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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 23, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors28%107103
8Suns72%115112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
40.4
42.7
25
49%
5
2
0
2
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
6-16
5-11
38%
48%
4-9
44%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
39.0
36.0
27
52%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
7-7
100%
10-22
7-13
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.6
37.8
26.3
19
63%
11
1
0
1
1
3
2
9
0-0
-
8-10
2-4
80%
48%
1-5
20%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
37.2
28.1
13
57%
5
2
1
1
0
3
3
2
3-3
100%
2-5
2-6
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
24.6
28.4
2
20%
8
2
1
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
59%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
24.6
5.7
11
62%
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
5-7
0-1
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.0
20.2
11.9
3
39%
5
2
0
0
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
8.2
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
8.1
13.5
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
36.4
2
8-17
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
6.2
0
1-1
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
6.0
0
1-1
46%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.7
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.5
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
34.5
34.0
15
48%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
5-13
9-15
38%
57%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.0
31.6
31.2
23
55%
4
6
2
1
0
6
2
2
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
56%
3-10
30%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.8
30.4
24.4
16
84%
9
0
0
0
0
0
6
3
8-8
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
57%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.3
28.9
26.7
15
56%
8
2
0
1
1
2
1
7
2-3
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
26.8
27.3
8
36%
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
26.3
15.8
20
80%
3
2
4
1
1
3
0
3
7-8
88%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
17.3
21.1
8
80%
4
1
0
1
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
17.1
19.6
1
13%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
15.8
14.2
2
53%
9
3
0
0
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
11.2
4.6
4
34%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.2
20.1
1
3-6
52%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.1
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.