FinalWin Prob.pScore
452%98
97
1348%97
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
111.58786.9
NOH
102.38888.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH97
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASHill Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASHill Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (15 PTS)96
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 295
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T9)94
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)94
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 293
98.5%
88
1.5%
Q4 - 0:42.0NOHThornton 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)93
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 293
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMISS Parker 16' Turnaround Jump Shot92
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 1:11NOHThornton Layup (11 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)92
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 1:16NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 1:17SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 1:41SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 1:42SASMISS Duncan Layup92
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 2:04NOHPaul Driving Layup (18 PTS)92
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 2:13NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 2:14SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 2:40NOHWest Layup (18 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:53SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)92
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 2:53SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 2:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 2:54NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot90
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 3:02SASParker 6' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS)90
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 3:28NOHPaul Driving Layup (16 PTS)88
99.0%
79
1.0%
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 3:51NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)86
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 4:05SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
99.0%
74
1.0%
Q4 - 4:05SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 4:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)84
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 4:21NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 4:40SASParker Driving Layup (18 PTS)84
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 4:54SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)82
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 4:55NOHMISS Collison 9' Jump Shot82
96.7%
74
3.3%
Q4 - 5:11NOHHORNETS Rebound82
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q4 - 5:11NOHMISS Thornton Layup82
94.9%
74
5.1%
Q4 - 5:11NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q4 - 5:12NOHMISS Thornton Layup82
94.9%
74
5.1%
Q4 - 5:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q4 - 5:24SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q4 - 5:39NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)82
95.5%
74
4.5%
Q4 - 5:59NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot82
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q4 - 6:25NOHWest Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)82
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q4 - 6:48SASBlair Layup (8 PTS)82
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 6:50SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)80
94.1%
72
5.9%
Q4 - 6:51SASMISS Blair Layup80
92.7%
72
7.3%
Q4 - 7:06NOHCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
92.8%
72
7.2%
Q4 - 7:06NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
93.0%
71
7.0%
Q4 - 7:19NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
94.3%
70
5.7%
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot80
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q4 - 7:41SASSpurs Rebound80
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 7:42NOHMISS Collison Layup80
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q4 - 7:46NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
94.4%
70
5.6%
Q4 - 7:47SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot80
94.9%
70
5.1%
Q4 - 8:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)80
94.7%
70
5.3%
Q4 - 8:08NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 280
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q4 - 8:08NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 280
93.5%
70
6.5%
Q4 - 8:15NOHHORNETS Rebound80
93.3%
70
6.7%
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot80
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q4 - 8:36NOHThornton 8' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q4 - 9:00SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)80
96.0%
68
4.0%
Q4 - 9:19NOHThornton Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)78
93.7%
68
6.3%
Q4 - 9:39NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
92.3%
68
7.7%
Q4 - 9:40SASMISS Bonner 16' Jump Shot78
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q4 - 9:54NOHThornton Layup (7 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)78
93.8%
68
6.2%
Q4 - 9:59SASWright STEAL (1 STL)78
95.1%
66
4.9%
Q4 - 10:14NOHThornton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)78
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q4 - 10:25SASSongaila STEAL (2 STL)78
94.2%
66
5.8%
Q4 - 10:41NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)78
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q4 - 10:53SASBogans Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)78
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q4 - 11:12NOHCollison 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q4 - 11:22SASBogans Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)78
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q4 - 11:44SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 11:45NOHMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot78
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH78
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
97.6%
61
2.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Paul 14' Running Jump Shot78
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASGinobili Layup (9 PTS)78
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
96.5%
61
3.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot76
96.1%
61
3.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHPaul 19' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
96.6%
61
3.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)76
97.2%
59
2.8%
Q3 - 1:03NOHPaul 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q3 - 1:16SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)76
97.8%
57
2.2%
Q3 - 1:38NOHWright Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)76
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q3 - 1:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
98.5%
55
1.5%
Q3 - 1:56SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 275
98.5%
55
1.5%
Q3 - 2:13SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
98.2%
55
1.8%
Q3 - 2:14NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.1%
55
1.9%
Q3 - 2:31SASBogans 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)75
97.9%
55
2.1%
Q3 - 2:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
96.9%
55
3.1%
Q3 - 2:47NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
96.8%
55
3.2%
Q3 - 2:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)72
96.3%
55
3.7%
Q3 - 2:58SASDuncan Tip Shot (16 PTS)72
96.3%
55
3.7%
Q3 - 2:59SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 270
94.9%
55
5.1%
Q3 - 2:59SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
95.3%
55
4.7%
Q3 - 3:23NOHThornton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)69
94.3%
55
5.7%
Q3 - 3:44SASBlair Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)69
95.1%
53
4.9%
Q3 - 4:00NOHSongaila Layup (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)69
95.9%
53
4.1%
Q3 - 4:04NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
96.1%
51
3.9%
Q3 - 4:06SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot69
96.4%
51
3.6%
Q3 - 4:14SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)69
96.8%
51
3.2%
Q3 - 4:26SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)68
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 4:27NOHMISS Wright 12' Jump Shot68
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 4:53SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)68
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 5:10SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
94.1%
51
5.9%
Q3 - 5:11NOHMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q3 - 5:21NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
93.0%
51
7.0%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Duncan Layup66
93.3%
51
6.7%
Q3 - 5:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)66
94.1%
51
5.9%
Q3 - 5:25SASMISS Blair Layup66
93.3%
51
6.7%
Q3 - 5:29SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)66
94.1%
51
5.9%
Q3 - 5:29SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot66
93.4%
51
6.6%
Q3 - 5:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
94.2%
51
5.8%
Q3 - 5:54NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
93.8%
51
6.2%
Q3 - 6:15NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 6:16SASMISS Ginobili Layup66
92.8%
51
7.2%
Q3 - 6:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
93.6%
51
6.4%
Q3 - 6:30NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 6:30NOHMISS West Tip Shot66
93.3%
51
6.7%
Q3 - 6:31NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot66
93.3%
51
6.7%
Q3 - 6:56SASHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)66
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 7:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
88.9%
51
11.1%
Q3 - 7:12NOHMISS Stojakovic 16' Turnaround Jump Shot63
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q3 - 7:28SASBlair 9' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)63
87.2%
51
12.8%
Q3 - 7:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
85.6%
51
14.4%
Q3 - 7:41NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot61
85.0%
51
15.0%
Q3 - 7:58NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
83.4%
51
16.6%
Q3 - 7:58SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot61
84.1%
51
15.9%
Q3 - 8:05SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
85.0%
51
15.0%
Q3 - 8:06NOHMISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot61
84.4%
51
15.6%
Q3 - 8:29SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
82.8%
51
17.2%
Q3 - 8:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q3 - 8:40SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot59
79.0%
51
21.0%
Q3 - 8:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q3 - 8:51NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Bank Shot59
80.0%
51
20.0%
Q3 - 9:06SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
77.8%
51
22.2%
Q3 - 9:06SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 258
77.1%
51
22.9%
Q3 - 9:23NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)58
77.9%
51
22.1%
Q3 - 9:35SASHill 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)58
82.5%
48
17.5%
Q3 - 9:54NOHBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 3 AST)56
80.3%
48
19.7%
Q3 - 10:20NOHHORNETS Rebound56
83.9%
45
16.1%
Q3 - 10:20SASMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot56
84.5%
45
15.5%
Q3 - 10:43NOHWest Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)56
85.8%
45
14.2%
Q3 - 11:05NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q3 - 11:06SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 256
87.1%
43
12.9%
Q3 - 11:06SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 256
87.9%
43
12.1%
Q3 - 11:17SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
88.5%
43
11.5%
Q3 - 11:18NOHMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot56
88.0%
43
12.0%
Q3 - 11:27NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot56
87.4%
43
12.6%
Q3 - 11:43NOHBrown 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
88.5%
43
11.5%
Q3 - 11:49SASStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)56
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH56
91.0%
41
9.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot56
89.6%
41
10.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0NOHPosey Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)56
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)56
91.7%
39
8.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
90.3%
39
9.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
90.5%
38
9.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASGinobili 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)54
91.7%
37
8.3%
Q2 - 1:14NOHSongaila 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)52
90.0%
37
10.0%
Q2 - 1:33SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
91.4%
35
8.6%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 251
91.2%
35
8.8%
Q2 - 1:35NOHPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)51
91.1%
35
8.9%
Q2 - 1:41NOHHORNETS Rebound51
90.3%
35
9.7%
Q2 - 1:42NOHMISS Thornton 20' Jump Shot51
90.8%
35
9.2%
Q2 - 2:06SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
89.6%
35
10.4%
Q2 - 2:06SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
89.3%
35
10.7%
Q2 - 2:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
88.4%
35
11.6%
Q2 - 2:07SASMISS Duncan Layup49
87.4%
35
12.6%
Q2 - 2:28NOHWest 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)49
88.4%
35
11.6%
Q2 - 2:50NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
89.6%
33
10.4%
Q2 - 2:51SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot49
90.0%
33
10.0%
Q2 - 3:11NOHWest 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)49
90.5%
33
9.5%
Q2 - 3:35SASHill Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)49
91.4%
31
8.6%
Q2 - 3:55NOHSongaila 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)47
90.6%
31
9.4%
Q2 - 4:08SASHill Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)47
90.9%
29
9.1%
Q2 - 4:27SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
90.0%
29
10.0%
Q2 - 4:28NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot45
89.6%
29
10.4%
Q2 - 4:36NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
88.7%
29
11.3%
Q2 - 4:38SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot45
89.1%
29
10.9%
Q2 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
90.0%
29
10.0%
Q2 - 4:45NOHMISS Thornton Layup45
89.6%
29
10.4%
Q2 - 4:58SASParker Layup (14 PTS)45
88.7%
29
11.3%
Q2 - 5:05SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 5:06NOHMISS Thornton 20' Jump Shot43
86.7%
29
13.3%
Q2 - 5:12NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
85.7%
29
14.3%
Q2 - 5:14SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
86.1%
29
13.9%
Q2 - 5:29NOHSongaila Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)43
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 5:45SASParker Layup (12 PTS)43
88.4%
27
11.6%
Q2 - 5:56SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
87.1%
27
12.9%
Q2 - 5:57NOHMISS Paul Layup41
86.7%
27
13.3%
Q2 - 6:12SASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)41
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 6:30NOHPaul Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
82.0%
27
18.0%
Q2 - 6:42NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
83.4%
25
16.6%
Q2 - 6:44SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
83.9%
25
16.1%
Q2 - 6:50SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
85.2%
25
14.8%
Q2 - 6:51NOHMISS Posey Layup38
84.7%
25
15.3%
Q2 - 6:57NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
83.4%
25
16.6%
Q2 - 6:58NOHMISS Collison Layup38
84.7%
25
15.3%
Q2 - 7:13SASParker 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
83.0%
25
17.0%
Q2 - 7:25SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q2 - 7:26NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
80.9%
25
19.1%
Q2 - 7:38SASParker 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
79.6%
25
20.4%
Q2 - 7:47SASSpurs Rebound34
77.8%
25
22.2%
Q2 - 7:47SASThornton BLOCK (1 BLK)34
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q2 - 8:02NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
77.0%
25
23.0%
Q2 - 8:02NOHPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
77.3%
24
22.7%
Q2 - 8:24SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
78.9%
23
21.1%
Q2 - 8:49NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)32
77.1%
23
22.9%
Q2 - 9:12SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
80.0%
20
20.0%
Q2 - 9:12SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 231
79.4%
20
20.6%
Q2 - 9:13SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q2 - 9:14SASMISS Hill 23' Jump Shot31
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q2 - 9:34NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q2 - 9:34NOHBrown Layup (4 PTS)31
80.1%
20
19.9%
Q2 - 9:35NOHMISS Songaila Layup31
82.8%
18
17.2%
Q2 - 9:40SASSongaila STEAL (1 STL)31
81.7%
18
18.3%
Q2 - 9:55NOHWest 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)31
83.3%
18
16.7%
Q2 - 10:07NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
84.1%
16
15.9%
Q2 - 10:08SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot31
84.6%
16
15.4%
Q2 - 10:19NOHCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
85.6%
16
14.4%
Q2 - 10:42SASMason Jr. Layup (2 PTS)31
84.2%
16
15.8%
Q2 - 10:43SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
82.9%
16
17.1%
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Mason Jr. Layup29
81.7%
16
18.3%
Q2 - 10:49SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
82.9%
16
17.1%
Q2 - 10:50SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
81.7%
16
18.3%
Q2 - 10:59SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
82.9%
16
17.1%
Q2 - 11:00NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
82.4%
16
17.6%
Q2 - 11:11NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
80.6%
16
19.4%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
81.1%
16
18.9%
Q2 - 11:27SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
82.3%
16
17.7%
Q2 - 11:28NOHMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot29
81.8%
16
18.2%
Q2 - 11:42NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
80.7%
16
19.3%
Q2 - 11:43SASMISS Blair Layup29
81.2%
16
18.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH29
82.3%
16
17.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)29
80.0%
16
20.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0NOHBrown Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)26
76.4%
16
23.6%
Q1 - 0:50.0NOHHORNETS Rebound26
78.4%
14
21.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
78.4%
14
21.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0NOHMISS West Tip Shot26
79.4%
14
20.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0NOHMISS West Layup26
79.4%
14
20.6%
Q1 - 1:09SASMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
77.9%
14
22.1%
Q1 - 1:09SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
77.4%
14
22.6%
Q1 - 1:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 1:16NOHMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot24
75.3%
14
24.7%
Q1 - 1:31NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
74.5%
14
25.5%
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 224
74.6%
14
25.4%
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 224
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 1:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 1:33SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot24
74.8%
14
25.2%
Q1 - 1:45SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 1:46NOHMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot24
75.3%
14
24.7%
Q1 - 1:54NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
74.5%
14
25.5%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
74.9%
14
25.1%
Q1 - 2:19NOHStojakovic Layup (6 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)24
75.5%
14
24.5%
Q1 - 2:44SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)24
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 2:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
73.8%
12
26.2%
Q1 - 3:00NOHMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
73.3%
12
26.7%
Q1 - 3:21SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
71.9%
12
28.1%
Q1 - 3:35NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
70.1%
12
29.9%
Q1 - 3:38NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
68.7%
12
31.3%
Q1 - 3:51NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
70.1%
12
29.9%
Q1 - 4:03NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
67.4%
12
32.6%
Q1 - 4:04SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot19
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 4:18NOHOkafor Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)19
69.5%
12
30.5%
Q1 - 4:33SASBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)19
67.5%
12
32.5%
Q1 - 4:56NOHWest 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)16
63.6%
12
36.4%
Q1 - 5:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
64.8%
10
35.2%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 215
64.3%
10
35.7%
Q1 - 5:31NOHWest Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)15
65.1%
10
34.9%
Q1 - 5:47NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
66.8%
8
33.2%
Q1 - 5:48SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot15
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 6:08NOHWest Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)15
68.6%
8
31.4%
Q1 - 6:27NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
70.3%
6
29.7%
Q1 - 6:30NOHMISS Okafor Layup15
71.6%
6
28.4%
Q1 - 6:51SASBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)15
70.3%
6
29.7%
Q1 - 7:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
66.6%
6
33.4%
Q1 - 7:03SASOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)12
65.2%
6
34.8%
Q1 - 7:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
66.6%
6
33.4%
Q1 - 7:07SASMISS Parker Layup12
65.2%
6
34.8%
Q1 - 7:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
66.6%
6
33.4%
Q1 - 7:13NOHMISS Okafor Layup12
66.0%
6
34.0%
Q1 - 7:27SASDuncan 18' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)12
64.6%
6
35.4%
Q1 - 7:42NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
62.8%
6
37.2%
Q1 - 7:42NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
62.9%
5
37.1%
Q1 - 7:45NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 7:46NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
66.0%
4
34.0%
Q1 - 8:03SASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T1)10
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Hill Free Throw Technical10
66.5%
4
33.5%
Q1 - 8:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
66.5%
4
33.5%
Q1 - 8:24NOHMISS West 14' Fadeaway Jumper10
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 8:51SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 9:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 9:03NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot8
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 9:10NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 9:11SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot8
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 9:13SASSpurs Rebound8
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 9:13SASWest BLOCK (1 BLK)8
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 9:22NOHMISS Okafor Layup8
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 9:28NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 9:29SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot8
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 9:41NOHOkafor 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)8
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 9:56SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 10:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 10:06NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot6
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 10:23SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 10:23SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
60.0%
2
40.0%
Q1 - 10:27SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 10:28NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot4
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 10:38SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 10:38SASBlair Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 10:39SASMISS Blair Layup2
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 11:07NOHStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 11:23SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 11:43SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 11:44NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot0
54.2%
0
45.8%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Duncan: Tip to Paul0
53.1%
0
46.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
NOH
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
27
52%
NOH
19
33
58%
Midrange
SAS
12
33
36%
NOH
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
NOH
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
SAS
24
38
63%
NOH
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2552%12.5 / 24
T. Duncan2150%10.5 / 21
G. Hill1662%8.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1146%5.5 / 12
K. Bogans990%4.5 / 5
D. Blair840%4.0 / 10
R. Mason Jr.542%2.5 / 6
A. McDyess233%1.0 / 3
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1853%9.0 / 17
D. West1856%9.0 / 16
M. Thornton1662%8.0 / 13
P. Stojakovic956%4.5 / 8
D. Brown964%4.5 / 7
D. Songaila857%4.0 / 7
J. Posey440%2.0 / 5
D. Collison429%2.0 / 7
E. Okafor225%1.0 / 4
J. Wright233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+18
-9
96
NOH
79
+11
-9
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
NOH
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
107.3
SAS 111.5 +9.2
NOH 102.3
Pace
91.5
92.7
SAS 86.9
NOH 88.1 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.5
SAS 16.6
NOH 16.4 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.6%
SAS 46.8%
NOH 48.2% +1.4%
TO %
14.1%
13.7%
SAS 9.5%
NOH 9.3% +0.2%
ORB %
26.8%
24.8%
SAS 34.8% +15.8%
NOH 19.0%
FTrt
29.6
24.3
SAS 48.7 +34.2
NOH 14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
57.5%
SAS 39.4%
NOH 65.8% +26.4%
STL %
6.9%
8.2%
SAS 4.6% +0.1%
NOH 4.5%
BLK %
6.9%
5.8%
SAS 2.9%
NOH 5.0% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
52.9%
SAS 50.5% +1.0%
NOH 49.5%
Rim FG%
62.2%
58.6%
SAS 51.9%
NOH 57.6% +5.7%
Mid FG%
40.7%
42.6%
SAS 36.4%
NOH 40.5% +4.1%
3P %
35.8%
36.3%
SAS 38.9% +8.1%
NOH 30.8%
FT %
74.0%
77.8%
SAS 63.2%
NOH 83.3% +20.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
33.3%
SAS 34.6%
NOH 39.8% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
43.8%
SAS 42.3% +2.3%
NOH 44.6%
3P Att. %
23.2%
23.0%
SAS 23.1% +7.4%
NOH 15.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points9790
Rebounds5038
Assists1325
Steals44
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals33-7838-83
At-the-Rim FG14-2719-33
Midrange FG12-3315-37
2-Point FG26-6034-70
3-Point FG7-184-13
Free Throws24-3810-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
38.2
25
52%
4
3
0
0
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
10-20
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
37.4
21
50%
14
3
0
2
1
2
4
10
7-12
58%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
37.2
16
62%
6
0
0
0
0
4
1
5
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'7" 270 · 21
33.3
8
40%
13
0
0
0
2
2
5
8
2-6
33%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 215 · 30
23.6
9
90%
1
1
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 205 · 32
34.6
11
46%
6
6
3
0
3
2
3
3
4-7
57%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35
15.6
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
14.1
5
42%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
C · 6'10" 235 · 37
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
#4 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'7" 233 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
51%
50
13
4
2
9
0
16
34
24-38
63%
26-60
43%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.