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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 23, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Magic54%94106
16Bobcats46%9395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
48.8
32.2
10
39%
20
1
2
1
7
6
3
17
2-4
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
57%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
42.4
31.0
18
50%
5
6
3
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
4-13
31%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
40.6
24.8
21
58%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-5
60%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.0
38.9
25.3
21
82%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
3-3
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.9
31.6
30.5
13
51%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
17.7
19.8
3
30%
5
1
1
1
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
1-5
20%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
16.0
19.5
9
77%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
14.1
20.1
4
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
10.6
12.8
5
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.9
4.2
15.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
6.3
0
0-1
42%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
5.6
0
1-2
49%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
49.3
40.0
9
35%
10
0
1
2
1
2
0
10
4-4
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
51%
1-3
33%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
45.1
34.3
15
36%
5
2
3
1
0
3
0
5
3-6
50%
6-14
5-11
43%
46%
0-4
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
38.1
33.3
7
35%
10
5
0
1
0
2
4
6
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
1-6
17%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.6
30.4
22.6
14
44%
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
46%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
23.9
19.3
12
58%
9
1
1
0
1
1
4
5
2-3
67%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.2
29.7
18.8
22
76%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
5-9
56%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.0
21.8
13.1
6
100%
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
17.6
22.0
5
36%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.4
9.2
14.4
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
9.3
0
1-2
49%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.0
3.7
0
0-1
42%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.3
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.