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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 23, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings33%9684
15Heat67%101115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.3
31.4
35.2
15
59%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-6
83%
5-9
7-14
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
29.9
17.8
8
36%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
3-5
60%
1-6
2-4
17%
47%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
24.2
36.4
5
27%
1
3
1
1
0
5
0
1
3-5
60%
1-6
4-10
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.8
23.6
20.2
6
52%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
22.9
27.1
6
41%
7
0
0
0
2
0
3
4
2-3
67%
2-6
5-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
27.4
23.1
13
57%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
6-7
3-6
86%
50%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
26.5
19.0
14
54%
7
1
0
0
0
0
4
3
0-2
0%
7-12
3-6
58%
49%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
16.0
10.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
13.0
25.7
3
34%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
8.7
9.9
2
50%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
8.7
6.6
5
75%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-3
33%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.1
7.8
10.6
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
34.9
33.0
21
61%
13
4
2
1
0
2
4
9
5-5
100%
8-15
7-13
53%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
29.8
33.4
27
75%
4
8
1
2
3
0
1
3
5-7
71%
11-12
8-16
92%
52%
0-3
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
25.0
20.4
9
78%
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
24.8
23.8
12
49%
7
1
0
0
2
1
3
4
2-5
40%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
24.0
28.5
6
61%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
22.9
21.2
14
55%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.1
22.8
26.2
10
59%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-3
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
18.4
17.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
18.2
16.1
7
90%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
7.2
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
6.0
7.1
6
100%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
6.0
3.7
3
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.