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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks28%93107
8Mavericks72%100108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
38.4
33.9
22
85%
6
5
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
4-5
80%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
37.4
30.9
12
37%
3
7
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-13
4-10
31%
40%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
37.1
30.4
32
91%
9
0
0
1
1
3
1
8
6-8
75%
13-14
6-12
93%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
30.0
20.6
3
26%
4
0
2
1
2
1
3
1
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
16.5
27.1
3
38%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
1-4
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.9
27.9
20.3
11
46%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
1-1
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.2
22.0
19.2
9
65%
3
1
3
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
18.0
20.2
11
89%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
10.9
11.2
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
1.7
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
12.0
0
2-4
49%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
5.0
0
1-1
46%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.8
36.8
34.9
11
69%
4
12
2
2
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.6
35.4
35.3
28
51%
8
5
0
1
1
2
2
6
6-6
100%
11-25
8-15
44%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.7
35.1
29.8
12
68%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.5
34.6
24.2
2
50%
11
2
0
0
1
2
2
9
0-0
-
1-2
3-4
50%
62%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.4
32.0
33.4
21
66%
1
4
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
51%
4-6
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.7
21.3
23.5
13
71%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
5-5
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
15.9
20.0
7
88%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
13.4
25.3
6
61%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
11.8
11.1
8
67%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
2-2
100%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.7
3.8
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
10.8
0
1-2
47%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
10.4
0
1-2
52%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.