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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Grizzlies53%9999
27Pistons47%9893
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
42.4
37.5
24
52%
13
3
1
1
2
3
4
9
2-2
100%
11-22
8-16
50%
50%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
41.9
39.7
16
66%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
49%
3-3
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.0
40.9
35.6
25
72%
12
4
2
1
0
2
2
10
9-10
90%
8-13
5-9
62%
57%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
38.5
39.3
16
47%
8
2
0
1
1
1
2
6
8-9
89%
4-11
7-14
36%
50%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
35.5
32.7
14
59%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
17.3
11.6
4
40%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.9
12.5
12.9
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
6.2
7.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 22.9
5.0
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
0.1
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
2.5
0
0-1
55%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.7
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.0
39.7
35.9
16
50%
1
10
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
6-11
7-14
55%
47%
1-4
25%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
36.4
35.3
17
39%
5
11
2
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
7-18
7-16
39%
45%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
34.8
30.4
14
71%
9
2
2
1
2
3
6
3
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
33.2
24.6
12
40%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
6-15
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
13.8
12.9
1
17%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.4
30.5
26.4
13
70%
7
0
2
1
3
2
1
6
2-3
67%
4-5
4-9
80%
50%
1-3
33%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
20.6
28.1
8
44%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.9
16.9
17.7
12
62%
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
2-6
33%
5-7
3-5
71%
52%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.5
14.2
14.6
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.6
11.6
0
1-3
54%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
4.8
0
0-1
52%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.