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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Celtics69%9786
28Pistons31%9092
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.9
42.6
37.0
21
54%
8
7
4
2
0
1
1
7
5-8
63%
8-15
5-10
53%
53%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.3
38.7
24.9
16
51%
7
0
3
1
1
1
0
7
4-6
67%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
2-5
40%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.2
35.3
34.0
8
57%
4
2
1
0
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
5-8
57%
61%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.3
35.1
34.8
21
70%
6
2
2
1
0
4
0
6
7-7
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
2-5
40%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.5
34.1
37.0
8
37%
5
1
0
1
0
5
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
0-4
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.0
16.3
14.5
4
41%
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.1
15.4
18.1
4
52%
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
14.1
17.9
4
37%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
5.7
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.3
2.8
1.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
5.4
0
1-1
47%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.0
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
41.4
36.8
27
51%
11
6
2
1
1
2
6
5
5-6
83%
11-24
7-16
46%
43%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.9
39.2
37.4
12
44%
4
8
0
1
0
7
1
3
4-6
67%
4-10
7-15
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
35.9
32.7
6
47%
10
1
2
1
2
2
2
8
0-1
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
22.3
32.4
4
50%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
8.1
12.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.4
30.8
27.9
19
64%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
3-8
38%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.6
25.4
18.8
8
40%
8
2
1
0
1
1
0
8
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.9
21.2
19.9
12
56%
3
0
2
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.4
14.0
19.7
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
1.6
5.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
4.3
0
0-1
51%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.0
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.