for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Thunder33%9394
9Hawks67%9991
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
38.5
36.7
29
59%
5
5
0
1
1
1
1
4
14-15
93%
6-17
7-14
35%
50%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
38.5
37.8
15
49%
11
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
4-5
80%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
37.5
18.4
16
63%
7
1
0
0
0
1
5
2
2-4
50%
7-11
3-6
64%
48%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
32.5
32.2
8
40%
4
9
1
1
0
3
3
1
2-2
100%
3-9
5-12
33%
43%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
24.6
25.1
7
117%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
23.9
18.6
6
50%
10
0
0
0
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
23.4
24.0
11
50%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
15.6
16.8
2
20%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
5.7
2.1
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
3.0
0
0-1
41%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.6
45.3
39.3
23
47%
1
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
10-19
6-14
53%
48%
0-4
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.1
43.5
36.8
18
66%
12
7
0
1
3
2
4
8
6-6
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
50%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
32.8
37.6
13
50%
10
4
1
1
0
1
4
6
1-2
50%
6-12
6-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.7
28.2
25.5
12
60%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
2-6
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.6
21.2
32.7
7
44%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
30.0
28.8
12
37%
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-5
40%
2-9
4-8
22%
47%
2-5
40%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.9
15.2
11.5
4
24%
9
0
0
0
0
1
6
3
0-1
0%
2-8
1-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
8.3
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
7.0
6.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.5
4.5
7.8
2
53%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.6
3.9
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.0
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.