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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 26, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bobcats36%98114
10Suns64%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
47.1
34.0
24
61%
11
5
1
1
1
2
6
5
6-6
100%
9-14
3-6
64%
52%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
44.0
36.8
30
59%
9
5
1
1
0
1
3
6
4-6
67%
7-15
6-12
47%
47%
4-8
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
42.7
42.1
21
57%
9
2
1
2
0
3
2
7
9-12
75%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.6
38.4
26.3
17
96%
4
4
2
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
6-6
3-7
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
20.7
19.3
4
20%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
2-2
100%
1-9
4-7
11%
53%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
30.7
21.2
14
54%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
2-5
40%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.2
15.2
17.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.4
14.6
9.7
4
34%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
6.3
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.0
5.2
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
4.6
0
1-1
46%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.0
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.7
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
48.6
20.5
18
69%
10
2
2
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
4-8
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
44.9
30.6
6
23%
7
5
0
1
1
2
0
7
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
50%
1-6
17%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.0
40.8
33.4
23
48%
1
9
2
1
0
6
1
0
4-4
100%
2-13
5-9
15%
54%
5-9
56%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
31.4
34.7
12
50%
5
1
0
1
1
5
3
2
0-0
-
6-12
8-14
50%
55%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.8
25.6
25.1
12
89%
5
1
0
0
2
2
0
5
4-4
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
55%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
30.9
22.5
20
78%
5
1
0
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
4-7
57%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
20.6
23.4
12
65%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
5-5
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
13.5
11.9
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
4.4
7.2
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.2
4.3
1.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.3
18.5
1
2-5
50%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.8
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.