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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings27%9897
9Hawks73%107108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
37.9
32.1
23
56%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
2-7
29%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
36.4
23.0
14
47%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
32.2
37.7
24
61%
0
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
5-6
83%
8-15
7-15
53%
48%
1-2
50%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
22.7
21.1
6
68%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
16.5
21.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
30.1
25.0
8
57%
2
8
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
29.9
26.6
16
62%
8
1
2
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
8-11
3-6
73%
49%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
12.2
23.9
4
40%
5
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
10.4
7.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
7.3
10.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
4.4
13.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
32.1
34.8
15
70%
7
3
1
1
4
1
1
6
5-6
83%
5-8
6-10
63%
56%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.6
31.4
41.3
17
55%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
5-9
7-15
56%
50%
2-5
40%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.6
30.9
27.3
13
58%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
5-5
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.1
28.6
39.3
16
69%
9
4
1
2
2
2
2
7
4-6
67%
6-9
7-13
67%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.7
21.6
26.4
2
17%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
26.6
28.8
20
73%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
2-4
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
18.1
9.7
7
44%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.5
14.5
6.2
6
60%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.9
13.9
13.2
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.6
10.9
5.4
2
53%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
9.3
6.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.0
2.1
2.2
4
106%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.