| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 110.8 | 93 | 86.2 |
 TOR | 119.4 | 93 | 100.9 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
86
+14
-7
100
TOR
79
+13
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.03 51.5%
TOR
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 103 0% | 111 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | TOR | Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 103 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | TOR | MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 | 103 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 103 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 103 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | TOR | Wright 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST) | 103 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 103 2.9% | 107 97.1% |
| Q4 - 0:40.0 | MIA | MISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 103 3.8% | 107 96.2% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 103 8.7% | 107 91.3% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | TOR | MISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 2 | 103 9.1% | 106 90.9% |
| Q4 - 1:07 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (35 PTS) (Alston 2 AST) | 103 9.6% | 106 90.4% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | MIA | Alston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 101 6.0% | 106 94.0% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | TOR | MISS Wright 3' Driving Layup | 101 5.2% | 106 94.8% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 101 4.6% | 106 95.4% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 101 5.5% | 106 94.5% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | TOR | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 101 9.1% | 106 90.9% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | TOR | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 101 9.8% | 105 90.2% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS) | 101 13.3% | 104 86.7% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | TOR | Bosh 5' Jump Hook Shot (24 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST) | 98 6.2% | 104 93.8% |
| Q4 - 2:31 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 98 8.2% | 102 91.8% |
| Q4 - 2:31 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 97 7.5% | 102 92.5% |
| Q4 - 2:32 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 96 6.2% | 102 93.8% |
| Q4 - 2:34 | MIA | Bargnani BLOCK (1 BLK) | 96 3.9% | 102 96.1% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | TOR | Calderon 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS) | 96 7.4% | 102 92.6% |
| Q4 - 3:21 | MIA | Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 9 AST) | 96 9.8% | 100 90.2% |
| Q4 - 3:38 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 93 7.2% | 100 92.8% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 93 6.4% | 100 93.6% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (33 PTS) | 93 4.6% | 100 95.4% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | TOR | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 91 3.2% | 100 96.8% |
| Q4 - 4:25 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 91 4.5% | 98 95.5% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 5.9% | 98 94.1% |
| Q4 - 4:43 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14) | 91 4.4% | 98 95.6% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | MIA | MISS Alston 11' Jump Shot | 91 5.0% | 98 95.0% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | TOR | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 91 8.9% | 98 91.1% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | TOR | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 91 9.4% | 97 90.6% |
| Q4 - 5:09 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 91 11.8% | 96 88.2% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | MIA | MISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot | 91 13.0% | 96 87.0% |
| Q4 - 5:39 | TOR | Bosh 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST) | 91 15.9% | 96 84.1% |
| Q4 - 5:56 | MIA | Haslem 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 91 20.6% | 94 79.4% |
| Q4 - 6:05 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 89 18.0% | 94 82.0% |
| Q4 - 6:06 | TOR | MISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot | 89 16.6% | 94 83.4% |
| Q4 - 6:17 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 89 13.6% | 94 86.4% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | TOR | MISS Calderon 23' Jump Shot | 89 16.5% | 94 83.5% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | MIA | Wright 21' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 89 13.6% | 94 86.4% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | TOR | Belinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14) | 87 10.6% | 94 89.4% |
| Q4 - 7:03 | MIA | O'Neal Layup (19 PTS) | 87 9.2% | 94 90.8% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 85 7.3% | 94 92.7% |
| Q4 - 7:05 | MIA | MISS Alston 2' Driving Layup | 85 6.0% | 94 94.0% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | TOR | Wright Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 85 7.3% | 94 92.7% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7) | 85 5.5% | 94 94.5% |
| Q4 - 7:38 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12) | 85 7.2% | 94 92.8% |
| Q4 - 7:56 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 85 5.4% | 94 94.6% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 5.9% | 94 94.1% |
| Q4 - 8:14 | TOR | Johnson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Belinelli 4 AST) | 85 8.4% | 94 91.6% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13) | 85 10.7% | 92 89.3% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | MIA | MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot | 85 11.4% | 92 88.6% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 85 13.3% | 92 86.7% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 85 10.6% | 92 89.4% |
| Q4 - 8:38 | MIA | MISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot | 85 11.4% | 92 88.6% |
| Q4 - 8:52 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 85 13.2% | 92 86.8% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | TOR | MISS Bosh 5' Driving Hook Shot | 85 12.4% | 92 87.6% |
| Q4 - 9:13 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12) | 85 12.0% | 92 88.0% |
| Q4 - 9:14 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 12.8% | 92 87.2% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | TOR | Wright 21' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST) | 85 14.6% | 92 85.4% |
| Q4 - 10:02 | MIA | Wright 2' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 85 18.8% | 90 81.2% |
| Q4 - 10:18 | TOR | Belinelli 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) | 83 15.6% | 90 84.4% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 83 18.7% | 88 81.3% |
| Q4 - 10:52 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 83 19.8% | 88 80.2% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 83 23.2% | 88 76.8% |
| Q4 - 11:04 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 22.7% | 88 77.3% |
| Q4 - 11:04 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 83 20.2% | 88 79.8% |
| Q4 - 11:20 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 83 23.3% | 87 76.7% |
| Q4 - 11:20 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 82 22.6% | 87 77.4% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | TOR | Johnson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST) | 81 19.6% | 87 80.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 81 23.2% | 85 76.8% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 81 23.2% | 85 76.8% |
| Q3 - 0:10.0 | TOR | Jack 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 78 17.1% | 85 82.9% |
| Q3 - 0:33.0 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 78 24.0% | 82 76.0% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | MIA | MISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot | 78 25.1% | 82 74.9% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | TOR | Wright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 78 27.6% | 82 72.4% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | TOR | Wright Layup (2 PTS) | 78 31.8% | 81 68.2% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 78 36.9% | 79 63.1% |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | TOR | MISS Wright 2' Driving Layup | 78 39.9% | 79 60.1% |
| Q3 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Haslem Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 78 36.9% | 79 63.1% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 76 31.8% | 79 68.2% |
| Q3 - 0:54.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot | 76 29.1% | 79 70.9% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | TOR | Bargnani 1' Layup (27 PTS) (Jack 5 AST) | 76 31.9% | 79 68.1% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 76 36.7% | 77 63.3% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 75 35.8% | 77 64.2% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | TOR | Bargnani 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 75 36.3% | 77 63.7% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | MIA | Wade 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST) | 75 40.7% | 75 59.3% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 72 32.0% | 75 68.0% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | MIA | MISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 72 29.3% | 75 70.7% |
| Q3 - 2:36 | TOR | Bargnani 9' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST) | 72 32.0% | 75 68.0% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (28 PTS) | 72 36.3% | 73 63.7% |
| Q3 - 3:13 | TOR | Jack Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10) | 70 32.4% | 73 67.6% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11) | 70 28.4% | 73 71.6% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 29.6% | 73 70.4% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 70 32.4% | 73 67.6% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | TOR | MISS Weems 8' Jump Shot | 70 31.1% | 73 68.9% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10) | 70 28.3% | 73 71.7% |
| Q3 - 3:45 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot | 70 29.5% | 73 70.5% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 70 32.4% | 73 67.6% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 22' Jump Shot | 70 31.1% | 73 68.9% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9) | 70 28.4% | 73 71.6% |
| Q3 - 4:09 | MIA | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 29.7% | 73 70.3% |
| Q3 - 4:28 | TOR | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Weems 3 AST) | 70 32.7% | 73 67.3% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | MIA | Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 70 36.0% | 71 64.0% |
| Q3 - 5:09 | TOR | Jack 5' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 67 28.9% | 71 71.1% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | TOR | Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 67 32.0% | 69 68.0% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | MIA | MISS Alston 2' Driving Layup | 67 33.3% | 69 66.7% |
| Q3 - 5:26 | MIA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 67 36.3% | 69 63.7% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | TOR | MISS Weems 22' Jump Shot | 67 34.9% | 69 65.1% |
| Q3 - 5:36 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 67 32.0% | 69 68.0% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 67 33.3% | 69 66.7% |
| Q3 - 6:01 | TOR | Bargnani 19' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST) | 67 36.2% | 69 63.8% |
| Q3 - 6:11 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 67 39.6% | 67 60.4% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | MIA | MISS Richardson 21' Pullup Jump Shot | 67 40.9% | 67 59.1% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 67 44.0% | 67 56.0% |
| Q3 - 6:24 | TOR | MISS Weems 6' Running Jump Shot | 67 42.6% | 67 57.4% |
| Q3 - 6:44 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 67 39.6% | 67 60.4% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot | 67 40.9% | 67 59.1% |
| Q3 - 7:04 | TOR | Bosh 13' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 67 43.3% | 67 56.7% |
| Q3 - 7:24 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS) | 67 46.9% | 65 53.1% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | TOR | Bargnani 3' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS) | 64 39.6% | 65 60.4% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 64 42.7% | 63 57.3% |
| Q3 - 8:07 | MIA | MISS Alston 13' Pullup Jump Shot | 64 43.9% | 63 56.1% |
| Q3 - 8:35 | TOR | Bargnani 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Jack 4 AST) | 64 46.8% | 63 53.2% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | MIA | Wade Tip Shot (23 PTS) | 64 50.3% | 61 49.7% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 62 46.8% | 61 53.2% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | MIA | MISS Wade Driving Finger Roll Layup | 62 44.0% | 61 56.0% |
| Q3 - 8:59 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 62 46.8% | 61 53.2% |
| Q3 - 9:01 | TOR | MISS Bosh 2' Dunk | 62 45.2% | 61 54.8% |
| Q3 - 9:11 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 62 42.7% | 61 57.3% |
| Q3 - 9:12 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot | 62 43.8% | 61 56.2% |
| Q3 - 9:34 | TOR | Bosh 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Jack 3 AST) | 62 46.4% | 61 53.6% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 62 50.0% | 59 50.0% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | MISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot | 62 51.2% | 59 48.8% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | TOR | Bargnani 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 62 53.2% | 59 46.8% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | TOR | Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 62 56.7% | 57 43.3% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | MIA | MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 57.8% | 57 42.2% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 62 60.2% | 57 39.8% |
| Q3 - 10:45 | TOR | MISS Weems 2' Driving Layup | 62 59.2% | 57 40.8% |
| Q3 - 10:49 | TOR | Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 62 56.7% | 57 43.3% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot | 62 57.8% | 57 42.2% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 62 60.3% | 57 39.7% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | MIA | MISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot | 62 57.8% | 57 42.2% |
| Q3 - 11:14 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 62 59.6% | 57 40.4% |
| Q3 - 11:15 | TOR | MISS Bosh 12' Jump Bank Shot | 62 58.5% | 57 41.5% |
| Q3 - 11:38 | MIA | O'Neal 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 62 56.0% | 57 44.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 60 52.8% | 57 47.2% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 60 52.8% | 57 47.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Richardson 39' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 60 50.2% | 57 49.8% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | TOR | Jack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 60 51.8% | 57 48.2% |
| Q2 - 0:15.0 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 60 49.3% | 57 50.7% |
| Q2 - 0:32.0 | TOR | Bosh 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 58 45.2% | 57 54.8% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 58 49.3% | 55 50.7% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 55 41.9% | 55 58.1% |
| Q2 - 0:52.0 | TOR | MISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Hook Shot | 55 41.1% | 55 58.9% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 1 AST) | 55 39.4% | 55 60.6% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | TOR | Bargnani 10' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 53 35.5% | 55 64.5% |
| Q2 - 1:23 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 53 39.4% | 53 60.6% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | TOR | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 53 41.0% | 53 59.0% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Slam Dunk (21 PTS) | 53 39.4% | 53 60.6% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | TOR | Turkoglu 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 51 35.9% | 53 64.1% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | MIA | O'Neal Putback Dunk (8 PTS) | 51 38.7% | 51 61.3% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 49 35.8% | 51 64.2% |
| Q2 - 2:27 | MIA | MISS Alston 3' Driving Layup | 49 33.7% | 51 66.3% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 49 35.8% | 51 64.2% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | MIA | MISS Haslem 2' Layup | 49 33.7% | 51 66.3% |
| Q2 - 2:48 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 49 35.8% | 51 64.2% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 49 34.9% | 51 65.1% |
| Q2 - 3:00 | MIA | O'Neal 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 49 32.8% | 51 67.2% |
| Q2 - 3:15 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 47 30.5% | 51 69.5% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 35.5% | 48 64.5% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | MIA | MISS Alston 23' Jump Shot | 47 36.6% | 48 63.4% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | TOR | Belinelli 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST) | 47 39.0% | 48 61.0% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 47 41.5% | 46 58.5% |
| Q2 - 3:46 | TOR | MISS Belinelli 3' Driving Layup | 47 44.0% | 46 56.0% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | MIA | Belinelli STEAL (1 STL) | 47 41.5% | 46 58.5% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | MIA | Wade Free Throw Technical (19 PTS) | 47 45.2% | 46 54.8% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | TOR | Belinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 46 41.5% | 46 58.5% |
| Q2 - 4:15 | TOR | Belinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 46 38.4% | 46 61.6% |
| Q2 - 4:17 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 46 39.3% | 46 60.7% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 46 41.6% | 46 58.4% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | TOR | MISS Weems Free Throw 2 of 2 | 46 41.1% | 46 58.9% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | TOR | Weems Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 46 39.5% | 46 60.5% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) | 46 41.3% | 45 58.7% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 44 38.7% | 45 61.3% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | TOR | MISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 37.7% | 45 62.3% |
| Q2 - 5:03 | MIA | Calderon STEAL (2 STL) | 44 35.8% | 45 64.2% |
| Q2 - 5:24 | TOR | Bargnani 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST) | 44 38.5% | 45 61.5% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 44 41.5% | 43 58.5% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 43 40.9% | 43 59.1% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | TOR | Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST) | 42 38.5% | 43 61.5% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 42 43.8% | 40 56.2% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 42 44.8% | 40 55.2% |
| Q2 - 6:38 | TOR | Johnson 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST) | 42 47.2% | 40 52.8% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | Alston 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 42 49.7% | 38 50.3% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 40 46.7% | 38 53.3% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 40 46.3% | 38 53.7% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 40 44.3% | 38 55.7% |
| Q2 - 7:19 | MIA | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 40 43.8% | 38 56.2% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | TOR | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST) | 40 46.7% | 38 53.3% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 40 49.4% | 36 50.6% |
| Q2 - 7:43 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 39 49.0% | 36 51.0% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | MIA | MISS Wright Free Throw Technical | 38 46.7% | 36 53.3% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | TOR | Johnson Putback Dunk (2 PTS) | 38 46.7% | 36 53.3% |
| Q2 - 8:00 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 38 49.4% | 34 50.6% |
| Q2 - 8:01 | TOR | MISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot | 38 50.8% | 34 49.2% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 48.8% | 34 51.2% |
| Q2 - 8:11 | MIA | MISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot | 38 49.7% | 34 50.3% |
| Q2 - 8:29 | TOR | Bosh Tip Shot (7 PTS) | 38 51.7% | 34 48.3% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 38 54.3% | 32 45.7% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | TOR | MISS Calderon 3' Driving Layup | 38 56.3% | 32 43.7% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 54.4% | 32 45.6% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 38 55.2% | 32 44.8% |
| Q2 - 9:15 | TOR | Bosh 6' Pullup Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Weems 2 AST) | 38 56.4% | 32 43.6% |
| Q2 - 9:35 | MIA | Haslem 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 38 58.8% | 30 41.2% |
| Q2 - 9:52 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 56.4% | 30 43.6% |
| Q2 - 9:53 | TOR | MISS Weems 14' Running Jump Shot | 36 55.6% | 30 44.4% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 36 53.2% | 30 46.8% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 36 54.1% | 30 45.9% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 56.1% | 30 43.9% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | TOR | MISS Belinelli 23' Jump Shot | 36 55.2% | 30 44.8% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 36 53.2% | 30 46.8% |
| Q2 - 10:19 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 7' Driving Hook Shot | 36 54.1% | 30 45.9% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 36 56.1% | 30 43.9% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | Anthony Foul Turnover (P2.T3) | 36 60.9% | 27 39.1% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | TOR | Belinelli 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 36 62.8% | 27 37.2% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | MIA | Calderon STEAL (1 STL) | 36 65.1% | 25 34.9% |
| Q2 - 11:26 | TOR | Belinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 36 67.5% | 25 32.5% |
| Q2 - 11:26 | TOR | Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 36 67.9% | 24 32.1% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 36 69.7% | 23 30.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 34 67.6% | 23 32.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 34 65.2% | 23 34.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 53' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 34 66.9% | 23 33.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 65.2% | 23 34.8% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup | 34 64.8% | 23 35.2% |
| Q1 - 0:09.0 | TOR | Bargnani 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 34 66.1% | 23 33.9% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 34 68.7% | 21 31.3% |
| Q1 - 0:32.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 33 68.3% | 21 31.7% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | TOR | Turkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 33 68.3% | 21 31.7% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 33 66.6% | 21 33.4% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 32 66.2% | 21 33.8% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 31 62.9% | 21 37.1% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | TOR | MISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot | 31 62.4% | 21 37.6% |
| Q1 - 1:12 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 61.4% | 21 38.6% |
| Q1 - 1:13 | MIA | MISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot | 31 61.9% | 21 38.1% |
| Q1 - 1:34 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 63.0% | 21 37.0% |
| Q1 - 1:35 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 16' Pullup Jump Shot | 31 62.5% | 21 37.5% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | MIA | Richardson Putback Dunk (5 PTS) | 31 61.4% | 21 38.6% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | MIA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 29 58.4% | 21 41.6% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | MIA | Turkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK) | 29 57.3% | 21 42.7% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | TOR | Turkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 29 58.3% | 21 41.7% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | Wade 9' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) | 29 56.3% | 21 43.7% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | TOR | Bargnani 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 27 53.7% | 21 46.3% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 27 58.6% | 18 41.4% |
| Q1 - 2:41 | TOR | MISS Bosh Tip Shot | 27 60.0% | 18 40.0% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 27 58.7% | 18 41.3% |
| Q1 - 2:44 | TOR | MISS Bosh 7' Driving Hook Shot | 27 60.0% | 18 40.0% |
| Q1 - 2:57 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 27 58.7% | 18 41.3% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 25 55.9% | 18 44.1% |
| Q1 - 3:08 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 56.2% | 17 43.8% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | MIA | Wade 15' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 25 55.8% | 17 44.2% |
| Q1 - 3:44 | TOR | Jack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 23 53.6% | 17 46.4% |
| Q1 - 3:49 | MIA | Wade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) | 23 51.3% | 17 48.7% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | TOR | Weems 11' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Jack 2 AST) | 21 48.3% | 17 51.7% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | MIA | Wade 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 21 50.4% | 15 49.6% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 48.4% | 15 51.6% |
| Q1 - 4:30 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu Tip Shot | 19 47.6% | 15 52.4% |
| Q1 - 4:31 | TOR | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 46.0% | 15 54.0% |
| Q1 - 4:32 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot | 19 47.6% | 15 52.4% |
| Q1 - 4:38 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 19 46.0% | 15 54.0% |
| Q1 - 4:39 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Driving Layup | 19 46.7% | 15 53.3% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 48.4% | 15 51.6% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | MIA | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 46.7% | 15 53.3% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | TOR | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 19 48.4% | 15 51.6% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | MIA | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 19 46.0% | 15 54.0% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | TOR | Weems 7' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS) | 19 47.9% | 15 52.1% |
| Q1 - 5:27 | MIA | Alston 8' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 19 49.9% | 13 50.1% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | TOR | Weems Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 17 48.0% | 13 52.0% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 17 52.1% | 10 47.9% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 16 51.6% | 10 48.4% |
| Q1 - 6:03 | TOR | Bargnani 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3) | 15 49.6% | 10 50.4% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 47.4% | 10 52.6% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 48.1% | 10 51.9% |
| Q1 - 6:39 | TOR | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Weems 1 AST) | 15 49.6% | 10 50.4% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 51.7% | 8 48.3% |
| Q1 - 6:54 | MIA | MISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot | 15 52.3% | 8 47.7% |
| Q1 - 7:11 | TOR | Bargnani 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 15 53.4% | 8 46.6% |
| Q1 - 7:26 | MIA | O'Neal 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 15 55.4% | 6 44.6% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | TOR | Bargnani 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 13 53.4% | 6 46.6% |
| Q1 - 8:04 | MIA | Beasley 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 13 55.2% | 4 44.8% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | TOR | Weems Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 11 53.1% | 4 46.9% |
| Q1 - 8:31 | MIA | Beasley Layup (4 PTS) | 11 51.0% | 4 49.0% |
| Q1 - 8:33 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 9 49.0% | 4 51.0% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MIA | MISS Beasley Tip Shot | 9 47.5% | 4 52.5% |
| Q1 - 8:35 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 9 49.0% | 4 51.0% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot | 9 47.5% | 4 52.5% |
| Q1 - 8:53 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 9 49.0% | 4 51.0% |
| Q1 - 8:54 | MIA | MISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 9 47.5% | 4 52.5% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 48.8% | 4 51.2% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | TOR | MISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot | 9 48.2% | 4 51.8% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | Wade Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 9 46.9% | 4 53.1% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | TOR | Weems Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 7 44.8% | 4 55.2% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | TOR | Weems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 7 46.9% | 2 53.1% |
| Q1 - 9:32 | TOR | MISS Bosh 1' Driving Dunk | 7 48.2% | 2 51.8% |
| Q1 - 9:54 | MIA | Richardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 7 46.9% | 2 53.1% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | MIA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 42.5% | 2 57.5% |
| Q1 - 10:06 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 41.8% | 2 58.2% |
| Q1 - 10:12 | TOR | Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 40.5% | 2 59.5% |
| Q1 - 10:13 | MIA | MISS Beasley 6' Floating Jump Shot | 4 41.1% | 2 58.9% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | TOR | Jack 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 4 42.5% | 2 57.5% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | MIA | Beasley 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 4 44.2% | 0 55.8% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | TOR | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 42.5% | 0 57.5% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 40.0% | 0 60.0% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | TOR | MISS Bosh 14' Pullup Jump Shot | 2 41.1% | 0 58.9% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | MIA | O'Neal 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 40.0% | 0 60.0% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 38.4% | 0 61.6% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | TOR | MISS Bosh 2' Driving Reverse Layup | 0 37.9% | 0 62.1% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | TOR | Jump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Turkoglu | 0 36.8% | 0 63.2% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.03 51.5%
TOR
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
31
65%
TOR
21
33
64%
Midrange
MIA
15
37
41%
TOR
21
38
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
TOR
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
18
21
86%
TOR
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 35 | 63% | 17.5 / 28 | |
| J. O'Neal | 22 | 69% | 11.0 / 16 | |
| U. Haslem | 16 | 50% | 8.0 / 16 | |
| R. Alston | 10 | 31% | 5.0 / 16 | |
| D. Wright | 7 | 70% | 3.5 / 5 | |
| M. Beasley | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| Q. Richardson | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| J. Jones | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| J. Anthony | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 | |
| M. Chalmers | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bargnani | 27 | 71% | 13.5 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 24 | 48% | 12.0 / 25 | |
| M. Belinelli | 11 | 79% | 5.5 / 7 | |
| A. Johnson | 11 | 110% | 5.5 / 5 | |
| S. Weems | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| A. Wright | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| J. Jack | 7 | 117% | 3.5 / 3 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| J. Calderon | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
86
+14
-7
100
TOR
79
+13
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.03 51.5%
TOR
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.7 111.0 | MIA 110.8 TOR 119.4 +8.6 |
| Pace | 89.6 93.3 | MIA 86.2 TOR 100.9 +14.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 15.3 | MIA 16.7 TOR 14.3 +2.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.6% 52.1% | MIA 47.2% TOR 59.3% +12.1% |
| TO % | 13.6% 13.8% | MIA 6.6% +6.8% TOR 13.4% |
| ORB % | 26.0% 24.8% | MIA 25.5% TOR 32.4% +6.9% |
| FTrt | 29.6 31.9 | MIA 23.3 TOR 27.2 +3.9 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 51.9% 56.4% | MIA 42.5% TOR 60.9% +18.4% |
| STL % | 8.1% 6.1% | MIA 11.8% +6.4% TOR 5.4% |
| BLK % | 9.4% 7.4% | MIA 5.6% +2.7% TOR 2.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.1% 54.9% | MIA 51.5% TOR 59.7% +8.2% |
| Rim FG% | 62.0% 61.6% | MIA 64.5% +0.9% TOR 63.6% |
| Mid FG% | 40.8% 42.9% | MIA 40.5% TOR 55.3% +14.8% |
| 3P % | 34.6% 37.1% | MIA 22.7% TOR 40.0% +17.3% |
| FT % | 75.2% 76.4% | MIA 85.7% +17.5% TOR 68.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 29.8% 35.0% | MIA 34.4% TOR 40.7% +6.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 48.3% 43.9% | MIA 41.1% +5.8% TOR 46.9% |
| 3P Att. % | 21.9% 21.1% | MIA 24.4% +12.1% TOR 12.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 93 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.9 | 22.1 |
| Points | 103 | 111 |
| Rebounds | 35 | 46 |
| Assists | 17 | 28 |
| Steals | 11 | 5 |
| Blocks | 4 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 7 (0) | 14 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 12 (2) | 11 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 23 (3) | 35 (1) |
| Field Goals | 40-90 | 46-81 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 20-31 | 21-33 |
| Midrange FG | 15-37 | 21-38 |
| 2-Point FG | 35-68 | 42-71 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-22 | 4-10 |
| Free Throws | 18-21 | 15-22 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.