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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1976ers45%9688
20Bucks55%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
40.1
39.6
9
41%
5
4
0
2
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
38.7
30.8
26
61%
10
1
1
1
2
1
4
6
2-3
67%
12-20
6-11
60%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
27.5
23.7
8
57%
11
0
0
0
2
1
4
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.6
26.8
30.5
6
30%
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
5-11
43%
46%
0-3
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.6
21.4
15.1
5
51%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
18.9
27.7
7
31%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-5
20%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
18.7
28.0
14
96%
7
1
1
1
0
2
4
3
2-3
67%
6-6
5-10
100%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
18.6
13.6
9
52%
7
3
1
0
1
1
4
3
5-6
83%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.5
15.1
21.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.0
9.0
4.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-2
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
5.1
4.6
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.9
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.3
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
44.3
22.6
18
50%
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
6-13
2-3
46%
45%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
38.0
24.6
2
15%
8
0
4
1
1
1
4
4
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
37.5
33.1
11
46%
9
0
2
1
1
3
1
8
5-7
71%
3-9
7-13
33%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.3
33.6
33.3
18
47%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
7-15
5-11
47%
42%
1-3
33%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
25.0
35.1
6
38%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
20.1
19.4
15
94%
6
0
0
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
6-7
2-5
86%
48%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
14.7
23.5
10
57%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
10.3
8.4
7
55%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
9.7
11.0
4
50%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.2
6.7
20.0
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.