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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 23, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hornets23%97110
3Nuggets77%107116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
44.5
38.1
26
64%
3
10
2
2
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
9-14
6-12
64%
50%
1-4
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
44.1
28.0
16
54%
10
1
1
1
1
0
4
6
2-4
50%
7-13
4-8
54%
52%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.9
39.4
19.8
20
68%
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
6
4-4
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.6
33.4
28.2
16
53%
4
0
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
4-10
40%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
30.4
20.7
7
36%
5
3
2
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
42%
1-4
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.0
25.0
23.5
7
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
22.6
20.9
13
49%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
0-3
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
10.8
13.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
9.2
14.9
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
5.6
2.7
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.3
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
3.0
0
0-0
43%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.4
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
47.7
36.7
30
44%
11
4
2
1
0
4
6
5
11-13
85%
8-24
9-17
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.1
47.3
37.1
20
59%
14
2
0
1
0
2
3
11
0-2
0%
10-15
5-11
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.3
42.8
30.5
20
62%
5
9
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
3-7
43%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
35.4
26.5
19
79%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
5-9
56%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
35.0
31.5
10
77%
12
2
1
1
1
2
2
10
6-8
75%
2-3
5-8
67%
60%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.5
23.7
21.9
6
51%
13
1
1
1
0
1
6
7
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
58%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.2
21.3
19.5
8
41%
2
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
2-6
2-4
33%
52%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
11.9
25.9
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
4-7
-
51%
1-5
20%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.6
6.8
0
0-1
48%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.6
4.0
0
1-1
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.6
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.5
2.2
0
0-0
55%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.