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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat40%98103
12Raptors60%102111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
43.3
34.1
35
61%
1
10
1
2
1
3
1
0
8-8
100%
12-19
8-15
63%
52%
1-6
17%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
38.5
29.8
10
31%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
42%
2-6
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
35.4
25.7
22
65%
8
1
0
0
3
0
4
4
2-2
100%
10-16
5-9
63%
50%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
24.3
26.3
5
36%
3
1
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
8.5
31.0
6
60%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
6-12
60%
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
39.5
24.3
16
52%
11
0
1
0
0
0
3
8
6-8
75%
5-12
4-8
42%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
23.9
22.3
7
64%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
12.4
17.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
9.5
3.7
2
35%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
4.7
12.7
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
5.7
0
1-1
49%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
5.2
0
1-1
47%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.8
38.7
37.4
24
49%
18
4
1
1
0
2
4
14
2-6
33%
11-22
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.3
36.6
35.1
27
71%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
12-15
5-10
80%
49%
1-4
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.9
31.4
32.5
6
44%
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.6
26.2
5.5
10
48%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-9
1-2
44%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
24.8
28.9
7
117%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
23.2
20.5
6
41%
6
7
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
21.3
19.2
11
80%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.7
20.4
17.1
11
101%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-5
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
17.3
16.3
9
61%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.7
6.8
0
1-2
52%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.2
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
2.0
0
0-1
53%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.7
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.