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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pacers17%9598
4Magic83%107109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.6
40.2
27.7
11
56%
4
4
6
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
38.3
32.9
25
57%
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
5-7
71%
7-12
4-9
58%
45%
2-7
29%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.7
34.6
29.6
17
56%
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
5-5
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.1
18.1
27.0
3
40%
3
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
3-4
75%
0-2
5-11
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
14.5
29.8
4
40%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
37.4
21.0
17
80%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
5-6
83%
6-8
3-7
75%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.3
36.1
23.3
12
51%
5
1
2
1
0
4
0
5
2-4
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
2-4
50%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
14.9
21.8
6
32%
4
0
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-1
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
0-4
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
5.9
8.6
3
52%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
7.7
0
1-2
47%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.8
5.8
0
1-2
46%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
4.6
0
0-0
42%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
39.0
31.7
18
53%
7
0
1
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
3-7
43%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.9
37.8
32.3
10
68%
16
6
3
1
0
3
2
14
2-3
67%
4-5
4-7
80%
56%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
37.5
36.8
32
68%
11
0
4
1
0
6
7
4
16-24
67%
8-13
6-10
62%
61%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
25.6
24.0
6
34%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.9
22.8
29.0
7
41%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
25.2
17.2
14
64%
0
9
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
18.6
21.4
7
88%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
14.0
20.3
6
60%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
2-4
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
8.9
13.9
3
114%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
8.1
10.3
4
69%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
2.5
4.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.