FinalWin Prob.pScore
2338%97
83
1662%101
113
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
85.697110.2
MIA logo MIA
117.79686.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDWright BLOCK (1 BLK)83
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)83
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 283
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDJones Driving Layup (13 PTS)83
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)81
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot81
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:00INDMISS McRoberts 5' Jump Shot81
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)81
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:17INDBeasley STEAL (1 STL)81
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 1:33MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43INDMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 5 AST)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19INDJones Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42INDJones Driving Layup (9 PTS)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07INDRush 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29INDMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41MIACook 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAHEAT Rebound75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03INDMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Beasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58INDJones 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11INDPacers Rebound73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12INDMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 170
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Magloire 3' Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16INDMISS Dunleavy 6' Running Hook Shot70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50INDPrice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56INDRush REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)67
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot67
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)66
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 265
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 7:59INDMISS Hibbert 9' Hook Shot64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:28INDMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 264
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 264
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 9:14INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)64
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 9:15MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot64
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)64
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 10:05INDPrice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:20MIAHaslem 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 10:38INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)61
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 10:52INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 11:12INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P2.T17)58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)58
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 11:35INDPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 11:47INDPacers Rebound58
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)58
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)58
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)58
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (32 PTS)58
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (31 PTS)58
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0INDMISS Granger Driving Layup58
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 1:13INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot58
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 1:29INDDunleavy Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Price 2 AST)58
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 1:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)56
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 2:00MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 2:01INDMISS Watson Driving Layup56
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 2:08INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 2:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 2:18INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot56
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 2:21INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 2:22INDWade BLOCK (3 BLK)56
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAAlston Driving Layup (5 PTS)56
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 2:33MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 2:34INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot56
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 2:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot56
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 3:19INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)56
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 3:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot53
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 3:50INDHibbert Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)53
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q3 - 3:58MIAO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q3 - 4:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:17INDO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)51
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 4:20INDMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q3 - 4:39MIAWade Dunk (30 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)51
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 5:00INDRush 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)51
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)49
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:34INDMurphy Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)49
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q3 - 5:46MIABeasley Reverse Layup (15 PTS)49
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 6:01INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:14INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q3 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot49
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 6:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 6:27INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:49INDRush REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 6:57MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 7:02INDMISS Granger Tip Shot49
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 7:03INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 7:04INDMISS Granger Alley Oop Layup49
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 7:18MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)49
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 7:35INDHibbert 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)49
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 7:50MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)47
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 7:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 7:56INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 8:08MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)47
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 8:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 8:17INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 8:24INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 8:25INDMISS Hibbert Layup47
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 8:40MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)47
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 9:02INDRush 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 9:17MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)45
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 9:49INDRush Driving Layup (8 PTS)45
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 9:55INDRush REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)43
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 9:56INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot43
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 10:22MIAWade Driving Layup (28 PTS)43
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 10:40MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
3.2%
63
96.8%
Q3 - 10:41INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 10:57MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T7)43
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 11:15INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)43
3.5%
63
96.5%
Q3 - 11:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)43
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 243
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)43
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 11:48INDAlston STEAL (1 STL)43
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDJones Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)43
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.7%
62
96.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDRush Putback Dunk (6 PTS)41
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDMISS Watson 13' Jump Shot39
2.7%
62
97.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot39
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q2 - 1:00INDRichardson STEAL (1 STL)39
2.6%
62
97.4%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWade Dunk (25 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)39
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q2 - 1:38MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot39
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 1:58INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q2 - 1:58INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
3.4%
60
96.6%
Q2 - 2:14MIARichardson Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 2:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 2:21INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Reverse Layup (23 PTS)37
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q2 - 3:05INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot37
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q2 - 3:22INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)37
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 237
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q2 - 3:34INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q2 - 3:34INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 236
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 3:40INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot36
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 4:04INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q2 - 4:04INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q2 - 4:04INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q2 - 4:05INDMISS Granger 6' Jump Bank Shot34
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q2 - 4:13MIABeasley 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q2 - 4:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup34
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 4:29INDWatson Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)34
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q2 - 4:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 4:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 4:49INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T11)32
4.6%
52
95.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)32
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 5:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q2 - 5:06INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot32
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 5:44INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)32
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 6:00INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q2 - 6:07MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 6:08INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot30
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)30
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 6:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 6:26INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot30
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 6:32INDPacers Rebound30
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q2 - 6:33INDWade BLOCK (2 BLK)30
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 6:38INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
8.2%
47
91.8%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 6:55INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 6:55INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)29
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 7:07MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T5)28
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 7:15INDDunleavy Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)28
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 7:21INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 7:46INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)28
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q2 - 7:52INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 7:53INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 8:06MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 8:17INDWright STEAL (3 STL)25
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 8:59INDJones Foul Turnover (P2.T8)25
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 9:04MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 9:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 9:10INDAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)25
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 9:29INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot25
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIAWright Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)25
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 9:59INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 1 AST)25
8.2%
42
91.8%
Q2 - 10:11MIAChalmers 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 10:35INDPrice 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)22
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 10:43MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 10:58INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 10:58INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 219
6.3%
40
93.7%
Q2 - 11:13MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)19
6.7%
40
93.3%
Q2 - 11:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 11:32INDMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot19
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 11:33INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 11:34INDMISS Jones 7' Jump Shot19
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 11:51MIAWright Dunk (4 PTS)19
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 11:53INDWright STEAL (2 STL)19
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)19
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDWright STEAL (1 STL)19
12.2%
33
87.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
13.0%
33
87.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDWade STEAL (2 STL)19
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)19
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q1 - 1:15INDAnthony STEAL (1 STL)19
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 1:46INDRush 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)19
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q1 - 1:50INDPacers Rebound17
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 1:51INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)17
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 1:58INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup17
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q1 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 2:15INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q1 - 2:18INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q1 - 2:19INDMISS Price 17' Jump Shot17
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q1 - 2:42MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q1 - 2:42MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q1 - 2:54MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 2:55INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 3:12MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)17
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 3:35INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)17
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 3:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q1 - 3:37INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 3:49MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)15
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q1 - 4:01INDO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)15
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)15
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 4:30INDMISS Granger 9' Turnaround Jump Shot15
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 4:45MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)15
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 4:50INDMISS Murphy 20' Jump Shot15
31.6%
17
68.4%
Q1 - 4:57INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
33.1%
17
66.9%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Beasley 18' Turnaround Jump Shot15
32.5%
17
67.5%
Q1 - 5:14INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)15
31.1%
17
68.9%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)13
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 5:49INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
31.0%
15
69.0%
Q1 - 5:50INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 5:51INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot10
26.3%
15
73.7%
Q1 - 5:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 5:53INDMISS Watson 13' Jump Shot10
26.3%
15
73.7%
Q1 - 5:59MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 6:24INDGranger Alley Oop Layup (3 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)10
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 6:38INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 6:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 6:53INDWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)8
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 7:17MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 7:42INDHibbert Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)5
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 7:48INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup3
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 8:11INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 23
24.5%
9
75.5%
Q1 - 8:11INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
25.6%
9
74.4%
Q1 - 8:14INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS O'Neal Layup2
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 8:27INDWade STEAL (1 STL)2
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 8:32MIAAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 8:44INDMurphy 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)2
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 9:09MIAO'Neal 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)0
21.8%
9
78.2%
Q1 - 9:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 9:23INDO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 9:52MIABeasley Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 10:06INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.5%
5
73.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:22INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:33INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Alston 9' Running Hook Shot0
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:50INDMISS Hibbert 11' Turnaround Hook Shot0
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:03INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup0
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:21MIAHEAT Rebound0
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 11:23INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Hibbert: Tip to Alston0
34.3%
0
65.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.86 43.2%
MIA
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
27
52%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
IND
10
32
31%
MIA
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
MIA
10
15.0
17
59%
88%
Free Throws
IND
14
20
70%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Rush1785%8.5 / 10
D. Jones1346%6.5 / 14
R. Hibbert1246%6.0 / 13
T. Murphy1142%5.5 / 13
M. Dunleavy964%4.5 / 7
D. Granger822%4.0 / 18
A. Price850%4.0 / 8
E. Watson536%2.5 / 7
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 2
T. Diener0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3270%16.0 / 23
M. Beasley2170%10.5 / 15
J. O'Neal1063%5.0 / 8
D. Wright938%4.5 / 12
R. Alston880%4.0 / 5
J. Magloire770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
C. Arroyo6100%3.0 / 3
Q. Richardson563%2.5 / 4
D. Cook5125%2.5 / 2
M. Chalmers467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
80
+16
-17
96
MIA
82
+7
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.86 43.2%
MIA
1.24 62.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
106.7
IND 85.6 +32.1
MIA 117.7
Pace
97.0
89.6
IND 110.2 +23.3
MIA 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.5
IND 13.1 +3.5
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
49.6%
IND 40.6%
MIA 62.5% +21.9%
TO %
14.7%
13.6%
IND 16.1%
MIA 14.5% +1.6%
ORB %
21.6%
26.0%
IND 25.0% +9.2%
MIA 15.8%
FTrt
29.6
29.6
IND 23.5
MIA 23.8 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
51.9%
IND 61.3% +21.3%
MIA 40.0%
STL %
7.4%
8.1%
IND 8.2%
MIA 10.4% +2.2%
BLK %
8.0%
9.4%
IND 4.8%
MIA 15.3% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.1%
IND 43.2%
MIA 62.1% +18.9%
Rim FG%
57.4%
62.0%
IND 51.9%
MIA 64.0% +12.1%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.8%
IND 31.3%
MIA 50.0% +18.7%
3P %
34.8%
34.6%
IND 26.9%
MIA 58.8% +31.9%
FT %
77.5%
75.2%
IND 70.0% +1.6%
MIA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
29.8%
IND 31.8% +0.5%
MIA 31.3%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
48.3%
IND 37.6% +9.9%
MIA 47.5%
3P Att. %
27.8%
21.9%
IND 30.6% +9.3%
MIA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes21.126.5
Points83113
Rebounds4545
Assists1918
Steals810
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)39 (2)
Field Goals31-8545-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2716-25
Midrange FG10-3219-38
2-Point FG24-5935-63
3-Point FG7-2610-17
Free Throws14-2013-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
36.5
17
85%
10
2
0
1
0
3
4
6
2-2
100%
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 222 · 27
31.9
8
22%
3
2
2
1
3
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-10
10%
1-6
17%
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
30.6
11
42%
12
1
0
0
2
3
2
10
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
27.1
12
46%
4
2
0
1
2
4
2
2
0-2
0%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
26.4
5
36%
3
3
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29
25.5
13
46%
4
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
21.6
8
50%
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29
20.9
9
64%
4
1
2
0
3
1
0
4
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 23
5.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 28
5.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
43%
45
19
8
3
17
0
13
32
14-20
70%
24-59
41%
7-26
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.