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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings35%95103
18Bobcats65%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
40.5
36.9
34
68%
4
7
2
1
3
3
1
3
8-11
73%
13-18
7-14
72%
47%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
25.4
36.5
9
40%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-5
60%
3-5
5-10
60%
44%
0-4
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
22.6
29.6
13
54%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
1-5
20%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
16.0
27.8
6
30%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
11.6
32.4
6
75%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
5-10
75%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
32.8
14.2
12
68%
8
1
1
0
2
3
0
8
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
30.4
15.5
0
0%
14
1
1
0
1
3
7
7
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
24.1
25.9
10
59%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
21.8
8.6
13
59%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
3-7
43%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
10.1
2.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
4.7
14.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
3.7
0
0-1
43%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.0
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
43.8
37.8
28
62%
5
1
1
2
2
0
3
2
13-15
87%
6-14
5-10
43%
53%
1-2
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.6
39.6
28.2
17
52%
9
10
2
1
0
4
1
8
2-3
67%
6-12
3-7
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
37.5
35.4
13
57%
2
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-3
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
27.9
33.6
11
38%
2
4
5
1
1
3
0
2
2-3
67%
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
19.6
17.5
8
57%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
26.0
20.9
12
49%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.4
17.6
15.3
9
80%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-6
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
14.1
8.3
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.2
8.4
16.6
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.0
5.5
11.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
5.3
0
1-1
49%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.0
4.3
0
0-1
46%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.7
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.