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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers74%104115
28Wizards26%96103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
39.8
35.9
26
72%
10
4
1
1
1
1
2
8
6-7
86%
10-15
7-12
67%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
37.3
39.1
26
69%
4
8
1
2
0
6
0
4
8-9
89%
6-8
9-17
75%
50%
2-7
29%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.3
29.5
31.8
12
79%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
4-6
67%
4-5
6-11
80%
57%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.2
26.4
27.9
5
42%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.5
23.2
27.2
8
67%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.2
30.7
18.4
11
50%
3
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
26.7
25.4
15
75%
8
3
0
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
6-7
3-5
86%
53%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
21.3
19.3
7
70%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.9
5.2
2.8
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
0.1
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
3.6
0
0-1
50%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.6
45.5
35.8
27
55%
11
0
0
1
0
1
3
8
3-4
75%
9-19
6-12
47%
48%
2-4
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.9
36.0
27.5
15
63%
5
4
1
0
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
6-8
2-3
75%
53%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
36.0
38.9
18
63%
8
3
3
1
0
0
1
7
3-3
100%
6-10
6-13
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.3
31.6
29.6
11
46%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.2
31.5
32.2
11
67%
8
1
0
0
0
1
4
4
3-5
60%
4-6
3-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.7
21.6
12.1
2
17%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
18.5
18.1
10
63%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.8
14.5
14.7
8
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
2-5
40%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
2.4
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 34.6
1.9
12.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.0
0.5
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.9
5.7
0
0-1
56%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.