Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 18, 2010

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	14	Trail Blazers	55%	100	92
	26	Wizards	45%	98	97

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
POR	107.0	86	85.1
WAS	114.1	85	86.6

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+19

-14

WAS

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

WAS

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	POR	WAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	WAS		92 0%	97 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	WAS	Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	92 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0	WAS	MISS Foye Free Throw 1 of 2	92 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:9 Def:6)	92 0.4%	96 99.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0	POR	MISS Fernandez 28' 3PT Jump Shot	92 0.6%	96 99.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0	POR	Webster Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)	92 1.0%	96 99.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0	WAS	Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	91 1.4%	96 98.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0	WAS	Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	91 1.6%	95 98.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0	POR	Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	91 4.6%	94 95.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0	POR	MISS Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2	90 3.9%	94 96.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0	POR	Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	90 6.2%	94 93.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0	POR	MISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot	90 3.5%	94 96.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0	WAS	Butler Layup (18 PTS)	90 8.8%	94 91.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	90 16.2%	92 83.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0	WAS	MISS Butler 2' Layup	90 25.2%	92 74.8%
Q4 - 1:05	POR	Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	90 20.5%	92 79.5%
Q4 - 1:05	POR	Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	89 18.8%	92 81.2%
Q4 - 1:09	WAS	Butler 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	88 13.5%	92 86.5%
Q4 - 1:32	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	88 24.5%	90 75.5%
Q4 - 1:33	POR	MISS Miller 30' 3PT Jump Shot	88 28.2%	90 71.8%
Q4 - 1:59	POR	Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	88 37.8%	90 62.2%
Q4 - 1:59	WAS	MISS Foye 23' Jump Shot	88 33.9%	90 66.1%
Q4 - 2:20	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	88 25.2%	90 74.8%
Q4 - 2:21	POR	MISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot	88 29.4%	90 70.6%
Q4 - 2:26	POR	Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	88 40.5%	90 59.5%
Q4 - 2:27	POR	MISS Miller 14' Jump Shot	88 29.4%	90 70.6%
Q4 - 2:47	WAS	Miller 1' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Foye 5 AST)	88 40.8%	90 59.2%
Q4 - 2:51	WAS	Foye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	88 49.4%	88 50.6%
Q4 - 2:52	POR	MISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 53.8%	88 46.2%
Q4 - 3:13	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)	88 64.1%	88 35.9%
Q4 - 3:13	WAS	MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2	88 66.3%	87 33.7%
Q4 - 3:25	POR	Howard Foul Turnover (P2.T13)	88 60.5%	87 39.5%
Q4 - 3:50	WAS	Foye Driving Layup (16 PTS)	88 69.6%	87 30.4%
Q4 - 4:01	POR	Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bayless 8 AST)	88 76.7%	85 23.3%
Q4 - 4:14	WAS	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)	85 61.0%	85 39.0%
Q4 - 4:24	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	85 50.7%	85 49.3%
Q4 - 4:25	POR	MISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot	85 53.9%	85 46.1%
Q4 - 4:47	WAS	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	85 61.1%	85 38.9%
Q4 - 4:47	WAS	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	85 62.9%	84 37.1%
Q4 - 5:03	POR	Miller 3' Layup (22 PTS)	85 67.6%	83 32.4%
Q4 - 5:06	POR	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	83 60.2%	83 39.8%
Q4 - 5:07	POR	MISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot	83 54.2%	83 45.8%
Q4 - 5:31	WAS	Miller Driving Layup (9 PTS)	83 60.3%	83 39.7%
Q4 - 5:49	POR	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	83 67.7%	81 32.3%
Q4 - 5:49	POR	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	82 66.4%	81 33.6%
Q4 - 6:04	POR	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	81 60.4%	81 39.6%
Q4 - 6:05	WAS	MISS Butler 3' Layup	81 58.0%	81 42.0%
Q4 - 6:14	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	81 52.4%	81 47.6%
Q4 - 6:16	POR	MISS Webster 10' Jump Shot	81 54.9%	81 45.1%
Q4 - 6:42	WAS	Jamison 2' Layup (27 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	81 60.3%	81 39.7%
Q4 - 7:08	POR	Miller 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	81 66.3%	79 33.7%
Q4 - 7:20	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)	79 60.4%	79 39.6%
Q4 - 7:21	POR	MISS Blake 27' 3PT Jump Shot	79 55.3%	79 44.7%
Q4 - 7:33	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	79 60.4%	79 39.6%
Q4 - 7:34	POR	MISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot	79 55.3%	79 44.7%
Q4 - 7:54	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)	79 60.4%	79 39.6%
Q4 - 7:54	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)	79 61.9%	78 38.1%
Q4 - 8:15	POR	Aldridge Foul Turnover (P3.T12)	79 66.3%	77 33.7%
Q4 - 8:31	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)	79 71.7%	77 28.3%
Q4 - 8:33	WAS	MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot	79 70.1%	77 29.9%
Q4 - 8:50	POR	Miller 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	79 66.3%	77 33.7%
Q4 - 9:08	WAS	Blatche 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)	77 60.1%	77 39.9%
Q4 - 9:17	POR	Pendergraph Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T11)	77 54.4%	77 45.6%
Q4 - 9:26	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	77 60.1%	77 39.9%
Q4 - 9:27	POR	MISS Aldridge 1' Layup	77 56.2%	77 43.8%
Q4 - 9:38	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 60.1%	77 39.9%
Q4 - 9:39	WAS	MISS Blatche 2' Layup	77 58.4%	77 41.6%
Q4 - 9:54	POR	Blake 15' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)	77 54.4%	77 45.6%
Q4 - 10:18	WAS	Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Foye 4 AST)	75 48.7%	77 51.3%
Q4 - 10:29	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	75 59.8%	74 40.2%
Q4 - 10:30	POR	MISS Fernandez 27' 3PT Jump Shot	75 61.5%	74 38.5%
Q4 - 10:51	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)	75 65.2%	74 34.8%
Q4 - 10:52	WAS	MISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot	75 63.6%	74 36.4%
Q4 - 11:10	POR	Jamison STEAL (2 STL)	75 59.8%	74 40.2%
Q4 - 11:18	WAS	Blatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	75 64.7%	74 35.3%
Q4 - 11:18	WAS	Blatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	75 65.9%	73 34.1%
Q4 - 11:32	POR	Webster 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)	75 69.5%	72 30.5%
Q4 - 11:46	WAS	Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	73 64.7%	72 35.3%
Q4 - 11:46	WAS	Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	73 65.3%	71 34.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		73 69.5%	70 30.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	73 69.5%	70 30.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	MISS Blatche 38' 3PT Jump Shot	73 72.5%	70 27.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	Webster Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)	73 69.5%	70 30.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	Webster Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)	72 68.5%	70 31.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	Webster Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)	71 67.3%	70 32.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0	WAS	Boykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	70 59.3%	70 40.7%
Q3 - 0:17.0	WAS	Boykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	70 59.8%	69 40.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0	POR	Aldridge 1' Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	70 64.6%	68 35.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0	WAS	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)	68 59.3%	68 40.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	68 54.8%	68 45.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0	POR	Miller BLOCK (1 BLK)	68 56.2%	68 43.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 59.3%	68 40.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0	WAS	MISS Young 18' Jump Shot	68 58.0%	68 42.0%
Q3 - 1:03	POR	Blake Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	68 54.6%	68 45.4%
Q3 - 1:13	WAS	Jamison Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)	65 44.5%	68 55.5%
Q3 - 1:40	POR	Miller Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)	65 40.0%	68 60.0%
Q3 - 1:46	POR	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	63 35.0%	68 65.0%
Q3 - 1:47	WAS	MISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot	63 33.8%	68 66.2%
Q3 - 2:13	POR	Miller 1' Layup (10 PTS)	63 31.9%	68 68.1%
Q3 - 2:28	WAS	Butler 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	61 27.9%	68 72.1%
Q3 - 2:39	POR	Miller 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)	61 31.8%	66 68.2%
Q3 - 2:55	WAS	Haywood 6' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)	59 27.8%	66 72.2%
Q3 - 3:18	POR	Miller 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	59 33.1%	64 66.9%
Q3 - 3:27	POR	Pendergraph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	57 29.5%	64 70.5%
Q3 - 3:28	POR	MISS Bayless 15' Jump Shot	57 26.8%	64 73.2%
Q3 - 3:43	WAS	Miller 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)	57 29.4%	64 70.6%
Q3 - 3:57	POR	Aldridge 1' Putback Layup (20 PTS)	57 33.0%	62 67.0%
Q3 - 3:59	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)	55 29.4%	62 70.6%
Q3 - 4:02	POR	MISS Miller 2' Layup	55 27.4%	62 72.6%
Q3 - 4:08	WAS	Jamison Layup (20 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	55 30.3%	62 69.7%
Q3 - 4:11	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	55 33.5%	60 66.5%
Q3 - 4:12	WAS	MISS Butler 22' Jump Shot	55 36.7%	60 63.3%
Q3 - 4:28	POR	Aldridge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	55 33.5%	60 66.5%
Q3 - 4:53	WAS	Butler 2' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)	55 38.1%	60 61.9%
Q3 - 5:15	POR	Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bayless 7 AST)	55 41.9%	58 58.1%
Q3 - 5:22	WAS	Jamison Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	52 34.5%	58 65.5%
Q3 - 5:40	POR	Bayless 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	52 30.3%	58 69.7%
Q3 - 5:50	WAS	Foye 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	50 27.3%	58 72.7%
Q3 - 6:04	POR	Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	50 31.4%	56 68.6%
Q3 - 6:26	WAS	Jamison 2' Driving Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)	48 28.4%	56 71.6%
Q3 - 6:50	POR	Aldridge 15' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)	48 31.3%	54 68.7%
Q3 - 7:05	WAS	Foye Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	46 29.2%	54 70.8%
Q3 - 7:20	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	46 25.8%	54 74.2%
Q3 - 7:21	POR	MISS Webster 22' Jump Shot	46 26.8%	54 73.2%
Q3 - 7:33	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)	46 29.2%	54 70.8%
Q3 - 7:34	WAS	MISS Jamison 10' Jump Shot	46 28.1%	54 71.9%
Q3 - 7:49	POR	Miller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)	46 25.8%	54 74.2%
Q3 - 7:53	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)	44 23.2%	54 76.8%
Q3 - 7:54	POR	MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot	44 21.1%	54 78.9%
Q3 - 8:06	WAS	Butler 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)	44 23.8%	54 76.2%
Q3 - 8:16	POR	Foye STEAL (1 STL)	44 26.4%	52 73.6%
Q3 - 8:37	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	44 29.6%	52 70.4%
Q3 - 8:37	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	44 30.3%	51 69.7%
Q3 - 8:46	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	44 32.6%	50 67.4%
Q3 - 8:47	POR	MISS Howard 18' Jump Shot	44 33.7%	50 66.3%
Q3 - 9:09	WAS	Jamison 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)	44 36.8%	50 63.2%
Q3 - 9:28	POR	Aldridge 3' Tip Shot (14 PTS)	44 40.2%	48 59.8%
Q3 - 9:29	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)	42 36.8%	48 63.2%
Q3 - 9:31	POR	MISS Bayless 2' Layup	42 34.4%	48 65.6%
Q3 - 9:42	WAS	Jamison 6' Driving Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)	42 36.8%	48 63.2%
Q3 - 9:57	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	42 40.2%	46 59.8%
Q3 - 9:58	WAS	MISS Jamison 23' Jump Shot	42 42.7%	46 57.3%
Q3 - 10:17	POR	Webster 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bayless 6 AST)	42 40.8%	46 59.2%
Q3 - 10:25	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	40 37.5%	46 62.5%
Q3 - 10:27	POR	MISS Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot	40 35.1%	46 64.9%
Q3 - 10:44	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	40 37.5%	46 62.5%
Q3 - 10:53	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	40 44.3%	43 55.7%
Q3 - 10:54	WAS	MISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot	40 46.8%	43 53.2%
Q3 - 11:12	POR	Howard 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST)	40 44.9%	43 55.1%
Q3 - 11:18	WAS	Butler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	38 41.6%	43 58.4%
Q3 - 11:35	POR	Jamison STEAL (1 STL)	38 38.1%	43 61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR		38 41.6%	43 58.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	38 41.6%	43 58.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Bayless 38' 3PT Jump Shot	38 39.1%	43 60.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0	POR	Pendergraph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 41.9%	43 58.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0	WAS	MISS Foye 21' Jump Shot	38 41.2%	43 58.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0	POR	Howard Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	38 39.4%	43 60.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	38 41.9%	43 58.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0	WAS	MISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot	38 41.1%	43 58.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0	POR	Howard 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)	38 39.3%	43 60.7%
Q2 - 1:09	WAS	Blatche 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)	36 36.1%	43 63.9%
Q2 - 1:28	POR	Miller Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	36 40.0%	41 60.0%
Q2 - 1:32	POR	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 42.3%	41 57.7%
Q2 - 1:33	WAS	MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot	36 41.6%	41 58.4%
Q2 - 1:50	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	36 40.0%	41 60.0%
Q2 - 1:51	POR	MISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot	36 40.7%	41 59.3%
Q2 - 2:03	POR	Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	36 43.2%	41 56.8%
Q2 - 2:05	WAS	MISS Jamison 7' Jump Shot	36 42.2%	41 57.8%
Q2 - 2:19	POR	Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	36 39.9%	41 60.1%
Q2 - 2:38	WAS	Foye 5' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)	33 34.0%	41 66.0%
Q2 - 2:56	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	33 36.9%	39 63.1%
Q2 - 2:57	POR	MISS Webster 18' Jump Shot	33 37.8%	39 62.2%
Q2 - 3:19	WAS	Jamison Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	33 40.9%	39 59.1%
Q2 - 3:38	WAS	Stevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 37.3%	39 62.7%
Q2 - 3:39	POR	MISS Bayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot	33 38.4%	39 61.6%
Q2 - 3:49	WAS	Foye 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	33 40.9%	39 59.1%
Q2 - 4:01	POR	Aldridge Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T4)	33 43.9%	37 56.1%
Q2 - 4:17	WAS	Butler 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)	33 47.2%	37 52.8%
Q2 - 4:30	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	33 49.9%	35 50.1%
Q2 - 4:30	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	32 49.4%	35 50.6%
Q2 - 4:31	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	31 47.2%	35 52.8%
Q2 - 4:32	POR	MISS Miller 15' Jump Shot	31 44.8%	35 55.2%
Q2 - 4:43	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	31 47.2%	35 52.8%
Q2 - 4:43	POR	Haywood BLOCK (1 BLK)	31 44.8%	35 55.2%
Q2 - 4:50	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	31 47.2%	35 52.8%
Q2 - 4:51	POR	MISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot	31 44.8%	35 55.2%
Q2 - 5:08	POR	Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 47.5%	35 52.5%
Q2 - 5:09	WAS	MISS Jamison 1' Layup	31 46.6%	35 53.4%
Q2 - 5:12	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 44.6%	35 55.4%
Q2 - 5:13	WAS	MISS Haywood Layup	31 46.6%	35 53.4%
Q2 - 5:16	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	31 44.6%	35 55.4%
Q2 - 5:17	WAS	MISS Jamison 13' Jump Shot	31 46.6%	35 53.4%
Q2 - 5:24	WAS	Stevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 44.6%	35 55.4%
Q2 - 5:25	POR	MISS Miller 14' Jump Shot	31 45.4%	35 54.6%
Q2 - 5:42	WAS	Butler Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)	31 47.4%	35 52.6%
Q2 - 6:02	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	31 44.4%	35 55.6%
Q2 - 6:02	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	30 43.9%	35 56.1%
Q2 - 6:18	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	29 42.1%	35 57.9%
Q2 - 6:36	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	29 47.4%	32 52.6%
Q2 - 6:37	POR	MISS Aldridge 7' Jump Shot	29 48.4%	32 51.6%
Q2 - 6:53	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	29 50.8%	32 49.2%
Q2 - 6:54	WAS	MISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot	29 49.7%	32 50.3%
Q2 - 7:09	POR	Aldridge 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)	29 48.0%	32 52.0%
Q2 - 7:26	POR	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 45.3%	32 54.7%
Q2 - 7:27	WAS	MISS Jamison 1' Layup	27 44.4%	32 55.6%
Q2 - 7:42	WAS	Foye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 42.3%	32 57.7%
Q2 - 7:43	WAS	MISS Foye 12' Jump Shot	27 44.4%	32 55.6%
Q2 - 7:58	POR	Bayless 2' Layup (4 PTS)	27 42.3%	32 57.7%
Q2 - 8:16	WAS	Boykins 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	25 40.3%	32 59.7%
Q2 - 8:23	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	25 42.9%	30 57.1%
Q2 - 8:24	POR	MISS Cunningham 16' Jump Shot	25 43.7%	30 56.3%
Q2 - 8:44	WAS	Boykins 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	25 45.6%	30 54.4%
Q2 - 8:59	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 48.3%	28 51.7%
Q2 - 9:00	POR	MISS Fernandez 2' Layup	25 49.2%	28 50.8%
Q2 - 9:08	WAS	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	25 51.1%	28 48.9%
Q2 - 9:11	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 48.3%	28 51.7%
Q2 - 9:12	POR	MISS Blake 19' Jump Shot	25 49.2%	28 50.8%
Q2 - 9:24	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 51.1%	28 48.9%
Q2 - 9:25	WAS	MISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 50.3%	28 49.7%
Q2 - 9:36	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 48.3%	28 51.7%
Q2 - 9:37	POR	MISS Pendergraph 17' Jump Shot	25 49.2%	28 50.8%
Q2 - 9:54	WAS	Foye 19' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)	25 51.1%	28 48.9%
Q2 - 10:18	POR	Blake 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)	25 53.6%	26 46.4%
Q2 - 10:26	POR	Pendergraph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 51.2%	26 48.8%
Q2 - 10:27	WAS	MISS Blatche 12' Jump Shot	23 50.3%	26 49.7%
Q2 - 10:42	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	23 48.4%	26 51.6%
Q2 - 10:43	POR	MISS Fernandez 18' Jump Shot	23 49.2%	26 50.8%
Q2 - 11:07	WAS	Blatche 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	23 51.2%	26 48.8%
Q2 - 11:20	POR	Blake 1' Running Layup (5 PTS)	23 53.6%	24 46.4%
Q2 - 11:36	WAS	Blatche Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	21 51.2%	24 48.8%
Q2 - 11:44	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 48.5%	24 51.5%
Q2 - 11:46	POR	MISS Fernandez Layup	21 49.3%	24 50.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		21 51.2%	24 48.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 50.9%	24 49.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0	WAS	MISS Blatche 15' Jump Shot	21 50.3%	24 49.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	21 48.9%	24 51.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0	POR	MISS Blake 27' 3PT Jump Shot	21 49.5%	24 50.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0	WAS	Miller 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	21 50.9%	24 49.1%
Q1 - 1:04	POR	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	21 56.5%	21 43.5%
Q1 - 1:19	WAS	Blatche 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)	21 58.2%	21 41.8%
Q1 - 1:37	POR	Fernandez 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)	21 61.1%	19 38.9%
Q1 - 1:45	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	19 58.1%	19 41.9%
Q1 - 1:46	POR	MISS Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot	19 57.0%	19 43.0%
Q1 - 2:09	WAS	Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	19 58.4%	19 41.6%
Q1 - 2:09	WAS	Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	19 58.7%	18 41.3%
Q1 - 2:25	POR	Pendergraph 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)	19 61.0%	17 39.0%
Q1 - 2:36	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	17 58.4%	17 41.6%
Q1 - 2:37	WAS	MISS Haywood 9' Jump Shot	17 57.8%	17 42.2%
Q1 - 2:59	WAS	Foye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 56.5%	17 43.5%
Q1 - 2:59	POR	MISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot	17 57.1%	17 42.9%
Q1 - 3:12	WAS	Foye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	17 58.8%	17 41.2%
Q1 - 3:32	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 56.5%	17 43.5%
Q1 - 3:34	POR	MISS Aldridge 17' Jump Shot	17 57.2%	17 42.8%
Q1 - 3:55	WAS	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	17 58.8%	17 41.2%
Q1 - 3:55	WAS	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	17 59.2%	16 40.8%
Q1 - 4:11	POR	Webster Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	17 60.7%	15 39.3%
Q1 - 4:27	WAS	Foye 4' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)	17 62.9%	15 37.1%
Q1 - 4:43	POR	Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)	17 64.9%	13 35.1%
Q1 - 5:03	WAS	Jamison 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)	14 60.5%	13 39.5%
Q1 - 5:13	WAS	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14 62.3%	11 37.7%
Q1 - 5:14	POR	MISS Blake 19' Jump Shot	14 63.0%	11 37.0%
Q1 - 5:25	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	14 64.6%	11 35.4%
Q1 - 5:26	WAS	MISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot	14 63.9%	11 36.1%
Q1 - 5:48	POR	Bayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	14 62.4%	11 37.6%
Q1 - 6:05	POR	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	14 64.4%	11 35.6%
Q1 - 6:06	POR	MISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot	14 63.0%	11 37.0%
Q1 - 6:26	WAS	Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	14 64.4%	11 35.6%
Q1 - 6:26	WAS	Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	14 64.7%	10 35.3%
Q1 - 6:48	POR	Webster 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	14 66.3%	9 33.7%
Q1 - 6:53	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 64.4%	9 35.6%
Q1 - 6:55	WAS	MISS Butler Layup	12 63.8%	9 36.2%
Q1 - 7:19	POR	Aldridge 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)	12 62.4%	9 37.6%
Q1 - 7:38	WAS	Jamison 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 60.5%	9 39.5%
Q1 - 8:01	POR	Aldridge 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	10 62.6%	7 37.4%
Q1 - 8:03	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8 60.6%	7 39.4%
Q1 - 8:06	POR	MISS Howard 12' Jump Shot	8 59.2%	7 40.8%
Q1 - 8:30	WAS	Haywood 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)	8 60.6%	7 39.4%
Q1 - 8:49	POR	Webster 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)	8 62.5%	5 37.5%
Q1 - 8:59	POR	Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 60.6%	5 39.4%
Q1 - 9:00	WAS	MISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 60.0%	5 40.0%
Q1 - 9:23	POR	Bayless 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6 59.0%	5 41.0%
Q1 - 9:49	WAS	Butler 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)	4 57.0%	5 43.0%
Q1 - 10:12	POR	Aldridge 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)	4 58.7%	3 41.3%
Q1 - 10:29	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 57.1%	3 42.9%
Q1 - 10:30	WAS	MISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 2	2 56.8%	3 43.2%
Q1 - 10:30	WAS	Haywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	2 55.8%	3 44.2%
Q1 - 10:30	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	2 56.9%	2 43.1%
Q1 - 10:30	WAS	MISS Haywood 1' Layup	2 58.3%	2 41.7%
Q1 - 10:31	WAS	Haywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 56.9%	2 43.1%
Q1 - 10:32	WAS	MISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot	2 58.3%	2 41.7%
Q1 - 10:52	POR	Miller 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)	2 56.9%	2 43.1%
Q1 - 11:17	WAS	Butler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	0 55.4%	2 44.6%
Q1 - 11:27	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 57.1%	0 42.9%
Q1 - 11:28	POR	MISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot	0 57.6%	0 42.4%
Q1 - 11:46	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 58.7%	0 41.3%
Q1 - 11:47	WAS	MISS Foye 3' Layup	0 58.2%	0 41.8%
Q1 - 12:00	WAS	Jump Ball Haywood vs. Aldridge: Tip to Stevenson	0 57.1%	0 42.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

WAS

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

71%

WAS

69%

Midrange

POR

43%

WAS

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

4.5

18%

26%

WAS

3.0

25%

38%

Free Throws

POR

94%

WAS

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	22	58%	11.0 / 19
A. Miller	22	69%	11.0 / 16
M. Webster	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. Blake	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Bayless	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Howard	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Ayres	2	50%	1.0 / 2
R. Fernandez	2	13%	1.0 / 8
D. Cunningham	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jamison	28	58%	14.0 / 24
R. Foye	19	68%	9.5 / 14
C. Butler	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Miller	13	130%	6.5 / 5
A. Blatche	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. Boykins	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Haywood	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Stevenson	0	-	0.0 / 2
N. Young	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+19

-14

WAS

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

WAS

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	111.0 104.0	POR 107.0 WAS 114.1 +7.1
Pace	87.7 91.9	POR 85.1 WAS 86.6 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time	17.0 15.8	POR 16.9 WAS 16.6 +0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.9% 48.1%	POR 47.0% WAS 52.9% +5.9%
TO %	13.0% 15.3%	POR 13.6% +0.3% WAS 13.9%
ORB %	28.3% 27.7%	POR 38.5% +11.2% WAS 27.3%
FTrt	31.5 28.3	POR 19.5 WAS 41.2 +21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.3% 51.8%	POR 51.4% +2.8% WAS 48.6%
STL %	7.2% 6.5%	POR 7.0% +3.5% WAS 3.5%
BLK %	7.1% 8.1%	POR 5.0% +1.9% WAS 3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.0% 50.9%	POR 50.5% WAS 58.4% +7.9%
Rim FG%	60.6% 56.8%	POR 71.4% +2.4% WAS 69.0%
Mid FG%	41.4% 40.4%	POR 43.2% +1.3% WAS 41.9%
3P %	35.4% 35.3%	POR 17.6% WAS 25.0% +7.4%
FT %	79.0% 76.2%	POR 93.8% +4.5% WAS 89.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	31.1% 33.0%	POR 25.6% WAS 42.6% +17.0%
Mid Att. %	47.4% 48.7%	POR 53.7% WAS 45.6% +8.1%
3P Att. %	21.5% 18.3%	POR 20.7% +9.0% WAS 11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	WAS
Possessions	86	85
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.6
Points	92	97
Rebounds	39	33
Assists	19	17
Steals	6	3
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (4)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (0)	24 (2)
Field Goals	37-82	35-68
At-the-Rim FG	15-21	20-29
Midrange FG	19-44	13-31
2-Point FG	34-65	33-60
3-Point FG	3-17	2-8
Free Throws	15-16	25-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Martell Webster F · 6'7" 230 · 23	44.2	18	56%	3	1	1	2	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-7	29%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 25	43.4	22	58%	15	2	2	0	3	3	9	6	4-4	100%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 21	34.4	9	41%	3	8	0	1	2	3	0	3	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Juwan Howard C · 6'9" 250 · 37	32.2	7	58%	6	1	1	0	2	4	3	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 34	30.8	22	69%	3	2	0	0	2	6	1	2	2-2	100%	10-15	67%	0-1	0%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 30	21.7	10	50%	3	4	2	0	3	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23	15.7	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 25	13.0	2	13%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 23	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 25
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 26
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 21
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nicolas Batum #88 · G-F · 6'8" 230 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Travis Outlaw #25 · F · 6'9" 207 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	51%	39	19	6	3	14	0	15	24	15-16	94%	34-65	52%	3-17	18%

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14 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Martell Webster F · 6'7" 230 · 23	44.2	18	56%	3	1	1	2	1	1	0	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-7	29%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 25	43.4	22	58%	15	2	2	0	3	3	9	6	4-4	100%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 21	34.4	9	41%	3	8	0	1	2	3	0	3	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Juwan Howard C · 6'9" 250 · 37	32.2	7	58%	6	1	1	0	2	4	3	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 34	30.8	22	69%	3	2	0	0	2	6	1	2	2-2	100%	10-15	67%	0-1	0%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 30	21.7	10	50%	3	4	2	0	3	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23	15.7	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 25	13.0	2	13%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 23	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 25
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 26
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 21
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nicolas Batum #88 · G-F · 6'8" 230 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Travis Outlaw #25 · F · 6'9" 207 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	51%	39	19	6	3	14	0	15	24	15-16	94%	34-65	52%	3-17	18%

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26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 34	42.4	28	58%	4	1	2	0	3	4	1	3	7-8	88%	9-18	50%	1-3	33%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 30	42.0	18	60%	9	4	0	0	2	1	3	6	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-1	0%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 26	39.4	19	68%	3	5	1	0	2	1	1	2	7-8	88%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Brendan Haywood C · 7'0" 263 · 30	39.0	5	42%	8	0	0	1	0	4	3	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson G · 6'5" 218 · 29	20.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30	24.3	13	130%	4	4	0	1	4	3	1	3	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 34	15.3	6	60%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Andray Blatche C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23	14.3	8	50%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dominic McGuire F · 6'9" 235 · 24	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gilbert Arenas G · 6'4" 215 · 28
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 22
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 35
Javaris Crittenton #8 · G · 6'5" 200 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike James #13 · G · 6'2" 188 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	58%	33	17	3	2	13	0	9	24	25-28	89%	33-60	55%	2-8	25%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE