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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat36%8965
15Bobcats64%93104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
31.8
34.1
16
41%
4
1
1
2
0
4
2
2
4-8
50%
6-14
8-16
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
26.0
34.8
6
27%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
6-14
38%
47%
0-3
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
23.5
27.4
3
23%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
39%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
22.4
26.8
4
33%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
15.2
23.0
4
29%
2
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
28.4
24.6
16
65%
7
1
0
1
2
3
4
3
3-3
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
47%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
20.7
21.5
6
40%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
6-8
75%
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
17.8
16.8
3
28%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
17.0
7.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-4
0%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
15.1
6.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
36%
0-4
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
12.6
6.7
4
40%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
9.5
13.9
3
85%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
36.0
39.7
20
69%
10
2
2
2
5
0
0
10
8-8
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
52%
2-4
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
33.3
31.0
24
79%
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
10-12
83%
7-7
5-10
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
29.6
35.6
9
75%
4
2
3
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
54%
1-1
100%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.6
26.9
32.3
14
83%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
16.1
18.1
16
64%
10
1
0
0
0
2
5
5
4-8
50%
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.2
21.1
13.2
2
19%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.0
16.5
9.1
0
0%
7
0
1
0
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.4
16.4
15.9
4
34%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
15.3
22.5
5
39%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
11.4
10.4
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
9.0
3.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.0
8.3
2.9
4
29%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.3
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.