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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs52%9897
13Hornets48%9790
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
38.2
31.4
25
53%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
5-6
83%
10-20
6-12
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.7
37.4
29.5
21
52%
14
3
0
1
2
1
4
10
7-12
58%
7-15
7-13
47%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
37.2
27.2
16
56%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
4-5
80%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
2-6
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.7
33.3
22.6
8
41%
13
0
0
1
0
2
5
8
2-6
33%
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
23.6
25.5
9
90%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
3-5
60%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
34.6
27.1
11
46%
6
6
3
1
0
3
3
3
4-7
57%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
15.6
10.4
2
35%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
14.1
20.4
5
42%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
6.0
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
8.6
0
1-3
53%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.8
5.0
0
0-1
49%
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
4.3
0
1-1
47%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
37.2
38.8
18
52%
4
9
0
2
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.4
36.8
35.6
18
56%
8
3
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
9-16
7-15
56%
48%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.6
23.6
29.6
9
57%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
22.4
22.7
9
64%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
14.0
30.8
2
25%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.0
28.4
22.2
4
41%
10
0
0
1
0
1
1
9
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.9
25.1
15.8
8
57%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
24.5
21.2
16
55%
1
3
0
1
1
2
1
0
1-1
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
46%
1-3
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
17.4
7.7
4
30%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
10.5
6.8
2
33%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.3
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
2.8
0
0-0
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.