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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pacers44%97105
27Pistons56%9993
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
33.8
24.0
19
87%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
5-8
63%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
32.9
34.3
25
69%
3
4
1
1
2
1
1
2
14-14
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.1
32.8
23.4
14
71%
7
2
2
0
3
4
1
6
2-2
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.7
28.6
30.8
16
61%
11
2
2
1
1
1
4
7
3-5
60%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.6
25.8
31.4
4
40%
4
6
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
27.4
27.4
14
67%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
1-3
33%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
24.8
19.1
9
51%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
16.3
26.3
4
67%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
14.8
13.5
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
2.9
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
7.5
0
1-2
51%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.8
5.6
0
1-2
48%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.2
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
34.8
38.0
10
34%
1
5
0
2
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-13
8-18
23%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.9
32.4
37.6
27
64%
5
3
1
1
0
7
1
4
8-9
89%
8-15
7-15
53%
47%
1-2
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
25.3
33.5
9
77%
6
2
1
1
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
24.1
15.5
7
28%
6
3
1
0
0
1
3
3
1-1
100%
3-11
2-4
27%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
11.1
10.8
3
39%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
33.1
28.0
14
54%
7
3
0
1
0
1
5
2
0-2
0%
7-9
3-6
78%
53%
0-3
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.4
21.0
17.2
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.4
20.4
28.6
3
16%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.9
15.7
20.3
9
67%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.6
7.8
21.1
6
75%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
7.3
4.4
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
7.0
4.1
3
41%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-6
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.1
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.