FinalWin Prob.pScore
2434%96
84
1566%101
115
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
94.48991.7
MIA logo MIA
132.28784.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0SAC84
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAArroyo 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0SACArmstrong Driving Dunk (2 PTS)84
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0SACArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot82
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0SACHawes 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rodriguez 2 AST)82
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0SACHawes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)80
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0SACMISS Rodriguez Free Throw 1 of 180
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:07SACHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot78
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:28SACMISS Hawes Free Throw 2 of 278
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:28SACMISS Hawes Free Throw 1 of 278
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:44MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:07SACCasspi 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 2:27MIABeasley Driving Dunk (21 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)76
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 2:32SACArroyo STEAL (1 STL)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:48MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)76
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59SACJones BLOCK (1 BLK)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04SACRodriguez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05SACMISS Greene 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15SACArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31SACRodriguez Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31SACMISS Rodriguez Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37SACArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAHEAT Rebound75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55SACMISS Greene Alley Oop Dunk75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25SACHawes Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)75
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 4 AST)73
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 1 of 173
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIABeasley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39SACCasspi Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43SACRodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Beasley 9' Turnaround Jump Shot69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAHEAT Rebound69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01SACMISS Greene Free Throw 2 of 269
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01SACGreene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20MIABeasley Dunk (17 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)68
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24SACWright STEAL (1 STL)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39SACRodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55SACRodriguez 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)66
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20SACMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot66
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)66
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54SACHawes 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)64
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot64
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:40SACCasspi Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)64
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)64
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:06SACMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40SACBrockman Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40SACBrockman Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHaslem 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)62
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)62
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:21SACMISS Brockman Free Throw 2 of 262
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:21SACMISS Brockman Free Throw 1 of 262
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)62
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49SACCasspi Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49SACMISS Casspi Free Throw 1 of 261
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:04MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)61
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)61
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 11:18SACAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 11:37SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC61
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SACKings Rebound61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0SACMISS Casspi 30' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0SACCasspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0SACWade BLOCK (3 BLK)61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAAlston Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0SACUdrih 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)61
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIAHEAT Rebound59
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot59
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 1:46SACCasspi 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)59
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 257
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 2:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 2:24SACMISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot57
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 2:29SACUdrih Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)57
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)56
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 2:46SACMISS Casspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 2:59SACHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 3:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 3:12SACMISS Hawes 21' Jump Shot56
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 3:31MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)56
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 3:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot56
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 4:02SACWade STEAL (1 STL)56
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 4:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q3 - 4:27SACMISS Thompson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot56
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 4:44SACBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 256
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 256
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 5:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 5:03SACMISS Evans 10' Jump Shot56
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 5:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)56
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 5:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)56
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 5:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 5:21SACWade BLOCK (2 BLK)56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 5:24SACThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 5:25SACMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 5:35SACBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot56
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q3 - 5:58MIAHEAT Rebound56
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 5:59SACMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 6:07SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
2.3%
76
97.7%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper56
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 6:29SACCasspi 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)56
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 6:56SACThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 254
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 6:57MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 7:21SACCasspi Driving Dunk (2 PTS)54
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 7:25MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 7:40SACThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 7:40SACThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)50
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 8:11SACWade BLOCK (1 BLK)50
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 8:26MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 8:40SACBrockman Putback Layup (4 PTS)50
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 8:41SACBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 8:42SACMISS Thompson Driving Layup48
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 9:01MIAO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)48
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 9:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)48
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 9:16SACMISS Greene 20' Jump Shot48
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 9:37MIABeasley 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 9:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)48
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup48
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q3 - 9:52MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 9:53SACO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)48
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 9:57SACThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 9:58SACMISS Brockman 18' Jump Shot48
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 10:07SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot48
2.6%
69
97.4%
Q3 - 10:31SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)48
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 10:31SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 10:48MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)46
2.0%
69
98.0%
Q3 - 11:04SACEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)46
2.5%
67
97.5%
Q3 - 11:11SACKings Rebound46
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 11:11SACMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot46
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)46
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 11:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 11:47SACMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 246
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 11:47SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAC45
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SACKings Rebound45
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0SACMISS Greene Alley Oop Layup45
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)45
3.6%
65
96.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0SACGreene Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0SACMISS Greene Free Throw 1 of 244
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0SACGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0SACEvans Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)44
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0SACKings Rebound42
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 242
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q2 - 1:00MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q2 - 1:07SACGreene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)42
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q2 - 1:23MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 242
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 1:33SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 1:33SACMISS Martin Free Throw Technical41
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIARichardson Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)39
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 1:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 1:56SACMISS Udrih 12' Jump Shot39
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIARichardson Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)39
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 2:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q2 - 2:24SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 139
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 2:42MIABeasley 10' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)37
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 2:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 2:57SACMISS Greene 10' Hook Shot37
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)37
6.0%
54
94.0%
Q2 - 3:29SACThompson Dunk (2 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)37
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)35
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 3:51MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)35
6.6%
50
93.4%
Q2 - 3:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 3:55SACMISS Evans Driving Layup35
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)35
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 4:38SACEvans Driving Layup (8 PTS)35
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:58MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)33
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 5:13SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)33
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 5:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)33
12.2%
44
87.8%
Q2 - 5:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)33
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 5:45SACMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T7)33
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:49SACMISS Evans Free Throw Technical33
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 5:58SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Wright 10' Jump Shot33
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 6:18SACHawes 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
13.8%
42
86.2%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWright Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 7:02SACEvans Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)31
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 7:13MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)31
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 7:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 7:35SACMISS Hawes 8' Hook Shot31
14.5%
40
85.5%
Q2 - 7:55MIAWright 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)31
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 8:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 8:19SACMISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot31
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 8:36MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)31
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 8:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 8:43SACMISS Casspi 18' Jump Shot31
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 9:01MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 9:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
26.3%
33
73.7%
Q2 - 9:10SACMISS Casspi 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
27.0%
33
73.0%
Q2 - 9:27SACUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
28.6%
33
71.4%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 9:55SACHawes Putback Dunk (6 PTS)31
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q2 - 9:56SACHawes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)29
24.5%
33
75.5%
Q2 - 9:57SACMISS Nocioni 7' Hook Shot29
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 10:11MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)29
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 10:14MIAHEAT Rebound29
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot29
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 10:39SACNocioni 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)29
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 10:55SACKings Rebound27
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot27
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot27
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 11:22SACMISS Hawes 9' Hook Shot27
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 11:30SACUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot27
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 11:45SACUdoka 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC25
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)25
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot25
22.2%
30
77.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0SACHawes Putback Layup (4 PTS)25
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0SACHawes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
19.4%
30
80.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0SACMISS Evans Driving Layup23
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0SACNocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19.4%
30
80.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0SACNocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)23
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q1 - 1:09MIAHaslem 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)20
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Wright Free Throw Technical20
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 1:33SACHawes 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)20
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 1:34SACHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q1 - 1:35SACMISS Nocioni 8' Jump Shot18
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 1:56SACNocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 218
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 218
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q1 - 1:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.2%
28
84.8%
Q1 - 2:20SACEvans Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)18
14.8%
28
85.2%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
13.5%
28
86.5%
Q1 - 2:47SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 2:47SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q1 - 3:00SACHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 214
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
12.9%
26
87.1%
Q1 - 3:01MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)14
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14.8%
24
85.2%
Q1 - 3:06SACRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)14
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 3:26MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 3:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
18.6%
21
81.4%
Q1 - 3:34SACMISS Martin Driving Layup14
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 3:58SACEvans 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 4:15SACKings Rebound12
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 4:16SACO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)12
19.1%
19
80.9%
Q1 - 4:18SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 4:19SACMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot12
19.1%
19
80.9%
Q1 - 4:41MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 5:07SACBrockman Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)12
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 5:25MIAO'Neal 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)10
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 5:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup10
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 5:59SACMartin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T5)10
23.2%
14
76.8%
Q1 - 6:16MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)10
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 6:26MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
26.3%
12
73.7%
Q1 - 6:27SACMISS Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
26.9%
12
73.1%
Q1 - 6:38MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
28.1%
12
71.9%
Q1 - 6:40SACBeasley STEAL (2 STL)10
26.3%
12
73.7%
Q1 - 7:03MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)10
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 7:07MIAHEAT Rebound10
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 7:08MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot10
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 7:26SACMartin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)10
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 7:30SACKings Rebound8
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 7:31SACMISS Evans Driving Layup8
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 7:50MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)8
27.9%
10
72.1%
Q1 - 7:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot8
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 7:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot8
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 8:11SACMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)8
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 8:31MIABeasley 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 8:37SACBeasley STEAL (1 STL)8
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 8:52MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)8
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS O'Neal Dunk8
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 9:07SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 9:07SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 9:12SACBrockman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup6
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound6
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 9:31SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 9:49SACBrockman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot6
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 10:09SACGreene Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)6
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:26SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 13
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 10:46SACGreene 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brockman 1 AST)3
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:06MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 11:23SACBrockman Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Greene: Tip to Beasley0
29.1%
0
70.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.93 46.7%
MIA
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
17
28
61%
MIA
17
23
74%
Midrange
SAC
13
34
38%
MIA
21
40
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
MIA
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
Free Throws
SAC
18
32
56%
MIA
21
32
66%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Evans1563%7.5 / 12
S. Hawes1454%7.0 / 13
O. Casspi1359%6.5 / 11
D. Greene836%4.0 / 11
J. Brockman650%3.0 / 6
J. Thompson643%3.0 / 7
K. Martin528%2.5 / 9
S. Rodriguez583%2.5 / 3
A. Nocioni563%2.5 / 4
B. Udrih338%1.5 / 4
I. Udoka233%1.0 / 3
H. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2779%13.5 / 17
M. Beasley2166%10.5 / 16
U. Haslem1454%7.0 / 13
J. O'Neal1250%6.0 / 12
D. Wright1063%5.0 / 8
Q. Richardson975%4.5 / 6
M. Chalmers788%3.5 / 4
R. Alston660%3.0 / 5
C. Arroyo6100%3.0 / 3
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
76
+14
-13
90
MIA
77
+14
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
0.93 46.7%
MIA
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
106.7
SAC 94.4 +37.8
MIA 132.2
Pace
93.6
89.6
SAC 91.7 +7.1
MIA 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.5
SAC 15.7 +1.3
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
49.6%
SAC 45.2%
MIA 60.3% +15.1%
TO %
15.0%
13.6%
SAC 13.9%
MIA 9.8% +4.1%
ORB %
27.9%
26.0%
SAC 23.1%
MIA 31.4% +8.3%
FTrt
28.6
29.6
SAC 43.8 +2.8
MIA 41.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.4%
51.9%
SAC 46.9%
MIA 47.7% +0.8%
STL %
7.2%
8.1%
SAC 6.7% +1.0%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
6.7%
9.4%
SAC 7.9%
MIA 12.9% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.5%
52.1%
SAC 46.7%
MIA 63.2% +16.5%
Rim FG%
58.3%
62.0%
SAC 60.7%
MIA 73.9% +13.2%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.8%
SAC 38.2%
MIA 52.5% +14.3%
3P %
34.9%
34.6%
SAC 18.2%
MIA 40.0% +21.8%
FT %
72.7%
75.2%
SAC 56.3%
MIA 65.6% +9.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.7%
29.8%
SAC 38.4% +8.9%
MIA 29.5%
Mid Att. %
42.2%
48.3%
SAC 46.6% +4.7%
MIA 51.3%
3P Att. %
20.1%
21.9%
SAC 15.1%
MIA 19.2% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points84115
Rebounds3341
Assists1521
Steals65
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals32-7344-78
At-the-Rim FG17-2817-23
Midrange FG13-3421-40
2-Point FG30-6238-63
3-Point FG2-116-15
Free Throws18-3221-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 20
31.4
15
63%
0
3
1
0
3
1
0
0
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 226 · 22
29.9
8
36%
1
1
0
2
2
1
0
1
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 199 · 27
24.2
5
28%
1
3
1
0
5
3
0
1
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
C · 6'7" 255 · 23
23.6
6
50%
5
1
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 24
22.9
6
43%
7
0
0
2
0
4
3
4
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
27.4
13
59%
1
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
6-7
86%
0-3
0%
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22
26.5
14
54%
7
1
0
0
0
3
4
3
0-2
0%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
16.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
13.0
3
38%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25
8.7
2
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 176 · 24
8.7
5
83%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 225 · 30
7.8
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
47%
33
15
6
5
13
0
9
24
18-32
56%
30-62
48%
2-11
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.