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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 22, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers59%101115
16Knicks41%98105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
42.1
38.7
27
49%
5
6
1
2
0
3
0
5
8-8
100%
5-15
9-18
33%
49%
3-9
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.5
40.7
31.1
20
67%
8
5
0
1
4
1
3
5
6-11
55%
7-10
5-10
70%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.5
28.8
29.8
10
59%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.2
28.4
29.7
11
79%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
3-3
100%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.2
25.9
28.0
19
72%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
5-5
100%
7-11
6-10
64%
56%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
29.4
32.6
5
36%
14
3
0
1
0
1
5
9
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
22.1
17.4
11
81%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
19.2
16.9
9
90%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
3-5
60%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
3.5
9.0
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
5.2
0
0-1
41%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
4.6
0
1-1
44%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.9
3.4
0
0-0
41%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
42.8
33.8
2
33%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
42.5
39.2
31
54%
17
4
0
1
0
2
4
13
5-6
83%
13-26
9-16
50%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
41.4
33.2
28
61%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
12-19
5-11
63%
50%
1-3
33%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
36.3
35.7
20
71%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
7-7
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.4
30.9
24.3
2
10%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-7
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
18.3
26.6
9
65%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
10.8
10.2
8
58%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.6
10.1
25.1
3
30%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
6.9
5.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.0
5.3
0
1-1
45%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.2
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.6
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.1
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.