FinalWin Prob.pScore
2717%95
98
483%107
109
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
96.1102106.6
ORL logo ORL
106.910297.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL98
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDPacers Rebound98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0INDMISS Granger 28' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T21)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23INDWatson Layup (11 PTS)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (32 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:49INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:01ORLBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:01ORLBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 2:01ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)96
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 2:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 296
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 2:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 296
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:21INDJones 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)96
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:46ORLHoward Slam Dunk (30 PTS)94
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:06ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)94
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 3:08INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 3:22INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
1.2%
103
98.8%
Q4 - 3:24ORLMISS Nelson Layup94
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 3:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 3:38ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
1.8%
103
98.2%
Q4 - 3:59INDJones Driving Layup (15 PTS)94
1.3%
103
98.7%
Q4 - 4:15ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)92
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 4:26INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
1.2%
101
98.8%
Q4 - 4:26INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)91
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 4:33INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 4:36ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 290
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 4:36ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)90
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 4:49INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)90
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 5:21ORLBarnes Driving Layup (8 PTS)88
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 5:36ORLMAGIC Rebound88
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 5:36ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 5:54ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)88
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 5:55INDMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 6:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)88
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 6:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)88
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 6:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)88
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 6:18ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot88
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 6:34INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)88
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 6:44ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)86
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 6:59INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)86
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 7:17INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 7:20ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 7:39INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)83
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 7:50ORLGortat Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)80
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:01ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)80
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:03INDMISS Granger 15' Jump Shot80
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:18INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 8:20ORLMISS Gortat 9' Jump Shot80
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 8:46ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:48INDMISS Watson 17' Jump Shot80
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:53ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)80
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 9:18INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)80
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 9:26INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 9:29ORLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:35ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:37INDMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:43INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:53INDMISS Granger Layup77
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 10:17ORLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 10:32ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:35INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:42ORLPietrus Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 10:55INDRedick STEAL (1 STL)77
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 11:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 11:09ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 11:26INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)77
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 11:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 11:35ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot74
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND74
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound74
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Price 44' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)74
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 273
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Williams Layup73
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (25 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)71
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q3 - 1:11INDPrice Layup (6 PTS)71
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q3 - 1:12INDPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 1:13INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 1:13INDMISS Hibbert Tip Shot69
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 1:16INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 1:22ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)69
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q3 - 1:44INDPrice Layup (4 PTS)69
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 1:48ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 2:02INDWatson Driving Layup (9 PTS)67
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q3 - 2:14ORLRedick 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)65
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q3 - 2:30INDDunleavy 8' Hook Shot (7 PTS)65
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 2:45ORLLewis Layup (18 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)63
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q3 - 2:51INDHoward STEAL (4 STL)63
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 3:02ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)63
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 3:02ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 263
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:07ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:09INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:19INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:21ORLMISS Howard Running Hook Shot63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:33ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:35INDMISS Watson 12' Fadeaway Jumper63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:59ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)63
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 3:59ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)63
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 4:12INDPrice Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 4:18INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 4:19ORLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 4:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 4:26INDMISS Price 12' Jump Shot63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 4:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 4:36ORLMISS Barnes Layup63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 4:53INDJones 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 5:04ORLLewis 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)61
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 5:09INDHoward STEAL (3 STL)61
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 5:21ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)61
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 5:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)61
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 5:35INDWatson Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)61
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 5:41ORLLewis Layup (12 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)61
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 5:56INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 5:56INDMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 260
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 6:05INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 6:07ORLMISS Howard 4' Driving Bank Hook Shot60
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 6:29INDWatson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 6:57ORLLewis 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)58
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 7:14INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 7:14INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 7:24ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)56
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 7:24ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)56
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 7:35ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)56
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 7:36INDMISS Murphy Tip Shot56
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 7:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 7:38INDMISS Murphy Layup56
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 7:52INDPacers Rebound56
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 7:52ORLMISS Carter Driving Reverse Layup56
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 8:08INDJones Foul Turnover (P1.T14)56
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 8:15ORLHoward Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)56
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 8:22ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)56
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 8:24INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot56
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 8:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 8:42ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 256
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 8:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)56
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 8:43ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 8:59INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 8:59INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 9:02INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 9:05ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 9:11ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 9:13INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 9:13ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 9:13ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 254
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 9:30INDMurphy 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)54
2.2%
70
97.8%
Q3 - 9:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)52
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 9:54ORLHoward Layup (14 PTS)52
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 9:56ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 10:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 10:10INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot52
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 10:29ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)52
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 10:48INDRush 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q3 - 11:05ORLBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)50
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q3 - 11:21INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 11:21INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 11:29INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 11:31ORLMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot48
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 11:48INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)48
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL46
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDBarnes STEAL (3 STL)46
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)46
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)46
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)45
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)44
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDJones 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)44
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)42
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q2 - 1:04INDJones Layup (5 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)42
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q2 - 1:22ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q2 - 1:22ORLBass Dunk (2 PTS)40
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q2 - 1:24ORLMISS Bass Layup40
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 1:37ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q2 - 1:38INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 240
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q2 - 1:38INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q2 - 1:46INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 1:49ORLMISS Lewis Layup39
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 2:10INDGranger 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)39
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 2:26INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q2 - 2:28ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 137
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q2 - 2:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q2 - 2:34INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q2 - 2:53ORLBarnes 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)37
1.1%
61
98.9%
Q2 - 2:59ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q2 - 3:01INDMISS Murphy Layup37
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q2 - 3:14INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q2 - 3:16ORLMISS Carter 12' Fadeaway Jumper37
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q2 - 3:35INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)37
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q2 - 3:50ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T10)34
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q2 - 3:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)34
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q2 - 4:00INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot34
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q2 - 4:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q2 - 4:09ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q2 - 4:26INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q2 - 4:32INDPacers Rebound31
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q2 - 4:35INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q2 - 4:55INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q2 - 4:56ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot31
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q2 - 5:19INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)31
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q2 - 5:27ORLBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)31
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q2 - 5:45ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q2 - 5:47INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 231
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q2 - 5:47INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)31
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q2 - 6:02ORLAnderson Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)30
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q2 - 6:02ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)30
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 6:02ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)30
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q2 - 6:16INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 6:16INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q2 - 6:46ORLPietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)28
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 6:51ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q2 - 6:54INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q2 - 6:59INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
1.3%
53
98.7%
Q2 - 7:01ORLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.3%
53
98.7%
Q2 - 7:04ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
1.2%
53
98.8%
Q2 - 7:06ORLMISS Pietrus Layup28
1.3%
53
98.7%
Q2 - 7:24INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
1.2%
53
98.8%
Q2 - 7:37ORLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pietrus 3 AST)26
1.0%
53
99.0%
Q2 - 7:50ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 7:52INDMISS Price 3PT Jump Shot26
1.3%
50
98.7%
Q2 - 8:04ORLGortat Dunk (4 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)26
1.6%
50
98.4%
Q2 - 8:22ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
1.7%
48
98.3%
Q2 - 8:23INDMISS Price Free Throw 1 of 126
1.8%
48
98.2%
Q2 - 8:33ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)24
1.6%
48
98.4%
Q2 - 8:56ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
1.4%
48
98.6%
Q2 - 8:58INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
1.4%
48
98.6%
Q2 - 9:06ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)24
1.6%
48
98.4%
Q2 - 9:11INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)24
1.5%
48
98.5%
Q2 - 9:18ORLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
1.6%
48
98.4%
Q2 - 9:29INDAnderson STEAL (1 STL)24
1.8%
46
98.2%
Q2 - 9:40ORLRedick Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Barnes 6 AST)24
2.0%
46
98.0%
Q2 - 9:46INDBarnes STEAL (2 STL)24
2.2%
44
97.8%
Q2 - 10:01ORLAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)24
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 10:15INDRush Foul Turnover (P1.T8)24
2.3%
44
97.7%
Q2 - 10:23ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 10:23ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 10:41INDGranger 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
2.8%
42
97.2%
Q2 - 10:55ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)22
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 11:10INDJones 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
2.4%
42
97.6%
Q2 - 11:23ORLLewis 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)20
2.2%
42
97.8%
Q2 - 11:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
2.4%
40
97.6%
Q2 - 11:38INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
2.5%
40
97.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL20
2.7%
40
97.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)20
2.6%
40
97.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)20
2.8%
40
97.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLHoward Layup (12 PTS)20
2.8%
40
97.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Williams Driving Layup20
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
3.2%
38
96.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup20
3.3%
38
96.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)20
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q1 - 1:00ORLWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)17
2.5%
38
97.5%
Q1 - 1:07INDLewis STEAL (1 STL)17
3.0%
36
97.0%
Q1 - 1:22ORLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)17
3.2%
36
96.8%
Q1 - 1:39ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)17
4.0%
33
96.0%
Q1 - 1:41INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 217
4.0%
33
96.0%
Q1 - 1:41INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 217
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q1 - 1:50ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barnes 5 AST)17
4.2%
33
95.8%
Q1 - 2:09INDGranger 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
5.4%
30
94.6%
Q1 - 2:33INDPacers Rebound15
4.8%
30
95.2%
Q1 - 2:34ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 215
4.8%
30
95.2%
Q1 - 2:34ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)15
4.5%
30
95.5%
Q1 - 2:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)15
4.9%
29
95.1%
Q1 - 2:35ORLMISS Lewis 9' Running Jump Shot15
5.2%
29
94.8%
Q1 - 2:43INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
4.9%
29
95.1%
Q1 - 2:43INDJones Tip Shot (3 PTS)15
4.9%
29
95.1%
Q1 - 2:44INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
4.4%
29
95.6%
Q1 - 2:44INDMISS Jones Tip Shot13
4.2%
29
95.8%
Q1 - 2:46INDMISS Price 15' Jump Shot13
4.2%
29
95.8%
Q1 - 2:58ORLHoward Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)13
4.4%
29
95.6%
Q1 - 3:12INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
4.8%
27
95.2%
Q1 - 3:12INDMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 212
4.7%
27
95.3%
Q1 - 3:21ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
4.8%
27
95.2%
Q1 - 3:25ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4.4%
27
95.6%
Q1 - 3:30INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 3:47ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
4.9%
27
95.1%
Q1 - 3:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
5.0%
26
95.0%
Q1 - 4:00INDDunleavy Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
4.8%
26
95.2%
Q1 - 4:10ORLWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Barnes 4 AST)10
4.5%
26
95.5%
Q1 - 4:14INDBarnes STEAL (1 STL)10
4.9%
24
95.1%
Q1 - 4:21INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
5.4%
24
94.6%
Q1 - 4:23INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot10
5.0%
24
95.0%
Q1 - 4:30INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
5.4%
24
94.6%
Q1 - 4:33ORLMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 110
5.3%
24
94.7%
Q1 - 4:49INDWatson Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
5.8%
22
94.2%
Q1 - 5:13ORLCarter Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
5.6%
22
94.4%
Q1 - 5:16ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
6.0%
20
94.0%
Q1 - 5:18INDMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot8
6.2%
20
93.8%
Q1 - 5:33ORLBarnes Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
6.6%
20
93.4%
Q1 - 5:38ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
7.1%
18
92.9%
Q1 - 5:40INDMISS Murphy 20' Jump Shot8
7.3%
18
92.7%
Q1 - 5:54INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
7.7%
18
92.3%
Q1 - 5:55ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
7.5%
18
92.5%
Q1 - 6:08ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 6:11INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot8
7.2%
18
92.8%
Q1 - 6:28ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)8
7.6%
18
92.4%
Q1 - 6:33INDHoward STEAL (2 STL)8
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 6:48INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
9.6%
15
90.4%
Q1 - 6:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 28
9.5%
15
90.5%
Q1 - 6:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)8
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 6:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot8
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 7:07INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)8
9.5%
14
90.5%
Q1 - 7:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
8.2%
14
91.8%
Q1 - 7:18INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 25
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 7:18INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 7:29ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)4
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 7:35INDHoward STEAL (1 STL)4
8.1%
12
91.9%
Q1 - 7:48INDPacers Rebound4
8.8%
12
91.2%
Q1 - 7:50ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
8.6%
12
91.4%
Q1 - 7:58ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8.1%
12
91.9%
Q1 - 7:59INDMISS Hibbert Layup4
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 8:19INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 8:23ORLMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot4
8.5%
12
91.5%
Q1 - 8:30ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
8.0%
12
92.0%
Q1 - 8:31INDMISS Murphy 16' Jump Shot4
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 8:37ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)4
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 8:50ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
8.0%
12
92.0%
Q1 - 8:52INDMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot4
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 8:57INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 9:00ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 24
8.6%
12
91.4%
Q1 - 9:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 9:12INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
8.8%
11
91.2%
Q1 - 9:12INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
8.6%
11
91.4%
Q1 - 9:29ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)2
8.1%
11
91.9%
Q1 - 9:39INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T2)2
9.4%
8
90.6%
Q1 - 9:52ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)2
10.1%
8
89.9%
Q1 - 10:01ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 10:04INDLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12.0%
5
88.0%
Q1 - 10:12ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T2)2
12.6%
5
87.4%
Q1 - 10:24INDRush Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)2
11.7%
5
88.3%
Q1 - 10:39ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
11.0%
5
89.0%
Q1 - 10:56INDGranger Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.5%
2
87.5%
Q1 - 11:03ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.1%
2
86.9%
Q1 - 11:06ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:09ORLMISS Howard Layup0
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 11:16ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:18INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot0
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
13.5%
1
86.5%
Q1 - 11:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:42ORLMISS Howard Layup0
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Hibbert: Tip to Carter0
14.0%
0
86.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.07 53.3%
ORL
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
21
62%
ORL
21
35
60%
Midrange
IND
15
31
48%
ORL
6
14
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
24
25%
38%
ORL
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
IND
24
33
73%
ORL
25
37
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2557%12.5 / 22
T. Murphy1757%8.5 / 15
D. Jones1777%8.5 / 11
M. Dunleavy1250%6.0 / 12
E. Watson1155%5.5 / 10
A. Price633%3.0 / 9
B. Rush440%2.0 / 5
R. Hibbert338%1.5 / 4
S. Jones350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard3267%16.0 / 24
R. Lewis1853%9.0 / 17
J. Williams1464%7.0 / 11
M. Barnes1071%5.0 / 7
J. Nelson744%3.5 / 8
J. Redick788%3.5 / 4
V. Carter633%3.0 / 9
M. Pietrus660%3.0 / 5
M. Gortat467%2.0 / 3
R. Anderson3150%1.5 / 1
B. Bass250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+9
-19
92
ORL
83
+13
-19
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.07 53.3%
ORL
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
111.5
IND 96.1 +10.8
ORL 106.9
Pace
97.0
92.0
IND 106.6 +8.8
ORL 97.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.7
IND 13.5 +1.2
ORL 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
53.6%
IND 48.7%
ORL 56.0% +7.3%
TO %
14.7%
14.8%
IND 17.3% +1.4%
ORL 18.7%
ORB %
21.6%
24.6%
IND 15.6%
ORL 30.0% +14.4%
FTrt
29.6
34.0
IND 43.4
ORL 49.3 +5.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
53.7%
IND 38.2%
ORL 67.6% +29.4%
STL %
7.4%
6.8%
IND 10.8%
ORL 10.8%
BLK %
8.0%
8.6%
IND 4.1% +2.2%
ORL 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
55.8%
IND 53.3%
ORL 56.2% +2.9%
Rim FG%
57.4%
61.6%
IND 61.9% +1.9%
ORL 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.8%
42.3%
IND 48.4% +5.5%
ORL 42.9%
3P %
34.8%
37.5%
IND 25.0%
ORL 38.5% +13.5%
FT %
77.5%
72.4%
IND 72.7% +5.1%
ORL 67.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
33.0%
IND 27.6%
ORL 46.7% +19.0%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
32.0%
IND 40.8%
ORL 18.7% +22.1%
3P Att. %
27.8%
35.0%
IND 31.6%
ORL 34.7% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points98109
Rebounds3550
Assists1325
Steals1111
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)19 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)38 (0)
Field Goals34-7637-75
At-the-Rim FG13-2121-35
Midrange FG15-316-14
2-Point FG28-5227-49
3-Point FG6-2410-26
Free Throws24-3325-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
40.2
11
55%
4
4
6
0
3
4
0
4
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 27
38.3
25
57%
6
2
1
0
3
4
0
6
5-7
71%
7-12
58%
2-7
29%
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
34.6
17
57%
10
1
0
0
1
4
3
7
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
2-5
40%
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
18.1
3
38%
3
2
0
2
2
4
1
2
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
14.5
4
40%
0
0
1
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29
37.4
17
77%
0
3
0
0
1
4
0
0
5-6
83%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29
36.1
12
50%
5
1
2
0
4
0
0
5
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
14.9
6
33%
4
0
1
0
4
1
1
3
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
5.9
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 23
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
G · 6'1" 175 · 28
#13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
53%
35
13
11
2
19
0
7
28
24-33
73%
28-52
54%
6-24
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.