FinalWin Prob.pScore
1630%92
93
470%99
104
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
104.58987.0
DEN logo DEN
118.28890.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA93
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Petro Tip Shot91
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot91
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHAMISS Diop 18' Jump Shot91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMISS Lawson 20' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27CHABrown 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)91
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:47CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:48DENMISS Graham 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:08CHALaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08CHALaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33CHAGraham 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50CHAGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07CHAMISS Graham 19' Jump Shot85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 3:40DENMISS Nene Driving Dunk85
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 3:58CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)85
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 4:09CHADiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10DENMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31CHAMISS Felton Driving Layup82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39CHAGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:40DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 4:49DENNUGGETS Rebound82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50DENMISS Billups Driving Layup82
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:03CHADiaw Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)82
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 5:17DENBillups 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)80
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:38CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 280
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 5:38CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 280
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:00DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)80
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26CHAAugustin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)80
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 6:46DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 6:46DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 7:07CHAWallace Layup (17 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)80
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 7:10DENAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)78
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 7:31CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)78
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 7:31CHAMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 277
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 7:44CHAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Nene Layup77
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 8:08CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 8:08CHAAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 8:28DENSmith Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Afflalo 7 AST)75
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 8:31CHASmith STEAL (2 STL)75
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 8:53DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 8:53DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 8:56CHASmith STEAL (1 STL)75
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 9:14CHADiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 9:15DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 275
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 9:15DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q4 - 9:21DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 9:22DENMISS Smith 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot75
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 9:30DENNUGGETS Rebound75
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 9:31DENMISS Lawson Driving Finger Roll Layup75
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 9:45CHAFelton Foul Turnover (P2.T13)75
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 9:52CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 9:53DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 10:13CHAMurray Driving Layup (13 PTS)75
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 10:26DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)73
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q4 - 10:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 10:30DENMISS Nene Layup73
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 10:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 10:39CHAMISS Wallace Driving Layup73
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 11:02DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)73
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 11:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)73
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 11:06DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 11:07CHAAndersen BLOCK (5 BLK)73
5.0%
84
95.0%
Q4 - 11:12CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 11:13DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 11:20DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 11:21CHAMISS Diaw 5' Running Jump Shot73
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 11:28DENAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)73
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 11:39DENAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 11:40CHAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA73
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound73
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Diaw 72' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)73
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot73
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENNUGGETS Rebound73
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0CHAMISS Murray 9' Running Jump Shot73
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 1:11CHAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q3 - 1:13DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q3 - 1:32CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)73
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 1:32CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q3 - 1:41DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)71
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q3 - 1:56DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 1:57CHAMISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot71
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q3 - 2:07CHAJackson Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)71
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q3 - 2:18DENGraham 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)70
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q3 - 2:35CHADiaw 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T11)70
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q3 - 2:48CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q3 - 2:49DENMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot70
9.1%
79
90.9%
Q3 - 3:02CHAMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 3:02CHAMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 3:17DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)68
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q3 - 3:17DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)68
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q3 - 3:17DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q3 - 3:17CHAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot68
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q3 - 3:27CHAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q3 - 3:28DENMISS Billups Driving Finger Roll Layup68
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q3 - 3:46CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)68
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q3 - 3:57CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 3:58DENMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 165
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 4:06DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 4:07CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q3 - 4:07CHAMISS Mohammed Tip Shot65
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 4:08CHAMISS Wallace Layup65
7.8%
75
92.2%
Q3 - 4:21DENGraham Layup (9 PTS) (Afflalo 6 AST)65
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q3 - 4:26DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q3 - 4:28CHAMISS Jackson Driving Layup65
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 4:41DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q3 - 4:41DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 265
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q3 - 4:47CHAMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 5:08DENGraham 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)65
14.3%
72
85.7%
Q3 - 5:25CHADiaw 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 5:42CHABobcats Rebound63
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 5:43CHAAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)63
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 5:44CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 5:45CHAMISS Mohammed Layup63
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 5:47CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 5:49CHAMISS Felton Driving Layup63
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 6:10DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)63
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 6:20DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q3 - 6:20CHAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot63
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q3 - 6:34DENNene Foul Turnover (P1.T7)63
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q3 - 6:50CHAJackson 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Felton 9 AST)63
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q3 - 7:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)61
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 7:13CHAMohammed 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)61
21.4%
64
78.6%
Q3 - 7:31DENAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)61
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q3 - 8:01CHAMohammed Dunk (8 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)61
21.3%
64
78.7%
Q3 - 8:10CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 8:12DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup59
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 8:17CHANene STEAL (4 STL)59
16.7%
64
83.3%
Q3 - 8:31DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)59
19.1%
64
80.9%
Q3 - 8:51CHAFelton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)59
24.0%
61
76.0%
Q3 - 9:18DENGraham 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)56
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 9:32DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
24.0%
58
76.0%
Q3 - 9:33CHAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot56
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q3 - 9:41CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
26.9%
58
73.1%
Q3 - 9:42DENMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot56
26.0%
58
74.0%
Q3 - 10:10CHAJackson 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mohammed 2 AST)56
23.9%
58
76.1%
Q3 - 10:32CHABobcats Rebound54
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q3 - 10:33DENMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot54
20.7%
58
79.3%
Q3 - 10:49CHAMohammed 7' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)54
19.1%
58
80.9%
Q3 - 11:10DENNene Dunk (12 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)52
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q3 - 11:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q3 - 11:22CHAMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 11:35CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q3 - 11:37DENMISS Nene Finger Roll Layup52
20.7%
56
79.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA52
19.1%
56
80.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound52
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Felton 29' 3PT Jump Shot52
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)52
21.4%
56
78.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
26.9%
53
73.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
26.4%
53
73.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)50
23.8%
53
76.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)50
24.0%
52
76.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0CHAWallace Dunk (15 PTS) (Felton 8 AST)50
26.8%
51
73.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
23.8%
51
76.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Nene Driving Finger Roll Layup48
23.2%
51
76.8%
Q2 - 1:14CHAMurray 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)48
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q2 - 1:29DENBillups Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)46
19.3%
51
80.7%
Q2 - 1:41CHAMurray 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q2 - 1:57CHABobcats Rebound44
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Hook Shot44
18.8%
49
81.2%
Q2 - 2:10DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 2:11DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot44
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 2:27CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 2:27CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 243
17.1%
49
82.9%
Q2 - 2:27CHAJackson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)43
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 2:27CHAMISS Jackson Free Throw Technical42
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 2:41CHABobcats Rebound42
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 2:42DENMISS Smith 10' Running Jump Shot42
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 2:46CHAJackson Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)42
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 3:00DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)40
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q2 - 3:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 3:14DENMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot40
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 3:41CHAJackson Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 4:00DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
14.4%
46
85.6%
Q2 - 4:00DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 4:03DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 4:05CHAMISS Diaw Driving Layup38
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 4:22CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Nene Driving Layup38
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 4:43CHAFelton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q2 - 4:43CHAMISS Felton Free Throw 1 of 237
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 4:59DENNene Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)37
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 5:18CHAWallace Dunk (12 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)37
17.8%
42
82.2%
Q2 - 5:22CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 5:22DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot35
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 5:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 5:39CHAMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 235
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 5:39CHAMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 5:54DENNene Driving Dunk (8 PTS)34
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 6:12CHAMurray Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)34
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q2 - 6:26DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:26DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 6:36DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 6:37CHADiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 6:37CHAMISS Diop Tip Shot32
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 6:40CHAAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)32
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 6:53CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 6:54DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q2 - 7:10DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 7:11CHAMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot32
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 7:29DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
18.0%
38
82.0%
Q2 - 7:29DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 232
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 7:38CHAJackson Layup (5 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)32
17.9%
37
82.1%
Q2 - 7:43DENAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 7:48DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 7:49CHAMISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot30
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 7:56CHAMISS Murray Free Throw Technical30
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 8:13DENAfflalo Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)30
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 8:19CHANene STEAL (3 STL)30
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 8:38DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)30
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 8:43DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 8:44CHAMISS Jackson Layup30
22.1%
33
77.9%
Q2 - 8:54CHAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 8:56DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 9:12CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 9:12CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 9:28CHAMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 9:29DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot28
19.2%
33
80.8%
Q2 - 9:33DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 9:35CHASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)28
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 9:36CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 9:38CHAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)28
18.6%
33
81.4%
Q2 - 9:53DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 10:11CHADiaw Foul Turnover (P2.T6)28
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 10:23DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 10:23DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
20.4%
32
79.6%
Q2 - 10:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Andersen Layup28
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q2 - 10:35CHAMurray 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)28
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 10:51CHADiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 10:51CHAMISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot26
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 11:12DENSmith Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)26
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 11:21DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q2 - 11:22CHAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)26
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q2 - 11:37CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 11:38DENMISS Graham 9' Jump Shot26
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound26
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot26
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0CHAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)26
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHABobcats Rebound23
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot23
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0DENNUGGETS Rebound23
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENMISS Graham Driving Layup23
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0CHAMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHADiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
18.4%
29
81.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHAMISS Diaw Layup23
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q1 - 1:17DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)23
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 1:27CHAFelton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
22.0%
26
78.0%
Q1 - 1:41CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q1 - 1:41DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q1 - 1:52DENBillups Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)21
18.9%
26
81.1%
Q1 - 2:02CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)21
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q1 - 2:02CHABobcats Rebound21
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q1 - 2:03CHAMISS Felton 22' Fadeaway Jumper21
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 2:30DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)21
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q1 - 2:49DENNUGGETS Rebound21
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 2:49CHAMISS Felton 19' Jump Shot21
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 2:58CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 3:00DENMISS Billups Driving Layup21
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q1 - 3:15CHANene STEAL (2 STL)21
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 3:37DENGraham Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)21
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 3:55CHAMohammed Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)21
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 4:26DENMartin Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)19
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 4:31CHABillups STEAL (1 STL)19
26.5%
19
73.5%
Q1 - 4:48DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 5:04CHADiaw 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)19
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 5:22DENMartin Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)17
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 5:22CHANene STEAL (1 STL)17
28.2%
16
71.8%
Q1 - 5:52DENNene Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)17
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 6:06CHAMohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)17
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 6:20DENMartin 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)15
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 6:41CHADiaw Layup (7 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)15
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 7:03DENMartin 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)13
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 7:10DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
31.1%
10
68.9%
Q1 - 7:11CHAMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 7:33DENAfflalo Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)13
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 7:36CHAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)13
34.8%
8
65.2%
Q1 - 7:54DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
36.8%
8
63.2%
Q1 - 8:03CHAWallace 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)13
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 8:22DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)10
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 8:32CHAWallace 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)10
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 8:51DENNene 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)8
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 9:12CHADiaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)8
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 9:28DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 9:39CHADiaw 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:04DENBillups Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)3
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 10:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:21CHAMISS Jackson Driving Layup3
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:38CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 10:39DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot3
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 10:53CHAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)3
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 11:14DENAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 11:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:42CHAMISS Mohammed 4' Jump Shot0
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Mohammed: Tip to Diaw0
26.8%
0
73.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.07 53.4%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
16
34
47%
DEN
17
31
55%
Midrange
CHA
13
25
52%
DEN
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
DEN
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
CHA
20
28
71%
DEN
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2261%11.0 / 18
G. Wallace2077%10.0 / 13
B. Diaw1354%6.5 / 12
R. Murray1359%6.5 / 11
N. Mohammed857%4.0 / 7
R. Felton633%3.0 / 9
A. Law4100%2.0 / 2
D. Augustin325%1.5 / 6
S. Graham250%1.0 / 2
D. Brown2100%1.0 / 1
D. Diop0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2768%13.5 / 20
A. Afflalo24109%12.0 / 11
Nene1747%8.5 / 18
J. Graham1359%6.5 / 11
J. Smith1243%6.0 / 14
K. Martin660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen350%1.5 / 3
T. Lawson220%1.0 / 5
M. Allen0-0.0 / 2
J. Petro0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
74
+11
-15
85
DEN
77
+13
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.07 53.4%
DEN
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
111.9
CHA 104.5
DEN 118.2 +13.7
Pace
89.9
94.7
CHA 87.0
DEN 90.1 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.7
CHA 16.6
DEN 16.0 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
50.9%
CHA 50.7%
DEN 51.9% +1.2%
TO %
16.4%
14.2%
CHA 15.9%
DEN 10.8% +5.1%
ORB %
26.6%
26.1%
CHA 20.6%
DEN 24.3% +3.7%
FTrt
34.6
37.6
CHA 38.9 +6.0
DEN 32.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
55.0%
CHA 76.5%
DEN 80.6% +4.1%
STL %
8.5%
8.7%
CHA 5.6%
DEN 10.2% +4.6%
BLK %
9.2%
7.9%
CHA 8.9%
DEN 10.2% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
54.9%
CHA 53.4%
DEN 57.1% +3.7%
Rim FG%
57.1%
61.0%
CHA 47.1%
DEN 54.8% +7.7%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.6%
CHA 52.0% +16.0%
DEN 36.0%
3P %
34.6%
35.9%
CHA 38.5%
DEN 43.5% +5.0%
FT %
75.1%
77.2%
CHA 71.4%
DEN 84.6% +13.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.9%
37.5%
CHA 47.2% +8.0%
DEN 39.2%
Mid Att. %
36.0%
39.8%
CHA 34.7%
DEN 31.6% +3.1%
3P Att. %
21.1%
22.7%
CHA 18.1%
DEN 29.1% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsCHADEN
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points93104
Rebounds3536
Assists2629
Steals59
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)27 (2)
Field Goals34-7236-79
At-the-Rim FG16-3417-31
Midrange FG13-259-25
2-Point FG29-5926-56
3-Point FG5-1310-23
Free Throws20-2822-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 220 · 28
45.6
20
77%
7
2
0
2
1
1
1
6
4-7
57%
5-8
63%
2-2
100%
G · 6'8" 220 · 32
40.4
22
61%
2
4
1
0
3
3
1
1
7-8
88%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
36.5
13
54%
5
4
0
1
4
4
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 205 · 26
29.4
6
33%
3
9
2
1
2
5
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 250 · 32
18.6
8
57%
4
2
0
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
23.9
13
59%
5
0
0
1
1
3
0
5
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 28
17.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 22
11.3
3
25%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28
4.8
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 22
4.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 233 · 22
4.8
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 25
2.4
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#6 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 7'2" 248 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
35
26
5
5
15
0
7
28
20-28
71%
29-59
49%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.