 1:33UTABrewer Dunk (7 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)46
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 1:37DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q2 - 1:46UTAKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)44
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q2 - 1:55UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Nene Layup41
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q2 - 2:16UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)41
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 2:26DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)41
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 2:26DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q2 - 2:26DENNUGGETS Rebound41
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 2:26UTAMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot41
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 2:45DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)41
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q2 - 3:01UTAD. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)41
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 3:19DENAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T7)38
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 3:22UTALawson STEAL (1 STL)38
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q2 - 3:33UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 3:34DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 3:45UTAAnthony STEAL (2 STL)38
5.6%
54
94.4%
Q2 - 3:54UTAKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 3:55DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot38
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 4:05DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 4:07UTAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)38
6.1%
54
93.9%
Q2 - 4:19DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q2 - 4:19DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q2 - 4:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 4:28UTAMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 4:35UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 4:37DENMISS Lawson Layup38
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q2 - 4:42UTAAndersen STEAL (2 STL)38
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 4:56DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)38
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 4:59DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
10.3%
49
89.7%
Q2 - 5:00UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot38
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 5:20DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)38
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 5:36UTAD. Williams 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 5:53DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)36
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 6:15DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 6:17UTAMISS Kirilenko Driving Layup36
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 6:33DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 6:56UTAOkur 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)36
19.8%
41
80.2%
Q2 - 7:05UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 7:06DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot33
16.1%
41
83.9%
Q2 - 7:21UTAKirilenko Layup (5 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)33
15.0%
41
85.0%
Q2 - 7:27UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 7:29DENMISS Afflalo 14' Jump Shot31
13.3%
41
86.7%
Q2 - 7:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 7:38UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
12.7%
41
87.3%
Q2 - 8:00UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 8:01DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 8:17UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
12.7%
41
87.3%
Q2 - 8:35DENNene Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)28
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 8:49UTAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)28
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 9:08DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
12.9%
39
87.1%
Q2 - 9:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 9:19UTAMISS Price 15' Jump Shot28
15.9%
36
84.1%
Q2 - 9:34DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 9:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 9:51UTAMISS Matthews 22' Jump Shot28
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 10:07UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q2 - 10:08DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 10:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 10:26UTAMISS Matthews Driving Layup28
20.8%
33
79.2%
Q2 - 10:41DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 10:41DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q2 - 10:43DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 10:45UTASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)28
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 11:00DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 11:10DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 11:11UTAMISS Miles Driving Finger Roll Layup28
30.7%
28
69.3%
Q2 - 11:30DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)28
32.3%
28
67.7%
Q2 - 11:35DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q2 - 11:36UTAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)28
30.7%
28
69.3%
Q2 - 11:41DENAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)28
32.3%
28
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN28
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound28
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 77' 3PT Running Jump Shot28
31.6%
28
68.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)28
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0UTAJazz Rebound28
31.6%
28
68.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENMISS Smith Layup28
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAMatthews 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)28
30.0%
28
70.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot25
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0UTAMiles 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)25
24.2%
28
75.8%
Q1 - 1:05UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
22.2%
28
77.8%
Q1 - 1:06DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 223
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q1 - 1:06DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q1 - 1:20UTAMatthews 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)23
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q1 - 1:38UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 1:39DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 221
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 1:39DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q1 - 1:44DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q1 - 1:45UTAMISS Millsap Layup21
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 1:52UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.1%
26
77.9%
Q1 - 1:53DENMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot21
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q1 - 2:18UTAMillsap 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)21
21.2%
26
78.8%
Q1 - 2:37DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q1 - 2:37DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 2:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q1 - 2:47UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot19
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 3:02DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q1 - 3:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 3:22UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 3:22UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 3:24DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)17
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 3:39UTAD. Williams Layup (6 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)17
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 4:01DENSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS)15
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 4:06UTASmith STEAL (1 STL)15
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 4:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q1 - 4:17DENNene Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q1 - 4:18DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 4:33UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 4:33UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 214
23.7%
18
76.3%
Q1 - 4:46DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)14
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 4:59UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 4:59UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 5:02UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 5:03DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 5:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 5:17UTAMISS Boozer 10' Jump Shot12
23.1%
16
76.9%
Q1 - 5:35DENBillups 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 5:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:45UTAMISS Okur 20' Jump Shot12
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 5:59DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T3)12
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 6:08DENBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)12
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 6:21UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
27.3%
13
72.7%
Q1 - 6:21UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 211
26.9%
13
73.1%
Q1 - 6:24DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
27.3%
13
72.7%
Q1 - 6:31UTAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)11
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 6:53DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 6:53DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
27.5%
12
72.5%
Q1 - 7:04UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 7:04UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
28.4%
11
71.6%
Q1 - 7:09UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 7:10DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot9
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 7:23UTAD. Williams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)9
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 7:41DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 7:47UTANene STEAL (1 STL)7
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 8:16DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)7
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 8:29DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 8:30UTAMISS Okur 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 8:36UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 8:37DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot7
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 8:52UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 9:05UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 9:06DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot7
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 9:15DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 9:16UTAMISS Kirilenko 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 9:41DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)7
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 9:59UTABrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)7
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 10:19DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)4
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 10:34UTABoozer 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 10:54DENMartin 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 11:17UTABoozer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 11:34DENAnthony 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 11:51UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Okur: Tip to D. Williams0
29.7%
0
70.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.19 59.6%
DEN
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
16
30
53%
DEN
21
30
70%
Midrange
UTA
18
33
55%
DEN
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
DEN
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
UTA
20
27
74%
DEN
41
49
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams2352%11.5 / 22
K. Korver1995%9.5 / 10
C. Boozer1860%9.0 / 15
P. Millsap1765%8.5 / 13
R. Brewer990%4.5 / 5
W. Matthews956%4.5 / 8
M. Okur867%4.0 / 6
A. Kirilenko739%3.5 / 9
C. Miles225%1.0 / 4
R. Price0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3769%18.5 / 27
C. Billups2966%14.5 / 22
Nene1875%9.0 / 12
T. Lawson1161%5.5 / 9
J. Smith1146%5.5 / 12
K. Martin850%4.0 / 8
A. Afflalo550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
84
+9
-20
93
DEN
87
+9
-16
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.19 59.6%
DEN
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
111.9
UTA 107.7
DEN 115.5 +7.8
Pace
93.8
94.7
UTA 102.0
DEN 105.0 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.7
UTA 14.1
DEN 13.7 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.9%
UTA 56.8% +4.1%
DEN 52.7%
TO %
15.5%
14.2%
UTA 17.7%
DEN 15.1% +2.6%
ORB %
26.8%
26.1%
UTA 17.9%
DEN 20.0% +2.1%
FTrt
34.0
37.6
UTA 33.3
DEN 66.2 +32.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.8%
55.0%
UTA 71.4% +27.0%
DEN 44.4%
STL %
8.8%
8.7%
UTA 6.7%
DEN 13.6% +6.9%
BLK %
8.1%
7.9%
UTA 3.8%
DEN 6.3% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.06 and 3.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.2%
54.9%
UTA 59.6%
DEN 60.1% +0.5%
Rim FG%
61.0%
61.0%
UTA 53.3%
DEN 70.0% +16.7%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.6%
UTA 54.5% +15.4%
DEN 39.1%
3P %
36.4%
35.9%
UTA 44.4% +15.8%
DEN 28.6%
FT %
74.1%
77.2%
UTA 74.1%
DEN 83.7% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.4%
37.5%
UTA 37.0%
DEN 40.5% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
40.2%
39.8%
UTA 40.7%
DEN 31.1% +9.7%
3P Att. %
18.4%
22.7%
UTA 22.2%
DEN 28.4% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions104103
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points112119
Rebounds3940
Assists3016
Steals714
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals42-8136-74
At-the-Rim FG16-3021-30
Midrange FG18-339-23
2-Point FG34-6330-53
3-Point FG8-186-21
Free Throws20-2741-49
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
41.2
23
52%
3
13
1
0
5
2
2
1
6-8
75%
7-14
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 258 · 28
38.3
18
60%
13
5
1
0
4
4
0
13
4-7
57%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
23.6
7
39%
3
1
1
0
3
3
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 235 · 25
22.4
9
90%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 260 · 31
21.9
8
67%
5
0
0
0
1
3
0
5
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 246 · 25
30.1
17
65%
7
4
2
1
3
3
3
4
1-2
50%
8-12
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 29
23.6
19
95%
3
1
0
0
1
4
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
4-5
80%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
18.8
2
25%
2
3
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23
13.2
9
56%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 200 · 24
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 21
#44 · C · 7'1" 280 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
39
30
7
2
20
0
7
32
20-27
74%
34-63
54%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.