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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 23, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls31%92104
10Rockets69%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
42.5
21.9
16
75%
14
2
0
1
1
2
4
10
4-6
67%
6-8
3-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
37.7
32.3
12
43%
4
7
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-8
3-6
13%
44%
3-5
60%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
36.0
37.8
12
53%
6
1
0
1
1
3
2
4
2-3
67%
5-9
7-14
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
35.3
39.3
20
57%
3
4
0
1
1
4
0
3
6-8
75%
7-13
10-20
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
25.5
14.8
25
77%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
5-5
100%
7-12
2-3
58%
46%
2-2
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
32.1
23.6
12
75%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
23.6
24.6
7
60%
4
1
0
1
6
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
7.3
6.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
0.0
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
29.5
1
4-8
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.1
2.2
0
0-0
34%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
2.1
0
0-1
48%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.7
39.5
28.2
20
52%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
6-7
86%
7-16
6-11
44%
53%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
39.2
33.2
8
27%
5
2
3
2
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
49%
1-7
14%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.0
30.6
38.5
20
51%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
3-8
38%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
23.7
30.8
2
25%
8
2
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.6
9.8
19.3
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.3
38.1
26.2
22
66%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
6-6
100%
8-14
6-10
57%
57%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
27.9
17.6
15
77%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
3-4
75%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.8
25.4
28.0
5
36%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
48%
1-2
50%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
5.6
13.2
3
61%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.1
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.4
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.