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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings21%9684
4Magic79%107100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
40.5
34.1
5
26%
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-6
50%
1-5
4-10
20%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
36.5
35.0
19
53%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
6-7
86%
5-14
7-14
36%
47%
1-1
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
25.9
28.0
10
42%
10
0
0
0
0
1
3
7
6-9
67%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
18.8
21.4
6
38%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
0-2
0%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
15.4
19.3
5
28%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
24.3
26.8
4
23%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
17.9
19.2
8
44%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
16.4
27.7
6
38%
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
11.9
9.4
6
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
11.4
9.9
5
28%
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-8
1-2
13%
45%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
10.8
9.0
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
10.3
3.1
8
90%
0
5
3
0
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.9
27.2
33.8
3
19%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
56%
0-3
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
27.2
34.2
15
49%
6
2
0
1
1
4
3
3
3-5
60%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
2-5
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
26.3
36.6
19
77%
15
1
3
1
2
5
3
12
11-12
92%
4-7
6-10
57%
61%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
26.2
24.3
11
70%
2
0
2
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.0
23.8
26.2
7
47%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
51%
0-3
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
22.6
17.6
5
51%
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
53%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
21.7
9.6
8
58%
8
0
0
0
4
0
1
7
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
20.4
20.3
4
50%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
17.4
20.4
15
82%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
14.0
11.7
9
65%
4
1
0
0
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
6.8
3.9
4
33%
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
6.4
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.