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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat51%98112
25Wizards49%9788
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
36.5
31.3
15
47%
8
2
0
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
7-14
6-12
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
34.0
33.0
32
75%
3
10
0
2
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
8-12
8-16
67%
51%
4-7
57%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
34.0
25.6
11
55%
5
9
4
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
41%
3-5
60%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
22.2
24.9
18
83%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
8-10
4-8
80%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
21.1
20.0
6
75%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
26.9
25.7
9
60%
3
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
2-2
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
25.8
12.3
6
60%
6
0
0
0
4
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
20.3
21.3
8
67%
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
14.0
17.1
4
69%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
2.6
9.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
2.6
3.5
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
10.9
0
1-2
48%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
33.0
40.1
14
46%
2
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
29.5
34.3
14
59%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
2-3
67%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.6
28.2
38.6
8
29%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-12
6-12
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.2
17.2
35.3
2
41%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.8
12.0
18.8
2
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
32.5
16.3
19
71%
11
3
0
1
0
2
6
5
8-10
80%
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
24.2
25.1
3
25%
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
1-5
20%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.6
24.0
14.8
9
50%
1
5
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
16.7
9.4
13
65%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.8
9.7
2.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
57%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.0
8.4
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
4.6
2.8
2
41%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.6
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.