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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 25, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls23%8998
5Spurs77%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
38.3
33.8
18
58%
6
5
2
1
0
5
0
6
1-1
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
43%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
34.5
37.2
27
59%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
12-22
9-18
55%
48%
1-1
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
34.0
36.7
10
51%
9
4
0
1
1
4
0
9
2-2
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
47%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
26.1
28.5
8
50%
7
1
0
1
3
1
5
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
24.5
21.0
11
76%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
3-5
60%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
33.5
26.4
10
73%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
21.6
18.2
10
63%
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
21.6
24.0
2
25%
7
0
1
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
5.9
6.9
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
22.4
1
2-4
40%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
5.3
0
1-2
39%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.1
2.0
0
0-0
36%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
37.5
34.9
20
63%
6
8
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-4
50%
9-13
7-14
69%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
33.9
33.4
15
48%
5
2
0
1
3
1
3
2
3-4
75%
6-14
8-15
43%
53%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
31.4
31.9
12
61%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.8
30.5
24.4
8
29%
11
0
2
1
0
2
8
3
0-2
0%
4-13
4-8
31%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
26.1
26.7
2
11%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
29.3
31.5
14
42%
6
2
3
2
0
3
3
3
5-6
83%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
25.8
16.7
14
54%
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
7-13
2-4
54%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
25.6
11.3
8
50%
6
3
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
2-3
67%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
17.6
1
1-2
48%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
8.9
0
1-1
53%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
3.9
0
1-1
53%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.8
2.1
0
0-0
52%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.