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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 20, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bulls45%9397
23Clippers55%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
43.3
33.8
23
45%
8
7
1
1
2
4
3
5
3-4
75%
10-24
8-17
42%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
39.9
36.2
19
50%
10
1
1
1
0
2
2
8
4-7
57%
6-14
6-13
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
38.5
29.4
14
50%
15
2
1
1
3
3
5
10
2-2
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.0
36.6
20.1
9
27%
2
5
1
1
1
3
0
2
3-6
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-7
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
11.4
23.0
4
33%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
36.3
20.9
18
71%
6
1
2
1
3
1
0
6
2-4
50%
8-11
3-6
73%
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.2
16.4
10.1
3
44%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
9.5
15.9
2
35%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
8.1
10.4
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
35.1
1
3-7
47%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.1
2.2
0
0-0
36%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
36.3
33.0
20
44%
8
1
1
1
1
2
2
6
6-11
55%
7-18
8-16
39%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
36.0
27.9
6
30%
25
3
3
1
2
2
6
19
0-2
0%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 30.8
34.5
31.7
23
56%
3
6
1
2
2
2
1
2
6-8
75%
7-14
4-8
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
30.8
33.7
13
61%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
6-6
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.1
21.0
35.3
6
44%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 30.3
27.0
15.9
8
45%
7
6
1
0
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.1
17.5
17.2
17
76%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-5
40%
6-8
3-5
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.2
17.3
18.6
6
47%
4
1
1
0
1
3
1
3
0-3
0%
3-5
4-6
60%
57%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 24.6
13.5
14.4
5
125%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.5
6.2
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
59%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
4.7
0
0-0
52%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.5
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.8
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.