FinalWin Prob.pScore
1223%97
110
377%107
116
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
112.29887.8
DEN logo DEN
118.49889.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHDEN
OT1 - 0:00.0DEN110
0%
116
100%
OT1 - 0:07.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
0.1%
116
99.9%
OT1 - 0:08.0DENMISS Martin 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.1%
116
99.9%
OT1 - 0:30.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)108
0.1%
116
99.9%
OT1 - 0:32.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)108
0.1%
116
99.9%
OT1 - 0:32.0NOHMISS Brown Tip Shot108
0.1%
116
99.9%
OT1 - 0:33.0NOHMISS Brown Driving Layup108
0.1%
116
99.9%
OT1 - 0:39.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)108
0.3%
116
99.7%
OT1 - 0:39.0DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)108
0.3%
115
99.7%
OT1 - 0:39.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)108
0.5%
114
99.5%
OT1 - 0:40.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
0.7%
114
99.3%
OT1 - 0:51.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)108
1.6%
114
98.4%
OT1 - 0:51.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2108
1.8%
113
98.2%
OT1 - 0:52.0NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)108
1.6%
113
98.4%
OT1 - 0:52.0NOHSongaila Layup (20 PTS)108
1.6%
113
98.4%
OT1 - 0:52.0NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.5%
113
99.5%
OT1 - 1:04DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)106
1.2%
113
98.8%
OT1 - 1:04DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)106
1.3%
112
98.7%
OT1 - 1:21NOHAnthony STEAL (2 STL)106
2.8%
111
97.2%
OT1 - 1:33DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)106
6.0%
111
94.0%
OT1 - 1:52NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)106
15.2%
108
84.8%
OT1 - 2:01DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (28 PTS)103
7.0%
108
93.0%
OT1 - 2:26NOHPaul 13' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)103
9.4%
106
90.6%
OT1 - 2:50DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)101
7.2%
106
92.8%
OT1 - 3:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)101
15.7%
103
84.3%
OT1 - 3:09NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
18.3%
103
81.7%
OT1 - 3:35NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
25.2%
103
74.8%
OT1 - 3:36DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot101
22.9%
103
77.1%
OT1 - 3:49DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
18.1%
103
81.9%
OT1 - 3:50NOHMISS Okafor 10' Jump Hook Shot101
20.0%
103
80.0%
OT1 - 4:12DENMartin 17' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)101
24.9%
103
75.1%
OT1 - 4:28DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)101
32.2%
101
67.8%
OT1 - 4:29NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot101
35.0%
101
65.0%
OT1 - 4:43NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
42.0%
101
58.0%
OT1 - 4:44DENMISS Billups 16' Turnaround Jump Shot101
38.9%
101
61.1%
OT1 - 5:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Okafor: Tip to Billups101
32.2%
101
67.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Anthony 6' Driving Jump Shot101
56.2%
101
43.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOHPaul Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)101
30.2%
101
69.8%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)99
16.8%
101
83.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)99
49.4%
98
50.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)97
32.9%
98
67.1%
Q4 - 1:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)97
21.2%
98
78.8%
Q4 - 1:12NOHMISS Okafor 8' Running Hook Shot97
24.8%
98
75.2%
Q4 - 1:35DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T13)97
34.8%
98
65.2%
Q4 - 1:53NOHSongaila 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)97
22.6%
98
77.4%
Q4 - 2:14DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
17.3%
98
82.7%
Q4 - 2:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
31.9%
95
68.1%
Q4 - 2:26NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
48.8%
95
51.2%
Q4 - 2:26NOHMISS Thornton Tip Shot95
36.8%
95
63.2%
Q4 - 2:27NOHMISS Paul 14' Fadeaway Jumper95
36.8%
95
63.2%
Q4 - 2:51DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
45.4%
95
54.6%
Q4 - 2:51DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)95
48.2%
94
51.8%
Q4 - 3:06NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)95
54.0%
93
46.0%
Q4 - 3:06NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
51.7%
93
48.3%
Q4 - 3:26NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
46.8%
93
53.2%
Q4 - 3:27DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot93
42.1%
93
57.9%
Q4 - 3:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)93
32.2%
93
67.8%
Q4 - 3:37NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
35.0%
93
65.0%
Q4 - 3:54NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
41.8%
93
58.2%
Q4 - 3:55DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot93
38.8%
93
61.2%
Q4 - 4:16NOHOkafor Layup (16 PTS)93
32.2%
93
67.8%
Q4 - 4:17NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)91
24.9%
93
75.1%
Q4 - 4:18NOHMISS Songaila Layup91
19.8%
93
80.2%
Q4 - 4:37DENAnthony Driving Layup (26 PTS)91
24.8%
93
75.2%
Q4 - 4:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
32.2%
91
67.8%
Q4 - 4:54NOHMISS Paul 20' Step Back Jump Shot91
35.1%
91
64.9%
Q4 - 5:12NOHHornets Rebound91
40.2%
91
59.8%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup91
37.6%
91
62.4%
Q4 - 5:30NOHPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)91
32.1%
91
67.9%
Q4 - 5:30NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)90
31.1%
91
68.9%
Q4 - 5:30NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)89
30.1%
91
69.9%
Q4 - 5:53DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)88
19.5%
91
80.5%
Q4 - 6:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)88
14.5%
91
85.5%
Q4 - 6:01NOHMISS Songaila 11' Jump Shot88
16.6%
91
83.4%
Q4 - 6:13NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
20.0%
91
80.0%
Q4 - 6:14DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
18.4%
91
81.6%
Q4 - 6:38NOHPaul 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)88
15.3%
91
84.7%
Q4 - 7:03DENAnthony 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)86
12.6%
91
87.4%
Q4 - 7:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
19.6%
88
80.4%
Q4 - 7:22DENMISS Anthony 8' Running Hook Shot86
23.2%
88
76.8%
Q4 - 7:40NOHSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
19.6%
88
80.4%
Q4 - 7:40NOHSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
19.1%
88
80.9%
Q4 - 7:57NOHHornets Rebound84
15.9%
88
84.1%
Q4 - 7:58NOHMISS Thornton 7' Running Jump Shot84
13.3%
88
86.7%
Q4 - 8:09NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
16.3%
88
83.7%
Q4 - 8:10DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
15.3%
88
84.7%
Q4 - 8:29NOHPaul Layup (10 PTS)84
13.1%
88
86.9%
Q4 - 8:34DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)82
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 8:52NOHThornton Layup (11 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)82
8.2%
88
91.8%
Q4 - 8:58NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q4 - 8:59DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot80
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q4 - 9:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q4 - 9:12NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 9:34DENLawson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T10)80
7.2%
88
92.8%
Q4 - 9:39NOHAnthony STEAL (1 STL)80
5.8%
88
94.2%
Q4 - 10:04DENAndersen Dunk (6 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)80
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 10:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q4 - 10:20NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
10.1%
86
89.9%
Q4 - 10:37DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)80
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 10:47DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)80
17.1%
83
82.9%
Q4 - 10:48NOHMISS Collison 9' Running Jump Shot80
18.1%
83
81.9%
Q4 - 11:02DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q4 - 11:02DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
21.2%
82
78.8%
Q4 - 11:02DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
24.4%
81
75.6%
Q4 - 11:03DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
27.2%
81
72.8%
Q4 - 11:09DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
24.4%
81
75.6%
Q4 - 11:11NOHMISS Thornton Driving Layup80
25.6%
81
74.4%
Q4 - 11:16DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)80
28.4%
81
71.6%
Q4 - 11:26NOHThornton Layup (9 PTS) (Songaila 3 AST)80
24.4%
81
75.6%
Q4 - 11:40DENMartin 6' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)78
20.6%
81
79.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0NOHCollison 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)78
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
19.7%
79
80.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)76
17.8%
79
82.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
19.7%
79
80.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)76
17.8%
79
82.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0NOHMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
18.6%
79
81.4%
Q3 - 1:06NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)76
20.5%
79
79.5%
Q3 - 1:07DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
19.6%
79
80.4%
Q3 - 1:32NOHOkafor 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)76
17.7%
79
82.3%
Q3 - 1:58DENAndersen Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)74
14.8%
79
85.2%
Q3 - 2:17NOHSongaila 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)74
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 2:28NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 2:28DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot72
14.2%
77
85.8%
Q3 - 2:38DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q3 - 2:39NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 2:59DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 2:59DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q3 - 3:06NOHPaul Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)72
17.1%
75
82.9%
Q3 - 3:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
20.0%
75
80.0%
Q3 - 3:13DENMartin Putback Dunk (16 PTS)72
20.0%
75
80.0%
Q3 - 3:14DENMISS Billups Driving Layup72
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 3:25DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
22.9%
73
77.1%
Q3 - 3:26DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot72
25.3%
73
74.7%
Q3 - 3:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
22.9%
73
77.1%
Q3 - 3:34NOHMISS Okafor Layup72
23.9%
73
76.1%
Q3 - 3:49DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)72
26.5%
73
73.5%
Q3 - 3:59DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q3 - 4:00NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
31.1%
71
68.9%
Q3 - 4:11DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 4:11DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
34.4%
70
65.6%
Q3 - 4:17DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
37.1%
69
62.9%
Q3 - 4:18NOHMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot72
38.6%
69
61.4%
Q3 - 4:39NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
42.0%
69
58.0%
Q3 - 4:40DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot72
40.5%
69
59.5%
Q3 - 4:59NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)72
37.1%
69
62.9%
Q3 - 5:19DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)69
29.1%
69
70.9%
Q3 - 5:41DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)69
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q3 - 5:43NOHMISS Brown 17' Running Bank Shot69
37.4%
66
62.6%
Q3 - 6:09DENMartin Dunk (14 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)69
39.2%
66
60.8%
Q3 - 6:24NOHSongaila Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)69
42.7%
64
57.3%
Q3 - 6:35DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
47.2%
64
52.8%
Q3 - 6:35DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
47.8%
63
52.2%
Q3 - 6:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)69
50.8%
62
49.2%
Q3 - 6:38DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 269
54.7%
62
45.3%
Q3 - 6:38DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 269
52.6%
62
47.4%
Q3 - 7:06NOHOkafor Dunk (12 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)69
48.9%
62
51.1%
Q3 - 7:12NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
45.4%
62
54.6%
Q3 - 7:13DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot67
44.1%
62
55.9%
Q3 - 7:31DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
41.3%
62
58.7%
Q3 - 7:33NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 267
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 7:33NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
43.8%
62
56.2%
Q3 - 7:44DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
41.7%
62
58.3%
Q3 - 7:44DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
42.6%
61
57.4%
Q3 - 8:07NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)66
44.1%
60
55.9%
Q3 - 8:13DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)63
37.1%
60
62.9%
Q3 - 8:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
33.4%
60
66.6%
Q3 - 8:36NOHMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot63
34.6%
60
65.4%
Q3 - 8:48DENBillups Driving Layup (14 PTS)63
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 9:03NOHOkafor Layup (9 PTS)63
39.8%
58
60.2%
Q3 - 9:04NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 9:05NOHMISS Songaila 11' Jump Shot61
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q3 - 9:18DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)61
36.4%
58
63.6%
Q3 - 9:32NOHSongaila 7' Jump Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS)61
43.4%
55
56.6%
Q3 - 9:48NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
39.9%
55
60.1%
Q3 - 9:49DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q3 - 9:49DENMISS Martin Tip Shot59
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 9:50DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q3 - 9:50DENMISS Martin Layup59
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 9:51DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 9:59NOHNene STEAL (1 STL)59
36.4%
55
63.6%
Q3 - 10:23DENAnthony Putback Layup (13 PTS)59
38.9%
55
61.1%
Q3 - 10:24DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
42.2%
53
57.8%
Q3 - 10:25DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup59
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 10:45NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)59
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q3 - 10:57DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
35.5%
53
64.5%
Q3 - 11:15NOHSongaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
31.5%
53
68.5%
Q3 - 11:15NOHSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
31.1%
53
68.9%
Q3 - 11:17DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)54
28.7%
53
71.3%
Q3 - 11:31DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
25.8%
53
74.2%
Q3 - 11:32NOHMISS Paul 23' Fadeaway Jumper54
26.7%
53
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH54
28.7%
53
71.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
28.0%
53
72.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot54
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)54
26.0%
53
74.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENNUGGETS Rebound53
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)53
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot53
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot53
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENMISS Anthony Layup53
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0NOHPaul Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)53
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0NOHMISS Brown 29' 3PT Jump Shot53
24.1%
53
75.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENAnthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q2 - 1:17NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q2 - 1:17NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
27.8%
51
72.2%
Q2 - 1:21DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)51
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 1:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
23.3%
51
76.7%
Q2 - 1:33NOHMISS Okafor 13' Jump Shot51
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q2 - 1:50NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
25.1%
51
74.9%
Q2 - 1:50DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot51
24.6%
51
75.4%
Q2 - 2:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
22.6%
51
77.4%
Q2 - 2:08NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot51
23.3%
51
76.7%
Q2 - 2:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q2 - 2:34DENAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)51
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q2 - 2:36DENMISS Andersen Putback Layup51
29.3%
49
70.7%
Q2 - 2:38DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 2:38DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot51
29.3%
49
70.7%
Q2 - 2:55DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q2 - 2:57NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 251
27.8%
49
72.2%
Q2 - 2:57NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q2 - 3:02NOHHornets Rebound50
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 3:03NOHMISS Paul 8' Running Jump Shot50
25.2%
49
74.8%
Q2 - 3:10NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 3:11DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot50
26.4%
49
73.6%
Q2 - 3:22DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
24.4%
49
75.6%
Q2 - 3:23NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
25.3%
49
74.7%
Q2 - 3:38DENAnthony Driving Layup (9 PTS)50
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 4:02DENNUGGETS Rebound50
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q2 - 4:02NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.6%
47
70.4%
Q2 - 4:21NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q2 - 4:22DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot50
30.8%
47
69.2%
Q2 - 4:38DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q2 - 4:39NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 4:44NOHHornets Rebound50
31.7%
47
68.3%
Q2 - 4:45NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 5:09DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q2 - 5:09DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
31.3%
46
68.7%
Q2 - 5:09DENBillups Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)50
33.8%
45
66.2%
Q2 - 5:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 5:16NOHMISS Okafor 7' Jump Hook Shot50
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q2 - 5:39DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q2 - 5:39DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
39.5%
43
60.5%
Q2 - 5:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
42.3%
42
57.7%
Q2 - 5:51DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 250
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q2 - 5:51DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 250
42.9%
42
57.1%
Q2 - 5:51DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
42.3%
42
57.7%
Q2 - 5:52DENMISS Lawson 10' Running Jump Shot50
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q2 - 6:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
41.2%
42
58.8%
Q2 - 6:05NOHMISS Thornton 22' Jump Shot50
42.2%
42
57.8%
Q2 - 6:24NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
44.6%
42
55.4%
Q2 - 6:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 250
44.1%
42
55.9%
Q2 - 6:26DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 250
42.5%
42
57.5%
Q2 - 6:39NOHPosey Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)50
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q2 - 6:43NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
39.0%
42
61.0%
Q2 - 6:44DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 6:59DENNUGGETS Rebound48
35.8%
42
64.2%
Q2 - 7:00NOHMISS Wright 9' Jump Shot48
36.8%
42
63.2%
Q2 - 7:14DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q2 - 7:14DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 248
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 7:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
37.7%
41
62.3%
Q2 - 7:33NOHMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 248
38.1%
41
61.9%
Q2 - 7:33NOHMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
39.6%
41
60.4%
Q2 - 7:42DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)47
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 7:48DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
40.4%
39
59.6%
Q2 - 7:49NOHMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
41.3%
39
58.7%
Q2 - 8:01DENAfflalo Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)47
41.9%
39
58.1%
Q2 - 8:15NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 8:26NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 8:27DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 8:44NOHThornton Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)44
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 9:00DENLawson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)42
34.3%
37
65.7%
Q2 - 9:12NOHCollison Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
35.8%
35
64.2%
Q2 - 9:17NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
33.6%
35
66.4%
Q2 - 9:18DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 9:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
31.1%
35
68.9%
Q2 - 9:31NOHMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot40
31.9%
35
68.1%
Q2 - 9:37NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
33.6%
35
66.4%
Q2 - 9:38DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 9:52NOHPosey 14' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)40
31.1%
35
68.9%
Q2 - 10:14NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
28.9%
35
71.1%
Q2 - 10:16DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 238
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 10:16DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 238
27.1%
35
72.9%
Q2 - 10:25DENAnthony Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)38
26.6%
35
73.4%
Q2 - 10:33DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
28.7%
34
71.3%
Q2 - 10:34NOHMISS Wright 13' Jump Shot38
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q2 - 10:55DENMartin Driving Dunk (12 PTS)38
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 11:16NOHThornton Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)38
32.9%
32
67.1%
Q2 - 11:20DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 11:36NOHPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)36
28.6%
32
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN33
24.7%
32
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound33
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 68' 3PT Running Jump Shot33
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAnthony Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
19.0%
32
81.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHStojakovic 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
21.0%
30
79.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)28
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q1 - 1:10DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q1 - 1:10DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
15.1%
29
84.9%
Q1 - 1:27NOHOkafor Dunk (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)25
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q1 - 1:48DENBillups Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)23
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 1:53NOHAndersen STEAL (1 STL)23
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q1 - 2:11DENAfflalo Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)23
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q1 - 2:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q1 - 2:15NOHMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q1 - 2:28DENAnthony Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)23
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q1 - 2:37NOHOkafor 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 3:04DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)21
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 3:19NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
23.7%
19
76.3%
Q1 - 3:28DENAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)19
22.1%
19
77.9%
Q1 - 3:30DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 3:32DENMISS Anthony Reverse Layup19
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 3:35DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Anthony 7' Jump Shot19
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 3:56NOHOkafor Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)19
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 4:11NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
18.8%
19
81.2%
Q1 - 4:12DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot17
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 4:22DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 4:23NOHMISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot17
17.8%
19
82.2%
Q1 - 4:52DENMartin Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)17
18.8%
19
81.2%
Q1 - 4:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 5:01NOHNene BLOCK (1 BLK)17
20.6%
17
79.4%
Q1 - 5:22DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)17
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 5:26DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 5:26NOHMISS Brown 7' Running Bank Shot17
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 5:49NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
24.8%
15
75.2%
Q1 - 5:50DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot17
24.3%
15
75.7%
Q1 - 6:06NOHSongaila 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)17
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 6:18DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:34NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 6:34NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 6:36NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 6:37DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Hook Shot13
20.9%
13
79.1%
Q1 - 6:48NOHBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)13
19.9%
13
80.1%
Q1 - 6:59NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 7:00DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 7:18NOHStojakovic 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)10
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 7:33DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
14.9%
13
85.1%
Q1 - 7:41DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 7:42NOHMISS Songaila 9' Jump Bank Hook Shot8
17.5%
10
82.5%
Q1 - 8:04NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 8:06DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
16.9%
10
83.1%
Q1 - 8:06DENMISS Anthony Tip Shot8
17.7%
10
82.3%
Q1 - 8:07DENMISS Afflalo Layup8
17.7%
10
82.3%
Q1 - 8:11NOHAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)8
16.9%
10
83.1%
Q1 - 8:29DENMartin 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)8
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 8:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 8:40NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 8:45NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 8:46NOHMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
19.8%
8
80.2%
Q1 - 8:58DENNene 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)8
20.7%
8
79.3%
Q1 - 9:11NOHSongaila 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)8
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:21NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.6%
6
79.4%
Q1 - 9:21DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Hook Shot6
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 9:38NOHSongaila Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)6
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 9:52DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 10:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 10:01NOHMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 10:14DENMartin 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 10:28NOHPaul 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 11:06DENMartin Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 11:24NOHSongaila 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)2
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 11:41DENNene Layup (2 PTS)0
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Okafor: Tip to Billups0
18.9%
0
81.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.08 53.9%
DEN
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
16
23
70%
DEN
20
31
65%
Midrange
NOH
19
43
44%
DEN
10
32
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
DEN
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
NOH
19
22
86%
DEN
26
36
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2668%13.0 / 19
D. Songaila2067%10.0 / 15
E. Okafor1653%8.0 / 15
P. Stojakovic1653%8.0 / 15
M. Thornton1350%6.5 / 13
D. Brown735%3.5 / 10
J. Posey750%3.5 / 7
D. Collison450%2.0 / 4
S. Marks150%0.5 / 1
J. Wright0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3044%15.0 / 34
K. Martin2059%10.0 / 17
C. Billups2067%10.0 / 15
A. Afflalo1979%9.5 / 12
Nene1071%5.0 / 7
T. Lawson840%4.0 / 10
C. Andersen650%3.0 / 6
J. Smith330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
90
+10
-8
100
DEN
84
+23
-14
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.08 53.9%
DEN
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
111.9
NOH 112.2
DEN 118.4 +6.1
Pace
92.7
94.7
NOH 87.8
DEN 89.8 +2.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.7
NOH 16.4
DEN 16.0 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.9%
NOH 49.5%
DEN 50.0% +0.5%
TO %
13.7%
14.2%
NOH 7.3% +4.4%
DEN 11.7%
ORB %
24.8%
26.1%
NOH 14.6%
DEN 40.0% +25.4%
FTrt
24.3
37.6
NOH 23.9
DEN 40.0 +16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
55.0%
NOH 52.4%
DEN 65.0% +12.6%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
NOH 9.2% +4.1%
DEN 5.1%
BLK %
5.8%
7.9%
NOH 3.2% +1.7%
DEN 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.9%
NOH 53.9% +1.6%
DEN 52.3%
Rim FG%
58.6%
61.0%
NOH 69.6% +5.1%
DEN 64.5%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.6%
NOH 44.2% +12.9%
DEN 31.3%
3P %
36.3%
35.9%
NOH 26.9%
DEN 37.0% +10.1%
FT %
77.8%
77.2%
NOH 86.4% +14.2%
DEN 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
37.5%
NOH 25.0%
DEN 34.4% +9.4%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
39.8%
NOH 46.7%
DEN 35.6% +11.2%
3P Att. %
23.0%
22.7%
NOH 28.3%
DEN 30.0% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOHDEN
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes26.826.2
Points110116
Rebounds3761
Assists2226
Steals95
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)20 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)41 (2)
Field Goals42-9240-90
At-the-Rim FG16-2320-31
Midrange FG19-4310-32
2-Point FG35-6630-63
3-Point FG7-2610-27
Free Throws19-2226-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 25
44.5
26
68%
3
10
2
0
3
3
0
3
5-5
100%
9-14
64%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 255 · 27
44.1
16
53%
10
1
1
1
0
2
4
6
2-4
50%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 32
39.4
20
67%
7
3
1
1
1
2
1
6
4-4
100%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 33
33.4
16
53%
4
0
2
0
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
4-10
40%
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
30.4
7
35%
5
3
2
0
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 217 · 33
25.0
7
50%
3
2
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23
22.6
13
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
10.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
9.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34
5.6
1
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'2" 175 · 25
G · 6'7" 220 · 32
#30 · F · 6'9" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
110
54%
37
22
9
2
8
0
7
30
19-22
86%
35-66
53%
7-26
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.