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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks34%9498
11Rockets66%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
44.6
32.1
18
52%
17
4
1
1
6
3
3
14
0-3
0%
9-16
7-13
56%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
44.5
20.5
15
68%
8
1
1
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
42.2
30.4
25
49%
3
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
5-15
4-9
33%
40%
4-9
44%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
19.5
28.1
2
35%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
8.7
22.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
37.1
25.0
11
55%
10
1
2
1
2
1
1
9
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
3-6
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
30.6
25.8
14
47%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
7-11
3-7
64%
46%
0-4
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
17.6
20.6
8
51%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
14.2
14.3
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
6.0
6.7
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.0
49.7
37.4
13
29%
3
10
2
1
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-14
5-10
29%
47%
1-7
14%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
39.6
35.4
11
56%
4
0
1
2
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.7
39.1
30.2
27
63%
15
3
1
1
0
1
4
11
7-8
88%
10-18
6-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
32.1
34.1
9
59%
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.6
23.8
23.3
4
40%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.3
31.2
25.3
12
51%
7
0
0
1
2
1
2
5
4-4
100%
4-10
6-10
40%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.8
25.5
19.4
7
48%
4
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
15.3
15.4
12
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
2-5
40%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
8.5
13.2
6
77%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
0.8
0
0-0
41%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
0.7
0
0-0
47%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.