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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Raptors42%99107
21Bucks58%102113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
42.7
37.0
44
67%
12
4
1
1
0
1
2
10
14-15
93%
15-25
8-15
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.8
35.1
29.2
13
46%
4
4
0
1
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
3-8
38%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.2
30.8
35.8
10
37%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
47%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
28.6
23.1
6
38%
2
5
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.5
26.3
25.3
2
17%
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
23.4
19.5
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
22.5
16.7
10
75%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
6-6
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
21.2
24.8
16
71%
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.5
6.3
14.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
3.1
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.2
4.3
0
0-1
48%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.6
3.5
0
1-1
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
38.9
27.6
22
66%
8
4
1
1
0
1
3
5
4-4
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
4-8
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
36.3
32.7
16
35%
4
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-15
4-10
20%
44%
2-6
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
34.9
24.0
13
72%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
46%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
32.4
34.6
27
81%
12
2
0
1
3
3
4
8
5-6
83%
11-14
7-14
79%
55%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
31.2
27.4
8
67%
5
4
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
24.2
17.1
9
33%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
2-8
2-4
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.2
17.3
5.0
3
30%
5
4
0
0
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
11.7
26.1
11
70%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
8.7
1.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.5
4.4
18.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
13.7
0
1-3
49%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
6.2
0
1-1
50%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.